2024 United States Senate elections in California: Difference between revisions
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→Endorsements: Added McNerney & San Francisco Bay Guardian for Lee + Hamm for Schiff, then categorized and fixed dead link for Boxer |
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*[[Ro Khanna]]{{efn|Her campaign co-chair}}, {{ushr|CA|17|CA-17}} (2017–present)<ref name="auto"/> |
*[[Ro Khanna]]{{efn|Her campaign co-chair}}, {{ushr|CA|17|CA-17}} (2017–present)<ref name="auto"/> |
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*[[Lucy McBath]], {{ushr|GA|7|GA-7}} (2019–present)<ref name=growing/> |
*[[Lucy McBath]], {{ushr|GA|7|GA-7}} (2019–present)<ref name=growing/> |
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* [[Jerry McNerney]], {{ushr|CA|9|CA-9}} (2007–2023)<ref name=westlee /> |
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*[[Gregory Meeks]], {{ushr|NY|5|NY-5}} (1998–present)<ref name=jimc/> |
*[[Gregory Meeks]], {{ushr|NY|5|NY-5}} (1998–present)<ref name=jimc/> |
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*[[Ilhan Omar]], {{ushr|MN|5|MN-5}} (2019–present)<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.commondreams.org/news/barbara-lee-2659936560 |title=Progressive Caucus Chair Jayapal Endorses 'Champion for Justice' Barbara Lee for US Senate |website=[[Common Dreams]] |date=May 1, 2023 |access-date=May 1, 2023 |last=Wilkins |first=Brett}}</ref> |
*[[Ilhan Omar]], {{ushr|MN|5|MN-5}} (2019–present)<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.commondreams.org/news/barbara-lee-2659936560 |title=Progressive Caucus Chair Jayapal Endorses 'Champion for Justice' Barbara Lee for US Senate |website=[[Common Dreams]] |date=May 1, 2023 |access-date=May 1, 2023 |last=Wilkins |first=Brett}}</ref> |
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*''[[Bay Area Reporter]]''<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.ebar.com/story.php?ch=Opinion&sc=Editorial&id=331060|title=Editorial: Barbara Lee for US Senate|date=January 24, 2024|language=en-US|access-date=January 24, 2024|website=[[Bay Area Reporter]]}}</ref> |
*''[[Bay Area Reporter]]''<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.ebar.com/story.php?ch=Opinion&sc=Editorial&id=331060|title=Editorial: Barbara Lee for US Senate|date=January 24, 2024|language=en-US|access-date=January 24, 2024|website=[[Bay Area Reporter]]}}</ref> |
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* ''[[Merced Sun-Star]]''<ref name=mcclatchypaper>{{Cite web |url=https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4414192-california-mcclatchy-newspapers-endorse-barbara-lee-for-senate/ |title=California McClatchy newspapers endorse Barbara Lee for Senate |website=[[The Hill (newspaper)|The Hill]] |language=en-US |date=January 17, 2024 |last=Timotija |first=Filip |access-date=January 20, 2024}}</ref> |
* ''[[Merced Sun-Star]]''<ref name=mcclatchypaper>{{Cite web |url=https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4414192-california-mcclatchy-newspapers-endorse-barbara-lee-for-senate/ |title=California McClatchy newspapers endorse Barbara Lee for Senate |website=[[The Hill (newspaper)|The Hill]] |language=en-US |date=January 17, 2024 |last=Timotija |first=Filip |access-date=January 20, 2024}}</ref> |
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* ''[[San Francisco Bay Guardian]]''<ref>{{Cite web |url=https://www.sfbg.com/2024/02/01/endorsements-for-the-march-5-2024-election/ |title=Endorsements for the March 5, 2024 Election |website=[[San Francisco Bay Guardian]] |language=en-US |date=February 1, 2024 |access-date=February 4, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240204055204/https://www.sfbg.com/2024/02/01/endorsements-for-the-march-5-2024-election/ |url-status=live |archive-date=February 4, 2024}}</ref> |
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*''[[The Sacramento Bee]]'',<ref>{{cite news |work=[[The Sacramento Bee]] |access-date=January 18, 2024 |title=3 strong candidates want to be California’s next U.S. senator. Here’s our endorsement |url=https://www.sacbee.com/opinion/article284126368.html |date=January 17, 2024}}</ref> ''[[The Fresno Bee]]'', and ''[[The Modesto Bee]]''<ref name=mcclatchypaper /> |
*''[[The Sacramento Bee]]'',<ref>{{cite news |work=[[The Sacramento Bee]] |access-date=January 18, 2024 |title=3 strong candidates want to be California’s next U.S. senator. Here’s our endorsement |url=https://www.sacbee.com/opinion/article284126368.html |date=January 17, 2024}}</ref> ''[[The Fresno Bee]]'', and ''[[The Modesto Bee]]''<ref name=mcclatchypaper /> |
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* ''[[The San Luis Obispo Tribune]]''<ref name=mcclatchypaper /> |
* ''[[The San Luis Obispo Tribune]]''<ref name=mcclatchypaper /> |
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;Federal officials |
;Federal officials |
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*[[Louis Caldera]], former [[U.S. Secretary of the Army]] (1998–2001)<ref name=yubanet>{{Cite web |url=https://yubanet.com/california/adam-schiff-ca-latino-leaders-release-statements-commemorating-hispanic-heritage-month/ |title=Adam Schiff, CA Latino Leaders Release Statements Commemorating Hispanic Heritage Month |date=September 15, 2023 |access-date=October 7, 2023 |language=en-US |website=YubaNet |last1=Levitz |first1=Susan |last2=Fusshoeller |first2=Pascale}}</ref> |
*[[Louis Caldera]], former [[U.S. Secretary of the Army]] (1998–2001)<ref name=yubanet>{{Cite web |url=https://yubanet.com/california/adam-schiff-ca-latino-leaders-release-statements-commemorating-hispanic-heritage-month/ |title=Adam Schiff, CA Latino Leaders Release Statements Commemorating Hispanic Heritage Month |date=September 15, 2023 |access-date=October 7, 2023 |language=en-US |website=YubaNet |last1=Levitz |first1=Susan |last2=Fusshoeller |first2=Pascale}}</ref> |
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⚫ | |||
;U.S. senators |
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⚫ | *[[Barbara Boxer]], former [[U.S. Senator from California]] (1993–2017)<ref name="rep-adam-061754430">{{Cite web |url=https://www.ktvu.com/news/barbara-boxer-endorses-rep-adam-schiff-breaking-neutrality-promise |title=Barbara Boxer endorses Rep. Adam Schiff, breaking neutrality promise |website=[[KTVU]] 2 |last=Okorie |first=O. Gloria |language=en-US |date=February 1, 2024 |access-date=February 4, 2024}}</ref> |
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;U.S. representatives |
;U.S. representatives |
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*[[Jamie Lee Curtis]], actress and producer<ref>{{Cite web |url=https://thehill.com/blogs/in-the-know/4279544-jamie-lee-curtis-backs-schiff-california-senate-race/ |title=Jamie Lee Curtis backs Schiff in crowded California Senate race |last=Kurtz |first=Judy |date=October 27, 2023 |language=en-US |access-date=October 27, 2023 |website=[[The Hill (newspaper)|The Hill]]}}</ref> |
*[[Jamie Lee Curtis]], actress and producer<ref>{{Cite web |url=https://thehill.com/blogs/in-the-know/4279544-jamie-lee-curtis-backs-schiff-california-senate-race/ |title=Jamie Lee Curtis backs Schiff in crowded California Senate race |last=Kurtz |first=Judy |date=October 27, 2023 |language=en-US |access-date=October 27, 2023 |website=[[The Hill (newspaper)|The Hill]]}}</ref> |
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*[[Lindsay Dougherty]], labor leader<ref name=lindd>{{Cite web |url=https://teamster.org/2023/10/teamsters-endorse-adam-schiff-for-senate/ |title=Teamsters Endorse Adam Schiff for Senate |website=[[International Brotherhood of Teamsters]] |date=October 10, 2023 |access-date=October 11, 2023 |language=en-US |last=McQuaid |first=Matt}}</ref> |
