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2018 Lewisham East by-election

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2018 Lewisham East by-election
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Lewisham East constituency
Turnout33.3%
  First party Second party Third party
 
LIB
CON
Candidate Janet Daby Lucy Salek Ross Archer
Party Labour Liberal Democrats Conservative
Popular vote 11,033 5,404 3,168
Percentage 50.2% 24.6% 14.4%
Swing Decrease17.7% Increase20.2% Decrease8.6%
MP before election

Heidi Alexander
Labour

Elected MP

Janet Daby
Labour

A by-election was held in the UK Parliament constituency of Lewisham East on 14 June 2018, following the resignation of Labour MP Heidi Alexander.[1][2] It was the second by-election held during the 57th UK Parliament, which was elected in June 2017.

The election was won by Janet Daby of the Labour Party with 50.2% of the vote, on a significantly reduced majority for her party.[3]

Background

[edit]

On 8 May 2018, the incumbent Labour MP Heidi Alexander announced her appointment as London Deputy Mayor for Transport, a role that required her to stand down from the House of Commons. On 9 May she was appointed Crown Steward and Bailiff of the Manor of Northstead, an office of profit under the Crown, which legally formalised her resignation from Parliament.[4] She served as the MP for Lewisham East for eight years, having first been elected at the 2010 general election. She served in Labour's Shadow Cabinet until 2016, and was an active campaigner for the United Kingdom to remain in the single market after Brexit. She had been critical of Labour's leadership, describing it as "dysfunctional".[5]

The Lewisham East constituency had been represented by MPs from the Labour Party since 1992, and was considered a safe seat for the party.[6] The constituency was within the London Borough of Lewisham, in which the Labour Party won every single seat at the local elections in 2018. The seat had an active branch of Momentum, a left-wing pressure group dedicated to supporting the leadership of Jeremy Corbyn. Lewisham London Borough Council administered the by-election.

In the 2016 referendum, the Borough of Lewisham, of which the constituency is a part, voted to remain in the European Union. Through demographic modelling, the Remain vote in the Lewisham East constituency was estimated as 66% by Number Cruncher Politics and as 65% by Chris Hanretty at Royal Holloway.[7]

Candidates

[edit]

The Labour Party selected Lewisham deputy mayor nominee Janet Daby as its candidate.[8] She had a background in social care and managed a food poverty charity.[9][10] The Conservative Party selected Ross Archer,[11] who contested the borough mayoralty in May 2018.[12] His campaign was focused on housing, education, policing and the zoning of Grove Park railway station.[10] The Liberal Democrats announced their candidate as Lucy Salek,[13] a humanitarian worker and consultant[10][14][15] who had stood in Lewisham Council elections,[16] and contested Southend West in the 2017 general election. They intended to use the by-election to "send a message to the Labour leadership about Brexit", with party leader Vince Cable aiming to "cut the majority substantially".[17]

The Green Party's candidate was secondary school teacher and clean air campaigner Rosamund Kissi-Debrah.[10][18] She stood on a platform of reducing air pollution, improving local schools and for British people to "have a final say on Europe".[19] The UK Independence Party (UKIP) announced on 14 May that London Assembly Member David Kurten would stand as its candidate.[20][21] He pledged to campaign for "full Brexit" and for a "tough stance on policing and crime".[10] For Britain announced on 12 May that party leader Anne Marie Waters would stand.[22] In the 2015 general election Waters stood as the UKIP candidate for Lewisham East and polled in third place. The Women's Equality Party announced on 17 May its intention to stand Mandu Reid,[23] a Lewisham resident and founder of The Cup Effect, a women's menstrual health NGO.[10][24] Democrats and Veterans announced that Massimo DiMambro, who was the UKIP candidate in Lewisham Deptford in the 2015 general election, would be their candidate.[25] The Official Monster Raving Loony Party announced that its leader, Howling Laud Hope, would be its candidate.[26]

Labour Party selection process

[edit]

The Labour selection was reported in the media as revealing splits in the Labour Party.[27] This was the first by-election contested by the party since Jennie Formby took over as general secretary,[2] which led to speculation that centrist candidates might be excluded.[2][28] The Lewisham East Labour Left caucus group called for a socialist MP who would "campaign for...a left-wing government with Jeremy Corbyn as Prime Minister".[29] On 10 May 2018, Ian McKenzie, chair of the Constituency Labour Party (CLP), emailed members concerned that the National Executive Committee (NEC) was rushing the selection to prevent them having their say.[2][30]

