The periodicity and recurrence of lunar (and solar) eclipses is governed by the Saros cycle, a period of approximately 6,585.3 days (18 years 11 days 8 hours). When two eclipses are separated by a period of one Saros, they share a very similar geometry. The two eclipses occur at the same node[1] with the Moon at nearly the same distance from Earth and at the same time of year. Thus, the Saros is useful for organizing eclipses into families or series. Each series typically lasts 12 to 15 centuries and contains 70 or more lunar eclipses.
Lunar eclipses of Saros 153 all occur at the Moons descending node and the Moon moves northward with each eclipse. The series will begin with a penumbral eclipse near the southern edge of the penumbra on 2136 Apr 16. The series will end with a penumbral eclipse near the northern edge of the penumbra on 3398 May 22. The total duration of Saros series 153 is 1262.11 years. In summary:
First Eclipse = 2136 Apr 16 17:08:45 TD Last Eclipse = 3398 May 22 19:37:21 TD Duration of Saros 153 = 1262.11 Years
Saros 153 is composed of 71 lunar eclipses as follows:
Lunar Eclipses of Saros 153 | |||
Eclipse Type | Symbol | Number | Percent |
All Eclipses | - | 71 | 100.0% |
Penumbral | N | 29 | 40.8% |
Partial | P | 18 | 25.4% |
Total | T | 24 | 33.8% |
The 71 lunar eclipses in Saros 153 occur in the order of 9N 10P 24T 8P 20N which corresponds to:
9 Penumbral 10 Partial 24 Total 8 Partial 20 Penumbral
The longest and shortest eclipses of Saros 153 are as follows.
Longest Total Lunar Eclipse: 2803 May 27 Duration = 01h44m49s Shortest Total Lunar Eclipse: 2478 Nov 10 Duration = 00h13m19s Longest Partial Lunar Eclipse: 2911 Aug 01 Duration = 03h26m08s Shortest Partial Lunar Eclipse: 3037 Oct 16 Duration = 00h29m57s Longest Penumbral Lunar Eclipse: 3055 Oct 27 Duration = 04h45m19s Shortest Penumbral Lunar Eclipse: 2136 Apr 16 Duration = 00h53m17s
The largest and smallest magnitude partial eclipses of Saros 153 are:
Largest Partial Lunar Eclipse: 2911 Aug 01 Magnitude = 0.9662 Smallest Partial Lunar Eclipse: 3037 Oct 16 Magnitude = 0.0148
Local circumstances at greatest eclipse[2] for every lunar eclipse of Saros 153 are presented in the following catalog. For eclipses occurring between the years -1999 to +3000 (2000 BCE to 3000 CE), the sequence number in the first column links to a eclipse geometry diagram and a map from Five Millennium Canon of Lunar Eclipses: -1999 to +3000. A detailed key and additional information about the catalog can be found at: Key to Catalog of Lunar Eclipse Saros Series.
TD of Phase Seq. Rel. Calendar Greatest Luna Ecl. Pen. Um. ---- Durations ---- Num. Num. Date Eclipse ΔT Num Type QSE Gamma Mag. Mag. Pen. Par. Total s m m m 01 -37 2136 Apr 16 17:08:45 292 1685 Nb a- -1.5241 0.0396 -0.9174 53.3 - - 02 -36 2154 Apr 28 01:04:33 337 1908 N a- -1.4784 0.1228 -0.8328 93.2 - - 03 -35 2172 May 08 08:53:18 377 2131 N a- -1.4275 0.2157 -0.7389 122.7 - - 04 -34 2190 May 19 16:35:26 418 2354 N a- -1.3714 0.3183 -0.6357 147.8 - - 05 -33 2208 May 31 00:10:37 462 2577 N a- -1.3102 0.4305 -0.5233 170.4 - - 06 -32 2226 Jun 11 07:41:30 508 2800 N a- -1.2459 0.5488 -0.4056 190.6 - - 07 -31 2244 Jun 21 15:07:43 555 3023 N a- -1.1783 0.6734 -0.2820 209.0 - - 08 -30 2262 Jul 02 22:31:30 605 3246 N a- -1.1089 0.8015 -0.1556 225.7 - - 09 -29 2280 Jul 13 05:52:36 657 3469 N a- -1.0376 0.9334 -0.0259 240.9 - - 10 -28 2298 Jul 24 13:14:16 711 3692 P a- -0.9673 1.0639 0.1017 254.5 70.0 - 11 -27 2316 Aug 04 20:36:17 767 3915 P a- -0.8979 1.1930 0.2273 266.6 103.1 - 12 -26 2334 Aug 16 03:59:52 826 4138 P a- -0.8304 1.3190 0.3493 277.3 125.9 - 13 -25 2352 Aug 26 