*[[Lindsay Dougherty]], labor leader<ref name=lindd>{{Cite web |url=https://teamster.org/2023/10/teamsters-endorse-adam-schiff-for-senate/ |title=Teamsters Endorse Adam Schiff for Senate |website=[[International Brotherhood of Teamsters]] |date=October 10, 2023 |access-date=October 11, 2023 |language=en-US |last=McQuaid |first=Matt}}</ref> |
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* [[Jon Hamm]], actor<ref>{{Cite web |url=https://politicalemails.org/messages/1308205 |title=Hi there, it's Jon Hamm |website=Archive of Political Emails |date=January 30, 2024 |access-date=February 4, 2024 |language=en-US |last=Hamm |first=Jon}}</ref>{{better source needed|date=February 2024}} |
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*[[Edward Kelly (labor leader)|Edward Kelly]], [[International Association of Fire Fighters]] general president (2021–present)<ref name=kellyschiff>{{Cite web |url=https://pstribune.com/2023/09/05/international-association-of-fire-fighters-iaff-endorses-adam-schiff-for-u-s-senate/ |title=International Association of Fire Fighters (IAFF) Endorses Adam Schiff for U.S. Senate |website=Palm Springs Tribune |date=September 5, 2023 |access-date=October 7, 2023 |language=en-US}}</ref> |
*[[Edward Kelly (labor leader)|Edward Kelly]], [[International Association of Fire Fighters]] general president (2021–present)<ref name=kellyschiff>{{Cite web |url=https://pstribune.com/2023/09/05/international-association-of-fire-fighters-iaff-endorses-adam-schiff-for-u-s-senate/ |title=International Association of Fire Fighters (IAFF) Endorses Adam Schiff for U.S. Senate |website=Palm Springs Tribune |date=September 5, 2023 |access-date=October 7, 2023 |language=en-US}}</ref> |
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*[[Matthew Loeb]], [[International Alliance of Theatrical Stage Employees]] International President (2008–present)<ref name=iatseloeb /> |
*[[Matthew Loeb]], [[International Alliance of Theatrical Stage Employees]] International President (2008–present)<ref name=iatseloeb /> |
Revision as of 06:16, 4 February 2024
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Elections in California |
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The 2024 United States Senate elections in California will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of California. There will be two ballot items for the same Class 1 seat: a special election to fill the seat for the final weeks of the 118th United States Congress (ending on January 3, 2025), and a general election for a full term that starts on January 3, 2025, starting in the 119th United States Congress. California uses a nonpartisan blanket primary, in which all candidates regardless of party affiliation appear on the same primary ballot and the two highest-placing candidates advance to the general election. Primary elections will take place on March 5, 2024 during Super Tuesday.[1]
Incumbent Senator Laphonza Butler was appointed after fellow Democrat Dianne Feinstein died in office while serving her 5th full term, having already announced her retirement. Feinstein was first elected in a 1992 special election, defeating appointed Republican incumbent John Seymour to complete the term of Pete Wilson, who resigned after being elected California’s Governor in 1990.
Two Democratic U.S. representatives, Katie Porter of Irvine and Adam Schiff of Los Angeles, entered the race before Feinstein announced her retirement.[2][3] A third, Barbara Lee of Oakland, declared her campaign on February 21, 2023.[4] On October 19, 2023, Butler announced that she would not run for a full term and for the final weeks of the current term.[5] This will be the first open race for this seat since 1982.
Candidates
Democratic Party
Declared
- Sepi Gilani, UC San Diego professor and surgeon[6]
- Harmesh Kumar, psychologist and perennial candidate[7]
- Barbara Lee, U.S. representative for California's 12th congressional district (1998–present)[4]
- Christina Pascucci, former KTLA news anchor[8]
- David Peterson, tech professional and perennial candidate[9]
- Douglas Pierce, cold case investigator and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018 and 2022[10]
- Katie Porter, U.S. representative for California's 47th congressional district (2019–present)[2]
- Perry Pound, investment firm CEO[9]
- Raji Rab, commercial pilot and perennial candidate[11]
- John Rose, office manager and political children's book author[9]
- Adam Schiff, U.S. representative for California's 30th congressional district (2001–present)[3]
Withdrew
- Denard Ingram, psychologist and social worker[12]
- Lexi Reese, investor and former Google executive[13]
Declined
- Rob Bonta, attorney general of California (2021–present)[14] (endorsed Lee and Porter)[15]
- London Breed, mayor of San Francisco (2018–present)[16] (endorsed Lee, running for re-election)[17][18]
- Laphonza Butler, incumbent U.S. senator (2023–present)[5]
- Ro Khanna, U.S. representative for California's 17th congressional district (2017–present) (endorsed Lee, running for re-election)[19]
- Eleni Kounalakis, lieutenant governor of California (2019–present) (running for governor in 2026)[20]
- Fiona Ma, California State Treasurer (2019–present)[21] (endorsed Lee, running for lieutenant governor in 2026)[22][23]
- Holly Mitchell, Los Angeles County supervisor (2020–present)[24] (running for re-election)[25]
- Gavin Newsom, governor of California (2019–present)[26][27]
- Libby Schaaf, former mayor of Oakland (2015–2023) (endorsed Lee)[17]
- Eric Swalwell, U.S. representative for California's 14th congressional district (2013–present) and candidate for president in 2020[27] (running for re-election)[28]
- Oprah Winfrey, talk show host and media proprietor[29]
Republican Party
Declared
- Sharletta Bassett, farmer[7]
- James Bradley, healthcare executive and perennial candidate[9]
- Eric Early, attorney and perennial candidate[30]
- Steve Garvey, former professional baseball player for the Los Angeles Dodgers and the San Diego Padres[31]
- Denice Gary-Pandol, educator[32]
- Sarah Sun Liew, businesswoman, candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022, and candidate for California's 33rd congressional district in 2020[10]
- Jim Macauley, sales associate and candidate for California's 20th congressional district in 2022[7]
- Jonathan Reiss, multimedia consultant and candidate for California's 25th congressional district in 2022[10]
- Stefan Simchowitz, art dealer[33]
- Martin Veprauskas, retired defense contractor[7]
Declined
- Lanhee Chen, Stanford University professor and runner-up for California State Controller in 2022[34]
- Larry Elder, radio host, former candidate for president in 2024 and candidate for Governor of California in the 2021 recall election[35]
- Kevin Faulconer, former mayor of San Diego (2014–2020) and candidate for Governor of California in the 2021 recall election[36][27] (running for San Diego County Board of Supervisors)[37]
Libertarian Party
Declared
- Gail Lightfoot, former chair of the California Libertarian Party and perennial candidate[7]
American Independent Party
Declared
- Forrest Jones, service business owner[7]
No party preference
Declared
- Laura Garza[b], railroad worker and perennial candidate[7]
- Don Grundmann[c], chair of the California Constitution Party and perennial candidate[7]
- Mark Ruzon[d], California chair for the American Solidarity Party and write-in candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022[9]