Potential left-wing candidates included Sakina Sheikh, GMB trade union organiser Nadine Houghton, and NEC member Claudia Webbe. Other potential candidates were Joe Dromey (son of Labour MPs Harriet Harman and Jack Dromey), and Kevin Bonavia.[citation needed] UK Black Pride founder Phyll Opoku-Gyimah was also considered a potential candidate, especially in the event of an all-woman and entirely black and minority ethnic shortlist,[31] but ruled herself out on 13 May, citing an "unexpected situation" in her family.[32] Members who declared that they would stand included Sheikh,[2][33] Bonavia,[34] and Brenda Dacres.[35]

On 14 May the NEC announced a shortlist of Webbe, Dacres, Lewisham councillor Janet Daby and Sheikh,[36] all women from ethnic minorities.[37] McKenzie was said to be delighted by the inclusion of Dacres and Daby.[27] Sheikh received the endorsement of Momentum, whilst Webbe was endorsed by the trade unions Unite[38] and the Communication Workers Union.[39][40] Daby received the support of Unison.[41] Dacres withdrew on 18 May and endorsed Daby, citing "recently diagnosed health reasons".[42] The remaining candidates expressed differing views over Brexit, with Daby pledging to fight for the UK to remain in the customs union and the single market,[17][43] whilst Sheikh and Webbe expressed their opposition to a second referendum or continued membership of the single market.[43]

Sheikh was temporarily withdrawn from the ballot prior to the selection meeting, following accusations that she had supported a rival political organisation, but was reinstated minutes later.[9] Daby went on to be selected by local members on 19 May, receiving 63% of the vote in the first round, with Sheikh receiving 29% and Webbe 8%.[8][44]

Campaign

[edit]

On 22 May, McKenzie, credited with having secured the Labour candidature for Daby which he claimed had "humiliated" Momentum and Unite, was suspended as chair of the CLP and is facing possible disciplinary action over tweets from 2015 and 2016 about Emily Thornberry and ISIS.[45] These were uncovered by left-wing writer Owen Jones, who McKenzie had suggested should keep away from the constituency.[46]

The Liberal Democrats announced their opposition to plans by Lewisham Council to seize the land of Millwall FC's youth academy for redevelopment. Party leader Vince Cable visited the academy in late May; the party's candidate, Lucy Salek, announced that the land should be used for social housing if the redevelopment plans went ahead.[47][48]

A UKIP leaflet titled 'Stop the Khanage', which blamed the high levels of knife crime in London on the Labour Mayor of London, Sadiq Khan, was criticised by Vicky Foxcroft, the MP for the neighbouring constituency of Lewisham Deptford, and Mandu Reid, the WEP candidate in the by-election.[49][50]

On 11 June 2018, three days before the by-election, a vote estimate by the Liberal Democrats on the basis of canvassing data suggested that the party would finish second with 25% of the vote, with Labour on 49% and the Conservatives on 16%.[51]

On 12 June 2018, police shut down a by-election hustings in Catford, leading to one arrest, after it was disrupted by anti-racism protesters led by Stand Up to Racism and Lewisham Anti-Racist Action Group.[52][53][54] The protesters intended to target Anne Marie Waters, who did not attend the event on police advice. Daby and Archer were also absent from the hustings, citing other engagements; Daby had previously refused to share a platform with Waters.[53][54] The protest was criticised by Salek and Reid.[52] Prior to the event, Foxcroft and Damien Egan, the Mayor of Lewisham, had called for Waters to be No Platformed at the hustings.[54]

Result

[edit]
Bar chart of the election result.
Lewisham East by-election, 2018[55]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labour Janet Daby 11,033 50.2 –17.7
Liberal Democrats Lucy Salek 5,404 24.6 +20.2
Conservative Ross Archer 3,161 14.4 –8.6
Green Rosamund Kissi-Debrah 788 3.6 +1.9
Women's Equality Mandu Reid 506 2.3 New
UKIP David Kurten 380 1.7 0.0
For Britain Anne Marie Waters 266 1.2 New
CPA Maureen Martin 168 0.8 +0.3
Monster Raving Loony Howling Laud Hope 93 0.4 New
Democrats and Veterans Massimo DiMambro 67 0.3 New
Libertarian Sean Finch 38 0.2 New
No description Charles Carey 37 0.2 New
Radical Party Patrick Gray 20 0.1 New
Young People's Thomas Hall 18 0.1 New
Majority 5,629 25.6 –19.3
Turnout 22,056 33.3 –36.1
Registered electors 66,140
Labour hold Swing –19.0