11:26:40 886 4361 P a- -0.7660 1.4394 0.4651 286.8 143.1 - 14 -24 2370 Sep 06 18:57:22 948 4584 P a- -0.7056 1.5529 0.5736 295.0 156.7 - 15 -23 2388 Sep 17 02:33:17 1013 4807 P a- -0.6501 1.6574 0.6727 302.2 167.5 - 16 -22 2406 Sep 28 10:14:02 1079 5030 P a- -0.5994 1.7532 0.7629 308.4 176.2 - 17 -21 2424 Oct 08 18:01:43 1148 5253 P a- -0.5553 1.8371 0.8409 313.7 183.0 - 18 -20 2442 Oct 20 01:55:57 1218 5476 P a- -0.5172 1.9101 0.9079 318.3 188.4 - 19 -19 2460 Oct 30 09:56:53 1291 5699 P a- -0.4853 1.9716 0.9636 322.2 192.7 - 20 -18 2478 Nov 10 18:04:53 1366 5922 T p- -0.4598 2.0213 1.0074 325.5 195.9 13.3 21 -17 2496 Nov 21 02:19:04 1442 6145 T p- -0.4399 2.0605 1.0411 328.4 198.4 31.1 22 -16 2514 Dec 03 10:39:16 1521 6368 T p- -0.4258 2.0891 1.0644 330.8 200.3 38.8 23 -15 2532 Dec 13 19:02:44 1602 6591 T p- -0.4148 2.1117 1.0822 332.9 201.8 43.7 24 -14 2550 Dec 25 03:31:04 1685 6814 T p- -0.4084 2.1256 1.0918 334.7 202.8 46.1 25 -13 2569 Jan 04 12:00:29 1770 7037 T p- -0.4031 2.1372 1.0997 336.4 203.8 48.0 26 -12 2587 Jan 15 20:31:07 1858 7260 T p- -0.3996 2.1452 1.1046 337.9 204.6 49.2 27 -11 2605 Jan 27 04:58:58 1947 7483 T p- -0.3944 2.1561 1.1129 339.4 205.6 51.1 28 -10 2623 Feb 07 13:25:20 2038 7706 T p- -0.3887 2.1676 1.1224 341.0 206.7 53.2 29 -09 2641 Feb 17 21:46:04 2132 7929 T p- -0.3787 2.1866 1.1401 342.7 208.1 56.7 30 -08 2659 Mar 01 06:01:08 2227 8152 T p- -0.3649 2.2123 1.1648 344.5 209.9 61.2 31 -07 2677 Mar 11 14:08:06 2325 8375 T p- -0.3451 2.2490 1.2010 346.6 212.2 67.0 32 -06 2695 Mar 22 22:07:31 2424 8598 T p- -0.3199 2.2952 1.2470 348.9 214.8 73.3 33 -05 2713 Apr 03 05:57:08 2526 8821 T p- -0.2874 2.3551 1.3067 351.4 217.8 80.1 34 -04 2731 Apr 14 13:37:27 2630 9044 T- pp -0.2478 2.4277 1.3794 353.9 221.0 87.0 35 -03 2749 Apr 24 21:07:32 2735 9267 T- pp -0.2004 2.5144 1.4663 356.5 224.1 93.4 36 -02 2767 May 06 04:28:53 2843 9490 T- pp -0.1468 2.6128 1.5648 358.9 226.9 98.8 37 -01 2785 May 16 11:39:40 2953 9713 T- pp -0.0850 2.7262 1.6781 361.0 229.2 102.8 38 00 2803 May 27 18:42:59 3065 9936 T- pp -0.0179 2.8496 1.8012 362.5 230.6 104.8 39 01 2821 Jun 07 01:37:38 3179 10159 T+ pp 0.0556 2.7807 1.7316 363.3 230.9 104.4 40 02 2839 Jun 18 08:27:21 3296 10382 T+ pp 0.1326 2.6398 1.5898 363.3 229.8 100.8
TD of Phase Seq. Rel. Calendar Greatest Luna Ecl. Pen. Um. ---- Durations ---- Num. Num. Date Eclipse ΔT Num Type QSE Gamma Mag. Mag. Pen. Par. Total s m m m 41 03 2857 Jun 28 15:09:08 3414 10605 T+ pp 0.2153 2.4889 1.4375 362.2 226.9 92.9 42 04 2875 Jul 09 21:48:44 3534 10828 T -t 0.2988 2.3364 1.2834 360.1 222.2 79.5 43 05 2893 Jul 20 04:23:43 3657 11051 T -t 0.3852 2.1790 1.1239 356.6 215.3 55.6 44 06 2911 Aug 01 10:59:11 3781 11274 P -t 0.4704 2.0238 0.9662 352.0 206.1 - 45 07 2929 Aug 11 17:32:45 3908 11497 P -t 0.5564 1.8676 0.8070 346.1 194.2 - 46 08 2947 Aug 23 00:10:11 4036 11720 P -t 0.6384 1.7187 0.6549 339.2 179.9 - 47 09 2965 Sep 02 06:49:42 4167 11943 P -t 0.7177 1.5750 0.5077 331.3 162.5 - 48 10 2983 Sep 13 13:34:03 4300 12166 P -t 0.7923 1.4399 0.3688 322.6 141.7 - 49 11 3001 Sep 24 20:23:38 4435 12389 P -t 0.8622 1.3139 0.2387 313.3 116.4 - 50 12 3019 Oct 06 03:20:34 4572 12612 P -t 0.9255 1.1997 0.1204 303.8 84.2 - 51 13 3037 Oct 16 10:25:20 4710 12835 P -t 0.9820 1.0981 0.0148 294.5 29.9 - 52 14 3055 Oct 27 17:37:19 4852 13058 Nx -t 1.0322 1.0080 -0.0794 285.3 - - 53 15 3073 Nov 07 00:58:40 4995 13281 N -t 1.0746 0.9322 -0.1591 277.0 - - 54 16 3091 Nov 18 08:28:00 5140 13504 N -t 1.1104 0.8682 -0.2266 269.4 - - 55 17 3109 Nov 29 16:05:51 5287 13727 N -t 1.1393 0.8168 -0.2812 263.0 - - 56 18 3127 Dec 10 23:50:15 5436 13950 N -t 1.1628 