- Major Singh, software engineer, candidate for California's 14th congressional district in 2022, and candidate for governor in 2021[7]
Declined
- Dwayne Johnson, actor and businessman[27]
- Arnold Schwarzenegger,[e] former governor of California (2003–2011)[38]
Primary elections
Campaign
Schiff, Porter, and Lee declare
Media sources speculated for years that Dianne Feinstein might choose not to seek reelection in 2024 or resign before the end of her term, owing to her age, reports that her cognitive state was declining, and her decision not to take the position of Senate president pro tempore in the 118th Congress, third in line for the presidency, even though she would customarily have been offered the role as the most senior member of the majority caucus. There was also speculation that Feinstein might face opposition within the Democratic Party as she did in 2018, when she was challenged by fellow Democrat Kevin de León and defeated him by an unexpectedly narrow margin.[39] In December 2022, Feinstein confirmed that she would not resign before the end of her term.[40]
In January 2023, with the question of Feinstein's reelection decision still open, U.S. Representative Katie Porter announced that she would run for Senate. She confirmed that she would stay in the race even if Feinstein chose to run for another term.[2] Porter was first elected in 2018, unseating incumbent Mimi Walters. She later gained national fame for her progressive politics, and frequently went viral for her pointed questioning of corporate executives in congressional hearings, often while using a whiteboard.[41] Porter's coastal, Orange County-based district is considered highly competitive, and all of her elections have been close.[42]
Two weeks later, Porter was joined by another Democratic member of the House, Adam Schiff, who said that he had consulted with Feinstein before entering the race.[3] A moderate Democrat who unseated incumbent James Rogan in 2000, Schiff's profile rose significantly during the presidency of Donald Trump, owing to his role as a lead impeachment manager in the first impeachment of Donald Trump, his service on the January 6 Committee, and his frequent appearances on MSNBC.[43][44] Schiff has not faced a competitive election since 2000, as his Los Angeles-based district became significantly more Democratic during the 2000 redistricting cycle and has been considered a safe seat ever since.[45]
A third Democratic House member, Barbara Lee, reportedly told members of the Congressional Black Caucus in January that she would also run for Senate.[46] As she was already 76 years old in January 2023, Lee reportedly pitched herself to donors as a transitional senator who would serve only one term.[47] A longtime progressive first elected in a 1998 special election, Lee is known for being the only member of Congress to vote against the Authorization for Use of Military Force of 2001, which led to military deployment in Afghanistan and several other countries.[48] Lee filed to run for Senate in early February 2023 and formally announced her campaign later that month.[49][4] Lee's district, based in Alameda County and including one of the state's largest cities in Oakland, is one of the most Democratic-leaning districts in the entire country.[50]
Feinstein continued to demur on her reelection plans, at one point saying she would not announce her decision until 2024.[51] But in February 2023, she confirmed that she would retire, ending a political career that spanned over 50 years.[52] The 2024 election is only the second California Senate race without an incumbent since 1992, the other being the 2016 election following Barbara Boxer's retirement. However, Politico pointed out that the 2016 election had an "early and prohibitive frontrunner" in Kamala Harris while the 2024 election has no clear frontrunner, and thus considers the 2024 election the first truly open California Senate race in 32 years.[53]
Early months of the race
Lee, Porter, and Schiff have similar voting records in Congress and similarly progressive platforms. As a result, they are expected to differentiate themselves by their life stories and individual strengths rather than their ideologies.[54] All three have faced controversies that could damage their campaigns: Porter has been accused of mistreating congressional staff, Lee's age is seen as a potential issue, and Schiff is expected to face opposition from progressives due to his past support for overseas military intervention and for taking donations from groups affiliated with the oil, payday loan, and pharmaceutical industries, though he has declared he will not accept funds from corporate PACs in his Senate campaign.[55][54] Schiff has also been criticized for listing his primary residence as Montgomery County, Maryland in tax documents, though his campaign maintains that he lives in Burbank, California.[56] Other important factors include geography, as Schiff and Porter both represent southern California while Lee represents northern California, and diversity, as a victory by Schiff would leave California with no female senators for the first time since 1992 while a victory by Lee would make her the fourth black woman to serve in the Senate and the first elected since Kamala Harris left office in 2021 to become vice president.[54][57]
Schiff began 2023 with $20.6 million in his campaign account compared to $7.7 million for Porter and just under $55,000 for Lee.[58] But all three quickly began raising large sums of money; for example, in the first 24 hours of her campaign, Porter raised over $1.3 million.[59] The three also launched super PACs to aid with fundraising, each competing for the top California fundraising firms and consultants. Former Federal Election Commission chair Ann Ravel predicted that the race would turn out to be one of the most expensive Senate races in history.[60] The expensive nature of the race led media sources to speculate that a wealthy candidate could run a competitive self-funded campaign, akin to Rick Caruso's campaign in the 2022 Los Angeles mayoral election.[61] This scenario seemed to come to pass when former Google executive Lexi Reese joined the race in June 2023; her aides told Politico she would spend a "significant" amount of her own money on her campaign.[62] However, Reese made little impact on the race and dropped out months later; though she raised $2 million, much of it self-funded, she wrote that this was "just not enough to run a state-wide campaign."[13]
Throughout most of 2023, there were no prominent Republicans in the race. This has been attributed to California's heavy Democratic lean and Republican donors' wariness of the high cost of running a statewide campaign in California; GOP strategist Duane Dichiara estimated that a Republican would need at least $80 million to run a viable Senate campaign. Additionally, California's top-two primary system may allow two Democrats to advance to the general election, a scenario that played out in the 2016 and 2018 Senate races. But the three-way division in the Democratic field could help a Republican reach the general election. Republicans will also benefit from the fact that the 2024 California Republican presidential primary, held on the same day as the Senate primary, is expected to be hotly contested and entice Republican voters to turn out in higher numbers.[38][36]
Feinstein's death and replacement