The result was the largest swing from Labour to the Liberal Democrats since 2004.[56] The Liberal Democrat leader Vince Cable said: "This result sends a message to the Labour leadership that it cannot take pro-European voters for granted."[57] The Guardian and Evening Standard reported the result as a "surge" for the Liberal Democrats, which was widely reported as being related to the party's opposition to Brexit.[58][59] After being elected, Daby reaffirmed her opposition to a "hard" Brexit.[57][60][61]

Previous result

[edit]

Heidi Alexander was re-elected to a third term of office in 2017, with an increased majority of 21,123 (44.8%) over the Conservative candidate.

General election 2017: Lewisham East[62][63]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labour Heidi Alexander 32,072 67.9 +12.3
Conservative Peter Fortune 10,859 23.0 +0.7
Liberal Democrats Emily Frith 2,086 4.4 –1.3
Green Störm Poorun 803 1.7 –4.0
UKIP Keith Forster 798 1.7 –7.4
Independent Willow Winston 355 0.7 New
CPA Maureen Martin 228 0.4 –0.2
Majority 21,123 44.8 +11.4
Turnout 47,201 69.3 +5.2
Registered electors 68,124
Labour hold Swing +5.8

References

[edit]
  1. ^ "Date set for Lewisham East by-election". BBC News. 10 May 2018. Retrieved 10 May 2018.
  2. ^ a b c d e Elgot, Jessica (8 May 2018). "Heidi Alexander quits as Labour MP to be London deputy mayor". The Guardian. Retrieved 8 May 2018.
  3. ^ "Labour hold Lewisham East in by-election". BBC News. 15 June 2018. Retrieved 15 June 2018.
  4. ^ @Heidi_LDN (9 May 2018). "It's official. I am no longer the MP for Lewisham East. I am instead the "Steward and Bailiff of the Manor of Northstead". A strange title and an even stranger feeling. New twitter handle = next task" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  5. ^ Buchan, Lizzy (8 May 2018). "Labour MP Heidi Alexander resigns to become London deputy mayor". The Independent. Retrieved 8 May 2018.
  6. ^ "Heidi Alexander triggers Lewisham East by-election by stepping down". ITV News. 8 May 2018. Retrieved 8 May 2018.
  7. ^ Singh, Matt (8 May 2018). "Two reasons to focus on London". Number Cruncher Politics. Retrieved 8 May 2018.
  8. ^ a b "Lewisham East by-election: Janet Daby chosen to stand for Labour". BBC News. 19 May 2018. Retrieved 19 May 2018.
  9. ^ a b Cowburn, Ashley (19 May 2018). "Lewisham East by-election: Janet Daby wins Labour candidacy after pledging to fight for single market membership". The Independent. Archived from the original on 1 May 2022. Retrieved 19 May 2018.
  10. ^ a b c d e f "Lewisham East By-Election: What you need to know". Voting Counts. 21 May 2018. Retrieved 24 May 2018.
  11. ^ "Lewisham Conservatives select Ross Archer as parliamentary candidate for Lewisham East". Lewisham Conservatives. 18 May 2018. Retrieved 18 May 2018.
  12. ^ "New Lewisham mayoral candidate says there needs to be a war on 'wasteful spending'". News Shopper. 20 March 2017. Retrieved 17 May 2018.
  13. ^ Casalicchio, Emilio (19 May 2018). "Blow for Jeremy Corbyn as Janet Daby named Labour candidate for Lewisham East by-election". PoliticsHome.com. Retrieved 22 May 2018.
  14. ^ Pack, Mark (12 May 2018). "Lib Dems select Lucy Salek for Lewisham East Parliamentary by-election". Retrieved 13 May 2018.
  15. ^ "Labour discord over Lewisham East selection as Lib Dem Lucy Salek starts work". LibDem Voice. Archived from the original on 13 May 2018. Retrieved 13 May 2018.
  16. ^ Bell, Jess. "Political parties announce candidates for Brockley and Evelyn by elections". NewsShopper. Retrieved 13 May 2018.
  17. ^ a b Stewart, Heather (18 May 2018). "Labour's choice to fight Lewisham East may be decided by Brexit views". The Guardian. Retrieved 18 May 2018.
