2016 Nevada Democratic presidential caucuses
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 Election results by county.
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The 2016 Nevada Democratic presidential caucuses was held on Saturday February 20 in the U.S. state of Nevada, traditionally marking the Democratic Party's third nominating contest in their series of presidential primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election. The Republican Party held its South Carolina primary on the same day, while their own Nevada caucuses took place on February 23.
With all other candidates having dropped out of the race ahead of the Nevada caucuses, the two remaining candidates were Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton.[1]
Process
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Of the total number of 43 delegates the Nevada Democratic Party may send to the 2016 Democratic National Convention, 35 are pledged and 8 are unpledged.
The delegate selection process is a system with three levels:
- The first step in the delegate selection process were the precinct caucuses on February 20, which elected about 12,000 delegates to the county conventions.
- At the county conventions on April 2, the county delegates selected about 4,000 delegates to the state convention.
- At the state convention on May 14–15, the final 35 pledged delegates to the National Convention will be selected. 23 of them are allocated proportionally based on congressional district results, whereas the remaining 12 are allocated based on the state convention as a whole.
State convention
[edit]The state convention was held in May as the final stage of the delegate selection process. Supporters of Sanders believed that the convention rules, which had been largely the same for the previous 8 years, gave an unfair amount of power to the convention chair. The rules specifically lay out that all convention votes must be done by voice vote, and that only the convention chair can declare the winner or call for a more specific method of voting among the thousands of delegates. During the vote the convention chair, Roberta Lange accepted the "yeas" even though the "nays" were louder than the "yeas" in the room. Both preliminary and final delegate counts showed that Clinton supporters outnumbered Sanders supporters in the room, though many Sanders delegates had left after Lange's decision and did not stay to be counted in the final count. When Lange accepted the "yeas", some Sanders supporters confronted Lange and other members of the party's executive board on the main stage. The event was quickly shut down after that. Casino spokeswoman Jennifer Forkis said the event ran over its allotted time by about four hours, meaning security hired for the event would soon leave their shifts. "Without adequate security personnel, and in consultation with the Las Vegas Metropolitan Police Department and event organizers, a decision was made that it was in the best interest of everyone in attendance to end the event," Forkis said in a statement.[2] An additional 10 to 15 Las Vegas Metropolitan police officers had been deployed to the event, with some forming a protective barrier in front of the stage after the proceedings were declared closed by party officials.[3][4]
The Sanders campaign alleged that the leadership of the Democratic Party "used its power to prevent a fair and transparent process from taking place."[5]
Debates and forums
[edit]October 2015 debate in Las Vegas
[edit]On October 13, 2015, the Democratic Party's very first debate was held at the Wynn Hotel in Las Vegas. Hosted by Anderson Cooper, it aired on CNN and was broadcast on radio by Westwood One. Participants were the candidates Hillary Clinton, Bernie Sanders, Jim Webb, Martin O'Malley, and Lincoln Chafee. It was the first and only debate appearance of Chafee and Webb, who ended their campaigns on October 23 and October 20, respectively.
February 2016 forum in Las Vegas
[edit]On February 18, MSNBC and Telemundo hosted a forum in Las Vegas.
Opinion polling
[edit]Delegate count: 35 Pledged, 8 Unpledged
Winner: 
Hillary Clinton
Caucus date: February 20, 2016
| Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caucus results[6] | February 20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 52.6% |
Bernie Sanders 47.3% |
Other 0.1% |
| Gravis Marketing[7]
Margin of error: ± 4.0
|
February 14–15, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 53% |
Bernie Sanders 47% |
|
| CNN/ORC[8]
Margin of error: ± 6.0
|
February 10–15, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 48% |
Bernie Sanders 47% |
Others / Undecided 6% |
| Washington Free Beacon/TPC Research[9]
Margin of error: ± 2.9
|
February 8–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 45% |
Bernie Sanders 45% |
Undecided 9% |
| Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gravis Marketing[10]
Margin of error: ± 5%
|
December 23–27, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 50% |
Bernie Sanders 27% |
Martin O'Malley 1% |
Unsure 16% |
| CNN/ORC[11]
Margin of error: ± 6%
|
October 3–10, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 50% |
Bernie Sanders 34% |
Joe Biden 12% |
|
| Gravis Marketing[12]
Margin of error: ± 5%
|
July 12–13, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 55% |
Bernie Sanders 18% |
Elizabeth Warren 8% |