Feinstein faced calls to resign throughout 2023 due to reports of her declining health, including from U.S. Representative Ro Khanna. She declined to do so.[63] California governor Gavin Newsom had previously committed to appointing a black woman to the Senate if a seat opened up, after facing controversy due to appointing Alex Padilla to the seat left behind by Kamala Harris after she was elected vice president.[64] Barbara Lee, Los Angeles mayor Karen Bass, San Francisco mayor London Breed, Los Angeles County supervisor Holly Mitchell, Secretary of State Shirley Weber, and talk show host Oprah Winfrey were named as possible appointees, though Bass, Mitchell, and Winfrey said they would not be interested.[64][65] In September 2023, Newsom confirmed he would fulfill his promise to appoint a black woman, but said he would not appoint any candidate running to succeed Feinstein, and would instead appoint someone who committed not to run for a full term. Lee, the only black woman in the race, responded, "the idea that a Black woman should be appointed only as a caretaker to simply check a box is insulting to countless Black women across this country who have carried the Democratic Party to victory election after election."[66] Lee faced backlash for her comments, with several advisors to Newsom departing from her super PAC.[67] Newsom argued that the question of a Senate vacancy was "a hypothetical on top of a hypothetical", believing that Feinstein would not leave office before her term ended.[68]
Feinstein died later in the month, on September 29, 2023.[69] Newsom was expected to quickly appoint a successor, as a crisis over a potential government shutdown necessitated a united Democratic front in the Senate. A special election for Feinstein's seat will also be held concurrently with the regular 2024 election.[70] In addition to those already mentioned, possible successors speculated by media sources included PolicyLink founder Angela Glover Blackwell, former state assemblywoman Autumn Burke, EMILYs List director Laphonza Butler, State Controller Malia Cohen, California Supreme Court justice Leondra Kruger, Bay Area Rapid Transit Board of Directors president Lateefah Simon, and U.S. Representative Maxine Waters.[71][72][73][74][75] Waters and California State Board of Education president Linda Darling-Hammond said they were not interested in the appointment.[73] Congressional Black Caucus chair Steven Horsford sent a letter to Newsom on behalf of the caucus that urged him to appoint Lee.[76]
On October 1, Newsom appointed Butler to the Senate, with no conditions about whether she may run in 2024.[77] Butler formerly served as president of SEIU Local 2015, the largest union in California, and on the University of California Board of Regents. She is openly lesbian, making her California's first openly LGBTQ Senator and the first openly LGBTQ black woman to serve in Congress.[78] Butler's appointment was controversial, with many pointing out that she was registered to vote in Maryland at the time. Butler responded that she lived in California for many years before moving to the D.C. metropolitan area in 2021; she pointed out that she still owned a home in Los Angeles and promised to re-register in California.[79] Butler was also criticized for advising Uber as it lobbied against a 2019 California bill to classify rideshare drivers as employees. In response, she maintained that she personally supported the bill.[80] At first, Butler left open the question of whether she would run for a full term, but on October 19, she said she would not join the 2024 race.[5]
Later events in 2023
On October 10, 2023, Republicans gained a prominent candidate when former professional baseball player Steve Garvey entered the race. Garvey, who played for both the Los Angeles Dodgers and the San Diego Padres, is considered to have an advantage in name recognition, but is expected to face difficulty due to his anti-abortion beliefs and support for Donald Trump. Two other Republican candidates, healthcare executive James Bradley and attorney Eric Early, both of whom had previously made several unsuccessful bids for office, also attracted some media attention and support in polls.[31]
Schiff and Porter have consistently lead in polling throughout the race, with Lee and the Republicans far behind. Lee's poor polling numbers have been attributed to a lack of name recognition outside her San Francisco Bay Area constituency, her lack of fundraising compared to Schiff and Porter, and the fact that Schiff and Porter have achieved national fame while Lee is less well-known. In November 2023, Lee ruled out withdrawing from the race and insisted that she still had a chance.[81] In recent months, Lee's campaign has been much more willing to openly criticize her two main rivals, attempting to define Lee as the most progressive candidate in the race.[67]
On November 18, 2023, the California Democratic Party held its endorsing convention for the Senate race. Lee received the most delegate votes, narrowly outpacing Schiff; however, neither candidate came close to reaching the 60% threshold necessary to win the endorsement.[82] Rumors had circulated that Lee would drop out of the race and run for re-election to the House if she did not receive the party's endorsement, but her campaign reiterated after the convention that she intended on staying in the Senate race.[83]
California Democratic Party Senate endorsement vote (60% required)[84] | ||||||||
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Candidate | Regular election | Special election | ||||||
Votes | % | Result | Votes | % | Result | |||
Barbara Lee | 963 | 41.47% | No endorsement | 958 | 41.26% | No endorsement | ||
Adam Schiff | 933 | 40.18% | 927 | 39.92% | ||||
Katie Porter | 373 | 16.06% | 361 | 15.59% | ||||
Lexi Reese | 3 | 0.13% | 2 | 0.09% | ||||
Don't endorse | 50 | 2.15% | 67 | 2.89% | ||||
Total | 2,322 | 100.00% | 2,315 | 100.00% |
The 2023 Israel–Hamas war became a late issue in the race, with Lee initially being the only major candidate to call for a ceasefire. The California Democratic Party convention was disrupted by pro-Palestine protests calling for a ceasefire. Protestors entered the main convention arena and shouted, interrupting speeches by Schiff, Porter, and Lexi Reese. Some reportedly chanted the controversial slogan "from the river to the sea, Palestine will be free."[85] While the protest was initially peaceful, it later escalated, with over 1,000 protestors entering the building. Police locked down the building and the rest of the convention was canceled.[86] Porter would later call for a ceasefire the following month.[87]
Final months of the primary
In the months after his announcement, Garvey steadily rose in polling, heightening Republicans' odds of getting a candidate through to the general election.[88] Porter accused Schiff of attempting to manipulate the primary by running television ads contrasting the political positions of Schiff and Garvey. Due to the nonpartisan blanket primary, it is a common tactic for front-running candidates to boost the second place candidate whom they feel they can defeat easiest.[89]
Politico, FOX 11 Los Angeles, and USC Dornsife held a debate on January 22, 2024, which included Schiff, Porter, Lee, and Garvey.[90] Nexstar Media Group television stations will air a debate on February 12 featuring the same four candidates.[91]
Endorsements
- Local officials
- Willie Brown, former mayor of San Francisco (1996–2004) and Speaker of the California State Assembly (1980–1995)[92] (previously endorsed Lee)[93]
- Local officials
- Carl DeMaio, former San Diego city councilor (2008–2012)[94]
- Federal officials