  18. ^ @Ros4LewishamMP (22 May 2018). "Lewisham East, I am your Green candidate in the By Election on 14th June 2018.. My 3 pledges are: 1) Clean air for happy, healthy lives (2) A final say over Europe - with the option to remain in (3) Schools we can be proud of - supporting young people and their mental health" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  19. ^ "Rosamund Adoo-Kissi-Debrah to run for the Green party in Lewisham East by-election". greenparty.org.uk. Archived from the original on 25 May 2018. Retrieved 24 May 2018.
  20. ^ Duffy, Nick (14 May 2018). "UKIP picks anti-LGBT candidate who claimed gays were 'abused as children' to run in Lewisham East". PinkNews. Retrieved 14 May 2018.
  21. ^ @GerardBattenMEP (14 May 2018). "I am very pleased that David Kurten AM has been selected as the UKIP candidate for the Lewisham East By-Election on 14th June" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  22. ^ Waters, Anne Marie. "Why I'm standing in Lewisham East". For Britain. Archived from the original on 15 June 2018. Retrieved 18 May 2018.
  23. ^ "WE are standing in the Lewisham East by-election". Women's Equality Party. Retrieved 17 May 2018.
  24. ^ Radnor, Abigail (11 November 2017). "'We're having a menstrual liberation': how periods got woke". The Guardian. Retrieved 24 May 2018.
  25. ^ "LEWISHAM BY-ELECTION". Facebook. Democrats and Veterans. Retrieved 22 May 2018.
  26. ^ "Front Runner in the Lewisham East by-election". 11 May 2018. Retrieved 19 May 2018.
  27. ^ a b "The Lewisham East selection race reveals three splits in the Labour Party". Labour List. 16 May 2018. Retrieved 18 May 2018.
  28. ^ Buchan, Lizzy. "Labour MP Heidi Alexander resigns to become London deputy mayor". The Independent. Retrieved 8 May 2018.
  29. ^ "Heidi Alexander resigns – statement from Lewisham East Labour Left". The Clarion. 8 May 2018. Retrieved 14 May 2018.
  30. ^ Perkins, Anne; Elgot, Jessica (10 May 2018). "Labour accused of 'bulldozing' Lewisham members in byelection". The Guardian. Retrieved 10 May 2018.
  31. ^ Waugh, Paul (8 May 2018). "Founder Of UK Black Pride tipped For Lewisham East as Labour prepares all-woman, BAME shortlist". HuffPost. Retrieved 9 May 2018.
  32. ^ @MsLadyPhyll (13 May 2018). "Friends, I have been forced to reflect long and hard on whether to put myself forward for consideration to be selected as the next @UKLabour Party candidate in the #LewishamEast by-election. As an activist, grassroots campaigner but mother first, it has not been an easy decision" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  33. ^ @SakinaZS (8 May 2018). "I am putting myself forward to be the next Labour Candidate in Lewisham East. Lewisham has been home my whole life, and I would be proud to represent the vibrant and diverse communities here. My statement is below" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  34. ^ @KevinBonavia (10 May 2018). "The process for choosing Labour's candidate as next MP for Lewisham East begins today. Local members should have a wide choice of potential candidates with a genuine connection to our community. Here's why I'm standing" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  35. ^ @Brenda_Dacres (9 May 2018). "I'm standing to be Lewisham East's next Labour candidate. Here's why" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  36. ^ Elgot, Jessica (14 May 2018). "Labour shortlists candidates for Lewisham East byelection". The Guardian. Retrieved 15 May 2018.
  37. ^ "Lewisham East by-election: Ethnic minority women-only shortlist". BBC News. 15 May 2018. Retrieved 15 May 2018.
  38. ^ Elgot, Jessica; Stewart, Heather (15 May 2018). "Unite and Momentum back rival candidates in Lewisham byelection". The Guardian. Retrieved 18 May 2018.
  39. ^ "Islington councillor makes shortlist to become MP". Camden New Journal. 18 May 2018. Retrieved 5 June 2018.
  40. ^ The CWU (17 May 2018). "#TheCWU ar proud to support @ClaudiaWebbe in Lewisham East". Twitter.com. Retrieved 5 June 2018.
