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2020 Missouri Democratic presidential primary

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The 2020 Missouri Democratic presidential primary took place on March 10, 2020, as one of several states voting the week after Super Tuesday in the Democratic Party primaries for the 2020 presidential election. The Missouri primary was an open primary, with the state awarding 79 delegates towards the 2020 Democratic National Convention, of which 68 were pledged delegates allocated on the basis of the results of the primary.

2020 Missouri Democratic presidential primary
← 2016 March 10, 2020 2024 →
← MS
ND →
79 delegates (68 pledged, 11 unpledged)
to the Democratic National Convention
The number of pledged delegates won is determined by the popular vote
 
Candidate Joe Biden Bernie Sanders
Home state Delaware Vermont
Delegate count 44 24
Popular vote 400,347 230,374
Percentage 60.10% 34.59%
Election results by county
  Joe Biden

Former vice president Joe Biden had won the primary by a landslide, taking around 60% of the vote, winning every county in the state and gaining 44 delegates, while senator Bernie Sanders received almost 35% of the vote and 24 delegates.[1]

Procedure

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Missouri was one of six states (along with Democrats Abroad) which held primaries on March 10, 2020, one week after Super Tuesday.[2] Voting took place throughout the state from 6:00 a.m. until 7:00 p.m. In the open primary, candidates had to meet a threshold of 15 percent at the congressional district or statewide level in order to be considered viable. The 68 pledged delegates to the 2020 Democratic National Convention were allocated proportionally on the basis of the results of the primary. Of these, between 4 and 8 were allocated to each of the state's 8 congressional districts and another 9 were allocated to party leaders and elected officials (PLEO delegates), in addition to 15 at-large delegates.[3] The March primary as part of Stage I on the primary timetable received no bonus delegates, in order to disperse the primaries between more different date clusters and keep too many states from hoarding on a March date.[4]

Following ward, township, legislative district, and county mass meetings on April 9, 2020, during which district and state convention delegates were designated, district conventions on April 30, 2020, chose national convention district delegates. At the meeting of the Democratic state committee in Jefferson City on May 9, 2020, the 9 pledged PLEO delegates were voted on, while the 15 pledged at-large delegates should have been selected at the subsequent state convention in Columbia on June 20, 2020. However, due to the COVID-19 pandemic the state convention was held virtually between June 13 and June 19. The delegation also included 11 unpledged PLEO delegates: 8 members of the Democratic National Committee, 2 representatives from Congress, and former House Majority Leader Dick Gephardt.[3]

Pledged national
convention delegates
Type Del.
CD1 8
CD2 6
CD3 5
CD4 5
CD5 6
CD6 5
CD7 5
CD8 4
PLEO 9
At-large 15
Total pledged delegates 68

Candidates

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The following individuals qualified for the ballot in Missouri:[5]

Running

Withdrawn

There was also an uncommitted option on the ballot.

Polling

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Polling aggregation
Source of poll aggregation Date
updated 		Dates
polled 		Joe
Biden 		Bernie
Sanders 		Tulsi
Gabbard 		Other/
Undecided[a]
270 to Win[6] March 10, 2020 March 4–9, 2020 57.6% 34.4% 2.7% 5.3%
RealClear Politics[7] March 10, 2020 March 4–9, 2020 61.0% 30.7% 2.5% 5.8%
FiveThirtyEight[8] March 10, 2020 until March 9, 2020[b] 60.3% 32.6% 2.5% 4.6%
Average 59.6% 32.6% 2.6% 5.2%
Missouri primary results (March 10, 2020) 60.1% 34.6% 0.7% 4.6%
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Missouri Democratic primary
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden 		Michael
Bloomberg 		Pete
Buttigieg 		Kamala
Harris 		Amy
Klobuchar 		Beto
O'Rourke 		Bernie
Sanders 		Elizabeth
Warren 		Other Undecided
Swayable[9] Mar 9, 2020 2,037 (LV) ± 3.0% 57% – – – – – 36% – 8%[d] –
Øptimus[10] Mar 7–9, 2020 402 (LV) ± 5.4% 68% – – – – – 29% – 3%[e] –
Data for Progress[11] Mar 4–7, 2020 348 (LV) ± 5.3% 62% – – – – – 32% 4% 2%[f] –
Mar 5, 2020 Warren withdraws from the race
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[12] Mar 4–5, 2020 1,040 (LV) ± 3.0% 53% – – – – – 31% – 10%[g] 6%
Emerson Polling/Nexstar[13] Mar 4–5, 2020 425 (LV) ± 4.7% 48% – – – – – 44% – 8%[h] <6%
Mar 4, 2020 Bloomberg withdraws from the race
Mar 2, 2020 Klobuchar withdraws from the race
Mar 1, 2020 Buttigieg withdraws from the race
The Progress Campaign (D)[14][1] Feb 16–23, 2020 294 (RV) ± 5.1% 29% 14% 13% – 4% – 23% 12% 4%[i] –
Americana Analytics[15] Feb 20–21, 2020 1,198 (LV) ± 2.83% 22% 17% 11% – 9% – 11% 10% 1%[j] 17%
Remington Research Group[16] Jan 22–23, 2020 1,460 (LV) – 39% 14% 6% – 8% – 7% 9% 3%[k] 14%
Dec 3, 2019 Harris withdraws from the race
Nov 1, 2019 O'Rourke withdraws from the race
Show Me Victories[17] Sept 13–16, 2019 400 ± 5% 34% – 10% 9% 1% 4% 14% 22% 8%[l] –
Remington Research Group[18] Jul 10–11, 2019 1,122 – 43% – 5% 13% – 1% 4% 15% – 19%