- Carol Moseley Braun, U.S. Ambassador to New Zealand and Samoa (1999–2001), U.S. senator from Illinois (1993–1999)[95]
- Cedric Richmond, Director of the Office of Public Liaison (2021–2022), U.S. representative from LA-2 (2011–2021)[95]
- Tony West, U.S. Associate Attorney General (2012–2014)[95]
- Statewide officials
- Cheri Beasley, Chief Justice (2019–2020) of the North Carolina Supreme Court (2012–2020)[95]
- Rob Bonta[f], California Attorney General (2021–present)[96]
- Malia Cohen, California State Controller (2023–present)[22]
- Keith Ellison, Minnesota Attorney General (2019–present) and U.S. representative from MN-5 (2007–2019)[97]
- Ricardo Lara, California Insurance Commissioner (2019–present)[98]
- Sally Lieber, California State Board of Equalization member (2023–present)[95]
- Fiona Ma, California State Treasurer (2019–present)[22]
- Tony Thurmond, California State Superintendent of Public Instruction (2019–present)[22]
- Shirley Weber, California Secretary of State (2021–present)[95]
- U.S. representatives
- Jamaal Bowman, NY-16 (2021–present)[99]
- John Burton, CA-5 (1974–1983), former California Democratic Party Chair (2009–2017)[95]
- Troy Carter, LA-2 (2021–present)[99]
- Emanuel Cleaver, MO-5 (2005–present)[92]
- Jim Clyburn, SC-6 (1993–present)[100]
- Bonnie Watson Coleman, NJ-12 (2015–present)[99]
- Mark DeSaulnier,[g] CA-10 (2015–present)[101]
- Steven Horsford, NV-4 (2013–2015, 2019–present)[102]
- Sheila Jackson Lee, TX-18 (1995–present)[95]
- Pramila Jayapal, WA-7 (2017–present)[103]
- Sydney Kamlager-Dove[g], CA-37 (2023–present)[102]
- Ro Khanna[h], CA-17 (2017–present)[19]
- Lucy McBath, GA-7 (2019–present)[97]
- Jerry McNerney, CA-9 (2007–2023)[95]
- Gregory Meeks, NY-5 (1998–present)[99]
- Ilhan Omar, MN-5 (2019–present)[104]
- Mark Pocan, WI-2 (2013–present)[95]
- Ayanna Pressley, MA-7 (2019–present)[105]
- Lucille Roybal-Allard, CA-40 (1993–2023)[95]
- Jan Schakowsky, IL-9 (1999–present)[95]
- Terri Sewell, AL-7 (2011–present)[99]
- Marilyn Strickland, WA-10 (2021–present)[95]
- Bennie Thompson, MS-2 (1993–present)[99]
- Maxine Waters, CA-43 (1991–present)[101]
- Nikema Williams, GA-5 (2021–present)[95]
- State senators
- Steven Bradford, SD-35 (2016–present)[95]
- Anna Caballero, SD-14 (2018–present)[95]
- Susan Eggman, SD-05 (2020–present)[98]
- Loni Hancock, SD-09 (2008–2016)[95]
- Nancy Skinner, SD-09 (2016–present)[106]
- Lola Smallwood-Cuevas, SD-28 (2022–present)[107]
- Caroline Menjivar, SD-20 (2022–present)[98]
- State assemblymembers
- Isaac Bryan, AD-55 (2021–present)[107]
- Mia Bonta, AD-18 (2021–present)[108]
- Cheryl Brown, AD-47 (2012–2016)[95]
- Mike Gipson, AD-65 (2014–present)[95]
- Lorena Gonzalez Fletcher, AD-80 (2013–2022)[95]
- Corey Jackson, AD-60 (2022–present)[98]
- Ash Kalra, AD-25 (2016–present)[95]
- Liz Ortega, AD-20 (2022–present)[95]
- Sandré Swanson, AD-16 (2006–2012)[95]
- Buffy Wicks[f], AD-15 (2018–present)[109]
- Lori Wilson, AD-11 (2022–present)[22]
- Municipal officials
- Diana Becton, Contra Costa County District Attorney (2017–present)[110]
- John Gioia, Contra Costa County supervisor from the 1st district (1998–present)[95]
- Jane Kim, former San Francisco supervisor from the 6th district (2011–2019)[111]
- Nora Vargas, Chair (2023–present) of the San Diego County Board of Supervisors from the 1st district (2021–present)[112]
- Shamann Walton, San Francisco supervisor from the 10th district (2019–present)[113]
- Mayors in California
- Konstantine Anthony, mayor of Burbank (2022–present) (previously endorsed Schiff)[114]
- Jesse Arreguín, mayor of Berkeley (2016–present)[95]
- Karen Bass, mayor of Los Angeles (2022–present), U.S. representative from CA-37 (2011–2022)[115]
- Tom Bates, mayor of Berkeley (2002–2016)[95]
- London Breed, mayor of San Francisco (2018–present)[17]
Willie Brown, mayor of San Francisco (1996–2004) and Speaker of the California State Assembly (1980–1995)[93](endorsed Butler's potential bid)[92][i]- Farrah Khan, mayor of Irvine (2020–present)[95]
- Bill Paparian[j], mayor of Pasadena (1995–1997)[116]
- Libby Schaaf, mayor of Oakland (2015–2023)[17]
- Sheng Thao, mayor of Oakland (2023–present)[22]
- Helen Tran, mayor of San Bernardino (2022–present)[117]
- Michael Tubbs, mayor of Stockton (2017–2021)[95]
- Local officials
- 7/8 members of the Oakland City Council[95][98]
- Jovanka Beckles, AC Transit board member (2020–present)[98]
- Mike Bonin, Los Angeles city councilor from the 11th district (2013–2022)[118]
- Bevan Dufty, BART board member (2002–2011)[98]
- Maebe A. Girl, at-large Silver Lake neighborhood councilor (2019–present)[95]
- Eunisses Hernandez, Los Angeles city councilor from the 1st district (2022–present)[119]
- Heather Hutt, Los Angeles city councilor from the 10th district (2022–present)[95]
- Lateefah Simon, BART board member (2016–present)[95]
- Hugo Soto-Martinez, Los Angeles city councilor from the 13th district (2022–present)[119]
- Other state representatives
- Stacey Abrams, Minority Leader of the Georgia House (2011–2017)[120]
- Justin Jones, Tennessee state representative from the 52nd district (2023–present)[121]
- Yuh-Line Niou, New York state assemblymember from the 65th district (2017–2022)[95]
- California Democratic Party caucus chairs
- Taisha Brown, former Black Caucus chair[95]
- Ann Crosbie, former Children's Caucus chair[95]
- Yassar Dahbour, former Arab American Caucus chair[95]
- Fatima Iqbal-Zubair, Progressive Caucus chair[95]
- Kendra Lewis, Black Caucus chair[95]
- Basil Kimbrew, Veterans Caucus chair[95]
- Rima Nashashibi, Arab American Caucus chair[95]
- John O'Riordan, Irish American Caucus chair[95]
- Deepa Sharma, AAPI Caucus chair[122]
- Amar Shergill, former Progressive Caucus chair[123]
- Igor Tregub, Environmental Caucus chair[95]
- Tiffany Woods, former LGBTQ Caucus co-chair[98]
- Individuals
- Aimee Allison, political data firm founder[124]
- Marquita Bradshaw, Sierra Club Tennessee environmental justice chair[125]
- Jamie Foxx, actor[126]
- Danny Glover, actor[126]
- Maya Harris, political strategist and sister of Vice President Kamala Harris[95]
- Dolores Huerta, co-founder of United Farm Workers[127]
- James Lawson, civil rights activist and pastor[95]
- Sheryl Lee Ralph, actress and singer[95]
- Goapele Mohlabane, singer-songwriter[95]
- Gloria Steinem, feminist writer and journalist[95]
- Mini Timmaraju, lawyer[128]
- Cornel West, social critic (Independent)[95]
- Alfre Woodard, actress[95]
- Labor unions
- Organizations
- Alice B. Toklas LGBTQ Democratic Club[131]
- Black Women Organized for Political Action PAC[132]
- California Legislative Black Caucus[127]
- Center for Asian American Media[133]
- Collective PAC[134]
- Congressional Black Caucus PAC[93]
- Courage California[135]
- East Bay Stonewall Democratic Club[136]
- East Bay Young Democrats[137]
- Feminist Majority PAC[138]
- Gen-Z for Change[139]
- Harvey Milk LGBTQ Democratic Club[98]
- J Street PAC[k][140]
- Our Revolution[141]
- Peace Action[142]
- Progressive Democrats of America[143]
- Reproductive Freedom for All - National and California chapters[128]
- San Diego County Young Democrats[144]
- Wellstone Progressive Democrats of Sacramento[l][145]
- Political parties
- Culver City Democratic Party[107]
- Working Families Party[111]
- Newspapers
- Statewide officials
- Rob Bonta[m], California Attorney General (2021–present)[96]
- U.S. senators
- Elizabeth Warren, U.S. senator from Massachusetts (2013–present)[150]
- U.S. representatives
- Robert Garcia, CA-42 (2023–present)[151]
- State senators
- Catherine Blakespear, SD-38 (2022–present)[152]
- Melissa Hurtado, SD-16 (2018–present)[152]
- Josh Newman, SD-29 (2016–2018, 2020–present)[153]