Joe Biden 5%, Lincoln Chafee 1%, Jim Webb 1%, Martin O'Malley 0%, Unsure 12% |
| Gravis Marketing[13]
Margin of error: ± 6%
|
March 27, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 61% |
Elizabeth Warren 15% |
Bernie Sanders 7% |
Joe Biden 3%, Al Gore 3%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Jim Webb 0%, Unsure 10% |
| Gravis Marketing[14]
Margin of error: ± 6%
|
February 21–22, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 58% |
Elizabeth Warren 20% |
Joe Biden 8% |
Bernie Sanders 4%, Jim Webb 3%, Martin O'Malley 0%, Undecided 7% |
Results
[edit]Primary date: February 20, 2016
County conventions: April 2, 2016
State convention: May 14, 2016
National delegates: 43
| Nevada Democratic caucuses, February 20, 2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | County delegates | Estimated delegates | |||
| Count | Percentage | Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |
| Hillary Clinton | 6,440 | 52.64% | 20 | 4 | 24 |
| Bernie Sanders | 5,785 | 47.29% | 15 | 1 | 16 |
| Uncommitted | 8 | 0.07% | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Total | 12,233 | 100% | 35 | 8 | 43 |
| Source: [15] | |||||
| Nevada Democratic county conventions, April 2, 2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | State delegates | Estimated delegates | |||
| Count | Percentage | Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |
| Bernie Sanders | 2,124 | 55.23% | 17 | 1 | 18 |
| Hillary Clinton | 1,722 | 44.77% | 18 | 4 | 22 |
| Uncommitted | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Total | 100% | 35 | 8 | 43 | |
| Source: The Moderate Voice[16] | |||||
| Nevada Democratic state conventions, May 14, 2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | State delegates | Estimated delegates | |||
| Count | Percentage | Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |
| Hillary Clinton | 1,695 | 50.49% | 20 | 4 | 24 |
| Bernie Sanders | 1,662 | 49.51% | 15 | 1 | 16 |
| Uncommitted | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Total | 100% | 35 | 8 | 43 | |
| Source: Nevada Democrats[17] | |||||
Results by county
[edit]| County | Clinton | Votes | Sanders | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson City | 49.11% | 83 | 50.89% | 86 |
| Churchill | 50.00% | 46 | 50.00% | 46 |
| Clark | 54.82% | 4,889 | 45.14% | 4,026 |
| Douglas | 54.14% | 85 | 45.86% | 72 |
| Elko | 43.18% | 38 | 56.82% | 50 |
| Esmeralda | 31.82% | 7 | 68.18% | 15 |
| Eureka | 13.64% | 3 | 86.36% | 19 |
| Humboldt | 33.75% | 27 | 66.25% | 53 |
| Lander | 28.99% | 20 | 69.57% | 48 |
| Lincoln | 60.32% | 38 | 39.68% | 25 |
| Lyon | 47.62% | 80 | 52.38% | 88 |
| Mineral | 53.42% | 39 | 46.58% | 34 |
| Nye | 58.75% | 94 | 40.63% | 65 |
| Pershing | 47.76% | 32 | 49.25% | 33 |
| Storey | 47.95% | 35 | 52.05% | 38 |
| Washoe | 45.70% | 877 | 54.25% | 1,041 |
| White Pine | 50.54% | 47 | 49.46% | 46 |
| Total | 52.64% | 6,440 | 47.29% | 5,785 |
Source:[18]
Analysis
[edit]Clinton won the popular vote handily in the Nevada caucus, after a rough start to the primary season. With a razor-thin victory in Iowa and a crushing defeat in New Hampshire, Clinton rebounded to a five-point-win in Nevada aided by late campaigning among casino workers. As The New York Times describes, "At a caucus at the famed Caesars Palace, blackjack dealers, pit bosses, cooks and housekeepers excitedly declared their support for the former secretary of state."[19]
Clinton had campaigned heavily in the state, airing an ad in which she comforted a young Latina girl who was worried her parents would be deported. Clinton's message appeared to resonate with Hispanic and African American voters, with Clinton winning by large margins in many diverse neighborhoods in populous Clark County, especially in caucuses in Las Vegas.
References
[edit]- ^ "2016 Candidates". NVDems. June 20, 2014. Archived from the original on March 31, 2016. Retrieved May 21, 2016.
- ^ "PolitiFact | Allegations of fraud and misconduct at Nevada Democratic convention unfounded".
- ^ ALANA ABRAMSON (May 17, 2016). "Ugly Scenes at Nevada Convention Spark Concern Among DNC Officials". ABC News.
- ^ Mike Heuer (May 16, 2016). "Melee at Democratic Convention in Nevada". Courthouse News.
- ^ Jessica Taylor (May 17, 2016). "Bernie Sanders Defends Supporters After Rowdy Protests In Nevada". NPR.
- ^ Caucus results
- ^ "Nevada Polling Results". Retrieved February 18, 2016.
- ^ "Nevada primary: CNN/ORC poll full results" (PDF). Retrieved February 17, 2016.
- ^ "Nevada Democratic Caucus Poll" (PDF).
- ^ Gravis Marketing
- ^ "South Carolina, Nevada CNN polls find Clinton far ahead". Retrieved October 12, 2015.
- ^ Gravis Marketing
- ^ "Nevada poll: Sandoval early favorite to succeed Reid; Cruz surges to lead pack with Walker". Gravismarketing.com. Retrieved July 9, 2015.
- ^ Gravis Marketing
- ^ The Green Papers
- ^ Gill, Kathy (April 3, 2016). "What just happened in Nevada? Did Sanders suddenly beat Clinton?". The Moderate Voice. Retrieved April 5, 2016.
- ^ "FINAL ALLOCATION OF PLEDGED NATIONAL DELEGATES FOR NV DEMS". Nevada Dem. May 14, 2016. Retrieved May 14, 2016.
- ^ "Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections".
- ^ Chozick, Amy; Healy, Patrick (February 20, 2016). "Hillary Clinton Beats Bernie Sanders in Nevada Caucuses". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved October 21, 2016.