  41. ^ Bush, Stephen (17 May 2018). "Jeremy Corbyn's most powerful allies are at odds in the Lewisham East by-election". New Statesman. Retrieved 18 May 2018.
  42. ^ @Brenda_Dacres (18 May 2018). "It is with deep regret that I am withdrawing from the #LewishamEast selection contest due to recently diagnosed health reasons. This was not an easy decision - but it's the right one for me at this time. Thank you to everyone who has supported me since I was shortlisted" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  43. ^ a b Cowburn, Ashley (18 May 2018). "Lewisham East by-election: Brexit becomes key dividing line in contest to replace Heidi Alexander as Labour candidate". The Independent. Archived from the original on 1 May 2022. Retrieved 18 May 2018.
  44. ^ Waugh, Paul (1 June 2018). "Jeremy Corbyn-Supporting Labour Members Are Being 'Deliberately' Shunned By Local Parties, NEC Member Claudia Webbe Claims". Huffington Post.
  45. ^ "Lewisham Labour chair suspended over Emily Thornberry Islamic State tweets". BBC News. 22 May 2018. Retrieved 22 May 2018.
  46. ^ Waugh, Paul (22 May 2018). "Lewisham East Labour Chair Suspended Over Tweets About ISIS Beheading Emily Thornberry". HuffPost. Retrieved 22 May 2018.
  47. ^ Giordano, Chiara (23 May 2018). "Lib Dem leader says it would be 'absolutely tragic' if Millwall was forced out of Bermondsey by development". Southwark News. Retrieved 23 May 2018.
  48. ^ "Millwall being forced to leave The Den would be 'tragic' – Vince Cable". BT.com. Retrieved 7 June 2018.
  49. ^ Coulter, Martin (1 June 2018). "Ukip sparks outrage with 'Khanage' knife crime leaflet ahead of Lewisham by-election". Evening Standard. Retrieved 2 June 2018.
  50. ^ "Ukip's horrific new leaflet for the Lewisham East by-election". www.newstatesman.com. 31 May 2018. Retrieved 7 June 2018.
  51. ^ Payne, Adam; Gartside, Ben; Bienkov, Adam (11 June 2018). "Lib Dems expect 'strong second' place finish in Lewisham East as anti-Brexit voters punish May and Corbyn". Business Insider. Archived from the original on 12 June 2018. Retrieved 11 June 2018.
  52. ^ a b Fraser, Calum (13 June 2018). "Police shut down Lewisham East by-election hustings as angry protesters clash outside". South London Press and Mercury. Retrieved 13 June 2018.
  53. ^ a b Witton, Bridie (12 June 2018). "Police at Lewisham East hustings where Anne Marie Waters will speak". News Shopper. Retrieved 13 June 2018.
  54. ^ a b c Dyer, Chris; Witton, Bridie (13 June 2018). "Lewisham East hustings closed down by police over safety fears". News Shopper. Retrieved 13 June 2018.
  55. ^ "UK Parliamentary By-Election – Lewisham East Constituency – Declaration of Result of Poll" (PDF). Lewisham London Borough Council. 14 June 2018. Retrieved 26 March 2019.
  56. ^ Bush, Stephen (15 June 2018). "Why are the Liberal Democrats celebrating defeat in Lewisham East?". New Statesman. Retrieved 16 June 2018.
  57. ^ a b Staff writer (15 June 2018). "New Labour MP Janet Daby: I will oppose hard Brexit". BT News. Retrieved 16 June 2018.
  58. ^ Proctor, Kate (15 June 2018). "Lib Dems surge as new Labour MP vows to fight 'extreme Brexit'". Evening Standard. Retrieved 16 June 2018.
  59. ^ Helm, Toby (16 June 2018). "Leftwing group at odds with Corbyn pushes for UK to stay in EU". The Guardian. Retrieved 16 June 2018.
  60. ^ Walker, Peter; Murray, Warren (15 June 2018). "Lewisham East byelection winner to oppose 'extreme Brexit'". The Guardian. Retrieved 16 June 2018.
  61. ^ Telegraph Reporters (15 June 2018). "Labour's Janet Daby wins Lewisham East by-election and promises to oppose 'hard' Brexit". The Telegraph. Retrieved 16 June 2018.
  62. ^ "Lewisham East parliamentary constituency". BBC News.
  63. ^ Apostolova, Vyara; et al. General Election 2017: results and analysis (CBP 7979) (PDF) (2nd ed.). House of Commons Library.
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