- Scott Wiener, SD-11 (2016–present)[154]
- State assemblymembers
- Alex Lee, AD-24 (2020–present)[152]
- Cottie Petrie-Norris, AD-73 (2018–present)[155]
- Chris Ward, AD-78 (2020–present)[152]
- Buffy Wicks[m], AD-15 (2018–present)[109]
- Local officials
- Tammy Kim, at-large Irvine City Councilor (2020–2021, 2022–present)[152]
- Cori Schumacher, former Carlsbad city councilor (2016–2021)[156]
- Kathleen Treseder, at-large Irvine City Councilor (2022–present)[152]
- Individuals
- Krystal Ball, media host[157]
- Elizabeth Banks, actress and filmmaker[152]
- Brian Tyler Cohen, podcaster[152]
- Michael Eisen, biologist (Independent)[152]
- Franklin Leonard, film executive[152]
- Adam Scott, actor and comedian[152]
- Labor unions
- California Labor Federation[n][130]
- California School Employees Association[158]
- Communications Workers of America District 9[159]
- International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Locals 180, 441, and 569[158][160][156]
- National Union of Healthcare Workers[161]
- North Orange County Community College District Adjunct Facility United (AFT Local 6106)[162]
- Organizations
- J Street PAC[n][140]
- Lavender Democrats of Orange County[152]
- Progressive Change Campaign Committee PAC[163]
- Vote Common Good[164]
- Vote Mama[165]
- Political parties
- Democrats of Greater Irvine[166]
- Federal officials
- Louis Caldera, former U.S. Secretary of the Army (1998–2001)[167]
- U.S. senators
- Barbara Boxer, former U.S. Senator from California (1993–2017)[168]
- U.S. representatives
- Ami Bera, CA-6 (2013–present)[169]
- Howard Berman, CA-28 (1983–2013)[170]
- Julia Brownley, CA-26 (2013–present)[170]
- Salud Carbajal, CA-24 (2017–present)[167]
- Lou Correa, CA-46 (2017–present)[171]
- Jim Costa, CA-21 (2005–present)[170]
- Susan Davis, CA-53 (2001–2021)[170]
- Mark DeSaulnier,[m] CA-10 (2015–present)[101]
- Anna Eshoo, CA-16 (1993–present)[170]
- Sam Farr, CA-20 (1993–2017)[170]
- Jimmy Gomez, CA-34 (2017–present)[170]
- Jane Harman, CA-36 (1993–1999, 2001–2011)[172]
- Jared Huffman, CA-02 (2013–present)[173]
- Sydney Kamlager-Dove[m], CA-37 (2023–present)[102][92]
- Mike Levin, CA-49 (2019–present)[170]
- Mel Levine, CA-27 (1983–1993)[170]
- Ted Lieu, CA-36 (2015–present)[170]
- Alan Lowenthal, CA-47 (2013–2023)[170]
- Doris Matsui, CA-07 (2005–present)[174]
- Jerry McNerney, CA-09 (2007–2023)[170]
- George Miller, CA-11 (1975–2015)[170]
- Kevin Mullin, CA-15 (2023–present)[174]
- Grace Napolitano, CA-31 (1999–present)[170]
- Jimmy Panetta, CA-19 (2017–present)[170]
- Nancy Pelosi, CA-11 (1987–present), Speaker of the House (2007–2011, 2019–2023)[175]
- Scott Peters, CA-50 (2013–present)[170]
- Linda Sánchez, CA-38 (2003–present)[171]
- Brad Sherman, CA-32 (1997–present)[170]
- Eric Swalwell, CA-14 (2013–present)[170]
- Mark Takano, CA-39 (2013–present)[174]
- Mike Thompson, CA-04 (1999–present)[170]
- Juan Vargas, CA-52 (2013–present)[170]
- Henry Waxman, CA-33 (1975–2015)[170]
- State senators
- Ben Allen, SD-26 (2014–present)[176]
- Bob Archuleta, SD-32 (2018–present)[176]
- Bill Dodd, SD-03 (2016–present)[176]
- María Elena Durazo, SD-26 (2018–present)[167]
- Steve Glazer, SD-07 (2015–present)[176]
- Steve Padilla, SD-18 (2022–present)[167]
- Richard Polanco, SD-22 (1994–2002)[167]
- Anthony Portantino, SD-25 (2016–present)[176]
- Richard Roth, SD-31 (2012–present)[176]
- Henry Stern, SD-27 (2016–present)[176]
- Art Torres, SD-24 (1982–1994), California Democratic Party Chair (1996–2009)[167]
- Tom Umberg, SD-34 (2018–present)[176]
- Jim Wood, SD-02 (2014–present)[176]
- State assemblymembers
- Lisa Calderon, AD-57 (2020–present)[176]
- Juan Carrillo, AD-39 (2022–present)[167]
- Damon Connolly, AD-12 (2022–present)[176]
- Mike Fong, AD-49 (2022–present)[176]
- Laura Friedman, AD-43 (2016–present)[176]
- Jesse Gabriel, AD-45 (2018–2022)[177]
- Chris Holden, AD-41 (2012–present), 53rd mayor of Pasadena (1997–1999)[176]
- Jacqui Irwin, AD-42 (2014–present)[176]
- Josh Lowenthal, AD-69 (2022–present)[176]
- Tina McKinnor, AD-62 (2022–present)[173]
- Al Muratsuchi, AD-66 (2012–2014, 2016–present)[176]
- Blanca Pacheco, AD-64 (2022–present)[171]
- Anthony Rendon, AD-62 (2012–present)[167]
- Robert Rivas, Speaker of the California State Assembly (2023–present) from AD-29 (2018–present)[178]
- Rudy Salas, AD-32 (2012–2022)[167]
- Avelino Valencia, AD-68 (2022–present)[171]
- Rick Zbur, AD-51 (2022–present)[167]
- Municipal officials
- Doug Chaffee, Orange County supervisor from the 4th district (2019–present)[171]
- Matt Dorsey, San Francisco supervisor (2022–present)[113]
- Janice Hahn, Chair of Los Angeles County (2018–2019, 2022–present), U.S. representative from CA-44 (2011–2016)[179]
- Dennis Herrera, SFPUC general manager (2021–present), San Francisco City Attorney (2002–2021)[113]
- Terra Lawson-Remer, San Diego County supervisor (2021–present)[172]
- Aaron Peskin, San Francisco supervisor (2001–2009, 2015–present)[113]
- Mayors in California
- Ashleigh Aitken, mayor of Anaheim (2022–present)[171]
Konstantine Anthony, mayor of Burbank (2022–present)[173] (switched endorsement to Lee)[114]- Todd Gloria, mayor of San Diego (2013–2014, 2020–present)[167]
- Darrell Steinberg, mayor of Sacramento (2016–present)[176]
- Local officials
- John Pérez, University of California regent (2014–present) and former assemblymember from AD-53 (2008–2014)[167]
- Katy Young Yaroslavsky, Los Angeles city councilor from the 5th district (2022–present)[172]
- Individuals
- Jamie Lee Curtis, actress and producer[180]
- Lindsay Dougherty, labor leader[181]
- Jon Hamm, actor[182][better source needed]
- Edward Kelly, International Association of Fire Fighters general president (2021–present)[183]
- Matthew Loeb, International Alliance of Theatrical Stage Employees International President (2008–present)[184]
- Douglas McCarron, United Brotherhood of Carpenters and Joiners of America general president (1995–present)[185]
- Labor unions
- Actors' Equity Association[186]
- Amalgamated Transit Union - International and California Conference Boards[187]
- California Labor Federation[o][130]
- International Alliance of Theatrical Stage Employees - California State Council, District 2, and Local 80[188][184]
- International Association of Fire Fighters and California Professional Firefighters[183]
- International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers California State Association and 13 locals[189][190]
- International Brotherhood of Teamsters California, Joint Councils 7 and 42, and Locals 399 and 856[181]
- International Union of Operating Engineers California-Nevada State Council and Locals 3, 12, and 501[189]
- United Brotherhood of Carpenters and Joiners of America - National, Southwest Mountain States Regional Council, and Northern California Regional Council[185]
- United Farm Workers[191]
- Organizations
- Armenian National Committee of America-Western Region[192]
- California Legislative Jewish Caucus[177]
- Democratic Majority for Israel[193]
- J Street PAC[o][140]
- Newspapers
- U.S. Senators
- Laphonza Butler, U.S. Senator from California (2023–present)[195]
- U.S. representatives
- Zoe Lofgren, CA-18 (1995–present)[101]
- Political parties
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[p] |
Margin of error |
James Bradley (R) |
Eric Early (R) |
Steve Garvey (R) |
Barbara Lee (D) |
Katie Porter (D) |
Adam Schiff (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
USC Dornsife/Price Center for Urban Politics and Policy, CSU Long Beach/Cal Poly Pomona |
January 21-29, 2024 | 1,416 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 1% | 1% | 15% | 7% | 15% | 26% | 2%[q] | 29% |