Results

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Results by county
  Biden—40–50%
  Biden—50–60%
  Biden—60–70%
  Biden—70–80%
2020 Missouri Democratic presidential primary[19]
Candidate Votes % Delegates[20]
Joe Biden 400,347 60.10 44
Bernie Sanders 230,374 34.59 24
Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn) 9,866 1.48
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn) 8,156 1.22
Tulsi Gabbard 4,887 0.73
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn) 3,309 0.50
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn) 2,682 0.40
Andrew Yang (withdrawn) 953 0.14
Cory Booker (withdrawn) 651 0.10
Tom Steyer (withdrawn) 584 0.09
Michael Bennet (withdrawn) 206 0.03
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn) 170 0.03
John Delaney (withdrawn) 159 0.02
Julian Castro (withdrawn) 103 0.02
Henry Hewes 94 0.01
Deval Patrick (withdrawn) 52 0.01
Other candidates 1,025 0.15
Uncommitted 2,494 0.37
Total 666,112 100% 68

See also

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Notes

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  1. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined
  2. ^ FiveThirtyEight aggregates polls with a trendline regression of polls rather than a strict average of recent polls.
  3. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. ^ Gabbard with 3%; "Other" with 5%
  5. ^ Gabbard with 3%
  6. ^ Gabbard with 2%
  7. ^ "Other" with 10%
  8. ^ Gabbard with 2%; "Someone else/undecided" with 6%
  9. ^ Gabbard and Steyer with 2%
  10. ^ Steyer with 1%; Gabbard with 0%
  11. ^ Yang with 2%; Steyer with 1%
  12. ^ Booker and Yang with 1%; Castro with <1%; rest with 0%; Someone else with 6%

References

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  1. ^ "Live Primary Election Results: Michigan, Washington and More". New York Times. March 10, 2020. Retrieved March 10, 2020.
  2. ^ Putnam, Josh. "The 2020 Presidential Primary Calendar". Frontloading HQ. Retrieved June 23, 2019.
  3. ^ a b "Missouri Democratic Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. May 23, 2019. Retrieved June 23, 2019.
  4. ^ "Democratic Timing Penalties and Bonuses". The Green Papers. November 24, 2021. Retrieved March 19, 2022.
  5. ^ "Missouri Secretary of State—Candidate List March 2020 Presidential Preference Primary". Missouri Secretary of State.
  6. ^ 270 to Win
  7. ^ RealClear Politics
  8. ^ FiveThirtyEight
  9. ^ Swayable Archived 2020-03-18 at the Wayback Machine
  10. ^ Øptimus
  11. ^ Data for Progress
  12. ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
  13. ^ Emerson Polling/Nexstar
  14. ^ The Progress Campaign (D)
  15. ^ Americana Analytics Archived February 26, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
  16. ^ Remington Research Group
  17. ^ Show Me Victories
  18. ^ Remington Research Group
  19. ^ "State of Missouri - Presidential Primary Election, March 10, 2020" (PDF). Missouri Secretary of State. Retrieved August 12, 2020.
  20. ^ "Associated Press Election Services - Delegate Tracker". Associated Press. Retrieved November 23, 2022.
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