0.7750 -0.3257 257.4 - - 57 19 3145 Dec 21 07:41:48 5588 14173 N -t 1.1806 0.7435 -0.3593 253.0 - - 58 20 3164 Jan 01 15:37:48 5741 14396 N -t 1.1947 0.7183 -0.3859 249.4 - - 59 21 3182 Jan 11 23:37:17 5897 14619 N -t 1.2061 0.6978 -0.4071 246.3 - - 60 22 3200 Jan 23 07:38:45 6055 14842 N -t 1.2159 0.6797 -0.4251 243.4 - - 61 23 3218 Feb 02 15:41:18 6214 15065 N -t 1.2251 0.6625 -0.4415 240.5 - - 62 24 3236 Feb 13 23:41:31 6376 15288 N -t 1.2360 0.6416 -0.4608 236.9 - - 63 25 3254 Feb 24 07:39:12 6540 15511 N -t 1.2490 0.6166 -0.4835 232.5 - - 64 26 3272 Mar 06 15:32:12 6706 15734 N -t 1.2659 0.5841 -0.5130 226.6 - - 65 27 3290 Mar 17 23:20:55 6874 15957 N -t 1.2866 0.5443 -0.5493 219.2 - - 66 28 3308 Mar 29 07:01:10 7044 16180 N -t 1.3141 0.4918 -0.5977 208.9 - - 67 29 3326 Apr 09 14:36:01 7216 16403 N -t 1.3461 0.4308 -0.6543 196.2 - - 68 30 3344 Apr 19 22:01:49 7390 16626 N -t 1.3853 0.3565 -0.7238 179.2 - - 69 31 3362 May 01 05:21:40 7567 16849 N -t 1.4295 0.2728 -0.8025 157.5 - - 70 32 3380 May 11 12:31:54 7745 17072 N -t 1.4816 0.1747 -0.8955 126.8 - - 71 33 3398 May 22 19:37:21 7925 17295 Ne -t 1.5377 0.0693 -0.9960 80.3 - -
[1] The Moon's orbit is inclined about 5 degrees to Earth's orbit around the Sun. The points where the lunar orbit intersects the plane of Earth's orbit are known as the nodes. The Moon moves from south to north of Earth's orbit at the ascending node, and from north to south at the descending node.
[2]Greatest eclipse is defined as the instant when Moon passes closest to the axis of Earth's shadow.
The Gregorian calendar is used for all dates from 1582 Oct 15 onwards. Before that date, the Julian calendar is used. For more information on this topic, see Calendar Dates. The Julian calendar does not include the year 0. Thus the year 1 BCE is followed by the year 1 CE (See: BCE/CE Dating Conventions ). This is awkward for arithmetic calculations. Years in this catalog are numbered astronomically and include the year 0. Historians should note there is a difference of one year between astronomical dates and BCE dates. Thus, the astronomical year 0 corresponds to 1 BCE, and astronomical year -1 corresponds to 2 BCE, etc..
The coordinates of the Sun used in these predictions are based on the VSOP87 theory [Bretagnon and Francou, 1988]. The Moon's coordinates are based on the ELP-2000/82 theory [Chapront-Touze and Chapront, 1983]. For more information, see: Solar and Lunar Ephemerides. The revised value used for the Moon's secular acceleration is n-dot = -25.858 arc-sec/cy*cy, as deduced from the Apollo lunar laser ranging experiment (Chapront, Chapront-Touze, and Francou, 2002).
The largest uncertainty in the eclipse predictions is caused by fluctuations in Earth's rotation due primarily to tidal friction of the Moon. The resultant drift in apparent clock time is expressed as ΔT and is determined as follows:
A series of polynomial expressions have been derived to simplify the evaluation of ΔT for any time from -1999 to +3000. The uncertainty in ΔT over this period can be estimated from scatter in the measurements.
The Besselian elements used in the predictions were kindly provided by Jean Meeus. All eclipse calculations are by Fred Espenak, and he assumes full responsibility for their accuracy. Some of the information presented on this web site is based on data originally published in Five Millennium Canon of Lunar Eclipses: -1999 to +3000 and Five Millennium Catalog of Lunar Eclipses: -1999 to +3000.
Permission is freely granted to reproduce this data when accompanied by an acknowledgment:
"Eclipse Predictions by Fred Espenak and Jean Meeus (NASA's GSFC)"