Emerson College/ Inside California Politics |
January 11–14, 2024 | 1,087 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 2% | 3% | 18% | 8% | 13% | 25% | 5%[r] | 24% |
UC Berkeley IGS | January 4–8, 2024 | 4,470 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 3% | 3% | 13% | 9% | 17% | 21% | 13%[s] | 21% |
December 15–19, 2023 | 858 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 5% | 4% | 15% | 12% | 14% | 26% | 4%[t] | 19% | |
December 7–10, 2023 | 590 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 5% | 6% | 15% | 12% | 12% | 22% | 8%[u] | 20% | |
Public Policy Institute of California |
November 9–16, 2023 | 1,113 (LV) | ± 3.2% | – | – | 10% | 8% | 16% | 21% | 27% | 14% |
Emerson College/ Inside California Politics[A] |
November 11–14, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 3% | 2% | 10% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 8%[v] | 39% |
UC Berkeley IGS[B] | October 24–30, 2023 | 4,506 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 7% | 4% | 10% | 9% | 17% | 16% | 7%[w] | 30% |
Public Policy Institute of California |
October 3–19, 2023 | 1,395 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 5% | 6% | – | 9% | 18% | 21% | 32%[x] | 8% |
Data Viewpoint | October 1, 2023 | 533 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | – | 6.4% | 18.9% | 19.1% | 13.5%[y] | 32.4% |
Public Policy Institute of California |
August 25 – September 5, 2023 |
1,146 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 5% | 5% | – | 8% | 15% | 20% | 31%[z] | 16% |
UC Berkeley IGS | August 24–29, 2023 | 4,579 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 7% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 17% | 20% | 12%[aa] | 32% |
Public Policy Institute of California |
June 7–29, 2023 | 1,092 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 6% | 7% | – | 13% | 19% | 16% | 33%[ab] | 6% |
Emerson College/ Inside California Politics |
June 4–7, 2023 | 1,056 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 6% | 3% | – | 6% | 14% | 15% | 9%[ac] | 47% |
UC Berkeley IGS | May 17–22, 2023 | 5,236 (LV) | ± 2.5% | – | 18% | – | 9% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 32% |
FM3 Research[C] | May 13–21, 2023 | 1,380 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | 27% | – | 11% | 24% | 21% | 17% | |
UC Berkeley IGS | February 14–20, 2023 | 7,512 (RV) | ± 2.5% | – | – | – | 8% | 20% | 23% | 10% | 39% |
- Ro Khanna vs. Barbara Lee vs. Katie Porter vs. Adam Schiff
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[p] |
Margin of error |
Ro Khanna (D) |
Barbara Lee (D) |
Katie Porter (D) |
Adam Schiff (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UC Berkeley IGS | February 14–20, 2023 | 7,512 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 4% | 6% | 20% | 22% | 9% | 39% |
David Binder Research | November 19–21, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 6% | 9% | 30% | 29% | 9%[ad] | 17% |
- With vs. without Steve Garvey
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[p] |
Margin of error |
James Bradley (R) |
Eric Early (R) |
Steve Garvey (R) |
Barbara Lee (D) |
Katie Porter (D) |
Lexie Reese (D) |
Adam Schiff (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UC Berkeley IGS | Aug 24–29, 2023 | 3,113 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 7% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 17% | 1% | 20% | 4% | 32% |
10% | 7% | – | 7% | 17% | 1% | 20% | 4% | 34% |
Fundraising
Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023[ae] | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
James Bradley (R) | $116,297 | $93,022 | $23,359 |
Eric Early (R) | $812,287[af] | $672,032 | $140,254 |
Steve Garvey (R) | $610,920 | $302,760 | $308,160 |
Denice Gary-Pandol (R) | $115,403 | $109,606 | $5,796 |
Barbara Lee (D) | $4,442,235 | $3,626,274 | $815,960 |
Christina Pascucci (D) | $378,550 | $224,464 | $154,086 |
Katie Porter (D) | $25,149,817 | $11,947,991 | $13,201,825 |
Perry Pound (D) | $31,860 | $24,511 | $7,348 |
Lexi Reese (D)[ag] | $2,016,597 | $1,810,020 | $206,576 |
Adam Schiff (D) | $27,801,758 | $13,890,917 | $34,933,801 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[196] |
Debate
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||||
Steve Garvey | Barbara Lee | Katie Porter | Adam Schiff | |||||
1 | Jan 22, 2024 | California Environmental Voters Education Fund KFI KTTV Politico USC Dornsife Center |
Melanie Mason Elex Michaelson |
YouTube | P | P | P | P |
2 | Feb 12, 2024 | Nexstar Media Group stations: | Frank Buckley
Nikki Laurenzo |
I | I | I | I |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Sharleta Bassett | |||
Republican | James Bradley | |||
Republican | Eric Early | |||
Republican | Steve Garvey | |||
Republican | Denice Gary-Pandol | |||
No party preference | Laura Garza[b] | |||
Democratic | Sepi Gilani | |||
No party preference | Don Grundmann[c] | |||
American Independent | Forrest Jones | |||
Democratic | Harmesh Kumar | |||
Democratic | Barbara Lee | |||
Republican | Sarah Sun Liew | |||
Libertarian | Gail Lightfoot | |||
Republican | James Macauley | |||
Democratic | Christina Pascucci | |||
Democratic | David Peterson | |||
Democratic | Douglas Pierce | |||
Democratic | Katie Porter | |||
Democratic | Perry Pound | |||
Democratic | Raji Rab | |||
Republican | Jonathan Reiss | |||
Democratic | John Rose | |||
No party preference | Mark Ruzon[d] | |||
Democratic | Adam Schiff | |||
Republican | Stefan Simchowitz | |||
No party preference | Major Singh | |||
Republican | Martin Veprauskas | |||
Total votes |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Eric Early | |||
Republican | Steve Garvey | |||
Democratic | Sepi Gilani | |||
Democratic | Barbara Lee | |||
Democratic | Christina Pascucci | |||
Democratic | Katie Porter | |||
Democratic | Adam Schiff | |||
Total votes |
General elections
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[197] | Solid D | November 9, 2023 |
Inside Elections[198] | Solid D | November 9, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[199] | Safe D | November 9, 2023 |
Elections Daily[200] | Safe D | May 4, 2023 |
CNalysis[201] | Solid D | November 21, 2023 |
Polling
- Katie Porter vs. Adam Schiff
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[p] |
Margin of error |
Katie Porter (D) |
Adam Schiff (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
David Binder Research | November 19–21, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 37% | 26% | 37%[ah] |
Notes
- ^ In October 2023, Butler was appointed by Governor Gavin Newsom to fill the vacancy caused by the death of Senator Dianne Feinstein.
- ^ a b Garza is a member of the Socialist Workers Party, but is running as No Party Preference because the Socialist Workers Party does not currently have ballot access in California
- ^ a b Grundmann is a member of the Constitution Party, but is running as No Party Preference because the Constitution Party does not currently have ballot access in California
- ^ a b Ruzon is a member of the American Solidarity Party, but is running as No Party Preference because the American Solidarity Party does not currently have ballot access in California.[9]
- ^ Schwarzenegger is a Republican, but media speculated that he might run as an independent candidate.
- ^ a b Co-endorsement with Porter
- ^ a b Co-endorsement with Schiff
- ^ Her campaign co-chair
- ^ Brown publicly stated he wished for Schiff, Porter, and Lee to withdraw and endorse Butler's potential bid; however, Butler declined to run for a full term.
- ^ No party preference
- ^ a b Co-endorsement with Porter and Schiff
- ^ Wellstone Progressive Democrats is an affiliate of both Progressive Democrats of America and Our Revolution
- ^ a b c d Co-endorsement with Lee
- ^ a b Co-endorsement with Lee and Schiff
- ^ a b Co-endorsement with Lee and Porter
- ^ a b c d Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ Jessica Resendez (D) with 1%; “All other individual candidates with 1%
- ^ Christina Pascucci (D) with 2%; Jonathan Reiss (R) with 1%; Sarah Sun Liew (R) with 1%; Someone else with 1%
- ^ Sharleta Bassett (R) with 3%; Jonathan Reiss (R) with 2%; "All others (each with 1% or more)" with 8%
- ^ Christina Pascucci (D) with 3%; Denise Gary-Pandol (R) with 1%
- ^ Christina Pascucci (D) with 5%; Jonathan Reiss (R), Lexi Reese (D) & "Other" with 1%
- ^ Christina Pascucci (D), Lexi Reese (D) & "Someone else" with 2%; Sarah Liew (R) & Jonathan Reiss (R) with 1%
- ^ "Others" with 5%; Lexie Reese (D) & Christina Pascucci (D) with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 12%; Barack Mandela (R), Sarah Liew (R), Jonathan Reiss (R) & Jessica Resendez (D) with 2%; Paul Anderson (G), Dana Bobbit (I), Joshua Bocanegra (D), Danny Fabricant (R), Jeremy Fennell (D), Frank Ferreira (I), Roxanne Lawler (R), John Poppenheim (R), Raji Rab (D), Lexi Reese (D), Katie Roederscheimer (I) & John Rose (D) with 1%; Akinyemi Agbede (D), Fepbrina Autiameineire (O), Jacob Farmos (D), Carson Franklin (D), Dian Foxington (D), Denice Gary-Pandol (R), Jehu Hand (R), Denard Ingram (D), Zakaira Kortam (R) & "Would not vote" with 0%
- ^ Sarah Liew (R) with 2.6%; Several other candidates with <2%
- ^ Barack Mandela, Jonathan Reiss, Jessica Resendez and "Someone else" with 3%; Roxanne Lawler, John Pappenheim, Katie Roedersheimer, and Sarah Sun Liew with 2%; Akinyemi Agbede, Paul Anderson, Dana Bobbit, Joshua Bocanegra, Danny Fabricant, Jacob Farmos, Frank Ferreria, Denise Gary-Pandol, Zakaira Kortam, Lexi Reese, John Rose, and "Would not vote" with 1%; Fepbrina Autiameineire, Jeremy Fennell, Dian Foxington, Carson Franklin, Jehu Hand, Denard Ingram, and Raji Rab with 0%
- ^ Lexie Reese (D) with 1%; “Others” with 4%
- ^ Sarah Sun Liew with 5%; Jonathan Reiss with 4%; Frank Ferreria and "Someone else" with 3%; Joshua Bocanegra, Danny Fabricant, Roxanne Lawler, Raji Rab, and Jessica Resendez with 2%; Akinyemi Agbede, Jacob Farmos, Jeremy Fennell, Denise Gary-Pandol, Denard Ingram, and Jehu Hand with 1%
- ^ Jessica Resendez with 3%; Douglas Howard Pierce with 2%; Frank Ferreria, Denise Gary-Pandol, Roxanne Lawler, Raji Rab, Jonathan Reiss, and "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ "Generic Republican" with 9%
- ^ Due to the large number of candidates in the race, only those with more than $25,000 raised are included in this table
- ^ $204,200 of this total was self-funded by Early
- ^ Withdrawn candidate
- ^ Includes "Would not vote" at 19%
- Partisan clients
- ^ Poll sponsored by Nexstar Media
- ^ Poll sponsored by the Los Angeles Times
- ^ Poll sponsored by Lee's campaign
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Rep. Barbara Lee's campaign for U.S. Senate picked up the endorsements of two L.A. council members: Eunisses Hernandez and Hugo Soto-Martínez, who make up part of the council's leftmost flank.
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In March, the Building and Construction Trades Council of Alameda County endorsed Lee —garnering support from 40,000 workers who make up the membership of 28 affiliated unions in Lee's current congressional district.
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- ^ "2023 Endorsements". East Bay Young Democrats. Retrieved September 20, 2023.
- ^ "2024 – Feminist Majority PAC". Feminist Majority Foundation PAC. Retrieved April 11, 2023.
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- ^ a b c "About JStreetPAC: Our Senate Endorsees". J Street PAC. Retrieved May 8, 2023.
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- ^ "Peace Voter 2024". Peace Action. Archived from the original on July 14, 2023. Retrieved July 14, 2023.
- ^ Hersh, Mike (January 9, 2024). "Help Pro-Peace Barbara Lee Win Her Upcoming Primary for Senate". Progressive Democrats of America. Retrieved January 9, 2024.
- ^ "SDCYD Official Endorsements: 2024 Primary Election Endorsements". San Diego County Young Democrats. Retrieved October 29, 2023.
- ^ Wellstone Progressive Democrats (Our Revolution) [@WellstoneDems] (March 15, 2023). "What a wonderful evening with the amazing @BarbaraLeeForCA. She's ready to fight for progressive policies that will help our communities thrive! Join the fight and donate today! #BarbaraleeSpeaksForMe" (Tweet). Retrieved October 29, 2023 – via Twitter.
- ^ "Editorial: Barbara Lee for US Senate". Bay Area Reporter. January 24, 2024. Retrieved January 24, 2024.
- ^ a b c Timotija, Filip (January 17, 2024). "California McClatchy newspapers endorse Barbara Lee for Senate". The Hill. Retrieved January 20, 2024.
- ^ "Endorsements for the March 5, 2024 Election". San Francisco Bay Guardian. February 1, 2024. Archived from the original on February 4, 2024. Retrieved February 4, 2024.
- ^ "3 strong candidates want to be California's next U.S. senator. Here's our endorsement". The Sacramento Bee. January 17, 2024. Retrieved January 18, 2024.
- ^ Vitali, Ali (January 12, 2023). "Warren backs Porter in California Senate primary". NBC News.
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- ^ White, Jeremy B.; Gardiner, Dustin; Korte, Lara (November 16, 2023). "Decision time for a Dem party chair: First in Playbook - Great Scott". Politico. Retrieved November 16, 2023.
Rep. Katie Porter has scooped up the endorsement of state Sen. Scott Wiener, who praised her as someone 'who will go against the grain and speak truth to power.'
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- ^ a b Schumacher, Cori (July 17, 2023). "IBEW 569 Endorses Katie Porter for U.S. Senate". IBEW Local 569. Retrieved July 21, 2023.
- ^ Corbett, Jessica (January 10, 2023). "Pledging to 'Stand Up to Special Interests,' Katie Porter Announces Senate Bid". Common Dreams. Retrieved May 8, 2023.
- ^ a b Chmielewski, Dan (January 5, 2024). "Katie Porter's Senate Bid Endorsed by the California School Employees Association". The Liberal OC. Retrieved January 9, 2024.
- ^ Chmielewski, Dan (October 18, 2023). "Katie Porter's Senate Bid Endorsed by the Statewide Communications Workers". The Liberal OC. Retrieved October 21, 2023.
- ^ IBEW Orange County 441 (@ibewoc441) [@ibewoc441] (May 5, 2023). "IBEW Local 441 proudly endorses Congresswoman Katie Porter for US Senate. For years, Porter has been a champion for IBEW, for working families, and for consumer protections. SHE'S GOT OUR BACK!". Retrieved May 8, 2023 – via Instagram.
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: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link) - ^ Yu, Yue Stella (October 11, 2023). "Labor forged Laphonza Butler. Could unions 'sling-shot' her Senate bid?". KPBS-FM. Retrieved October 11, 2023.
Update: The National Union of Healthcare Workers announced Oct. 11 it has endorsed Rep. Katie Porter.
- ^ Adjunct Facility United (AFT Local 6106) [@AFT6106] (May 19, 2023). "We are proud to endorse Katie Porter for US Senate! Katie understands that everyone benefits when educators are supported and our future workforce has the tools they need to succeed in the classroom. She's exactly the kind of leader we need in the Senate" (Tweet). Retrieved May 19, 2023 – via Twitter.
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: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link) - ^ Giroux, Greg (January 10, 2023). "Feinstein, 89, Faces Pressure on 2024 as Porter Enters Race". Bloomberg News Government. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
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- ^ Okorie, O. Gloria (February 1, 2024). "Barbara Boxer endorses Rep. Adam Schiff, breaking neutrality promise". KTVU 2. Retrieved February 4, 2024.
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- ^ a b Gardiner, Dustin; Korte, Lara (October 26, 2023). "A mid-air PR crisis for psychedelic advocates: Israel Aligned". Politico. Retrieved October 27, 2023.
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- ^ "California IATSE Council Endorses Adam Schiff for U.S. Senate". California IATSE Council. February 9, 2023. Retrieved February 11, 2023.
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External links
- Official campaign websites
- Sharleta Bassett (R) for Senate
- James Bradley (R) for Senate
- Eric Early (R) for Senate
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