2024 United States Senate election in Delaware
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| Elections in Delaware |
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The 2024 United States Senate election in Delaware will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Delaware. Democratic congresswoman Lisa Blunt Rochester, Republican businessman Eric Hansen, and Delaware Independent former state senator Michael Katz are seeking their first term in office.[1][2] The winner will succeed Democratic incumbent Tom Carper, who is not seeking a fifth term.[3]
This will be the first open race for this seat since 1970. Republicans have not won a Senate race in Delaware since 1994. If elected, Blunt Rochester will be both the first woman and first African American to represent Delaware in the Senate.
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Lisa Blunt Rochester, U.S. representative from Delaware's at-large congressional district[4]
Declined
[edit]- John Carney, Governor of Delaware (2017–present) and former U.S. Representative from Delaware's at-large congressional district (2011–2017) (running for Mayor of Wilmington)[5]
- Tom Carper, incumbent U.S. Senator (endorsed Blunt Rochester)[3]
- Colleen Davis, Delaware State Treasurer[6] (ran for U.S. House)[7]
- Kerri Evelyn Harris, state representative and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018[8]
Endorsements
[edit]Lisa Blunt Rochester
- U.S. senators
- Laphonza Butler, California (2023–present)[9]
- Tom Carper, Delaware (2001–present)[3]
- Carol Moseley Braun, Illinois (1993–1999)[9]
- Chuck Schumer, Senate Majority Leader (2021–present) from New York (1999–present)[10]
- U.S. representatives
- Barbara Lee, CA-12 (1998–present)[11]
- Statewide officials
- Gretchen Whitmer, Governor of Michigan (2019–present)[12]
- County officials
- Angela Alsobrooks, County Executive of Prince George's County, Maryland (2018–present)[11]
- Organizations
- Black Economic Alliance PAC[13]
- Council for a Livable World[14]
- EMILY's List[15]
- End Citizens United[16]
- Feminist Majority PAC[17]
- Giffords[18]
- Human Rights Campaign[19]
- J Street PAC[20]
- League of Conservation Voters[21]
- National Women's Political Caucus[22]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[23]
- Population Connection Action Fund[24]
- Reproductive Freedom for All[25]
- Labor unions
Fundraising
[edit]| Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Lisa Blunt Rochester (D) | $6,971,101 | $3,850,139 | $3,120,961 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[27] | |||
Polling
[edit]Hypothetical polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Lisa Blunt Rochester |
John Carney |
Others | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slingshot Strategies[A] | October 7–14, 2023 | 600 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 43% | 33% | 9% | 15% |
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Eric Hansen, businessman[28]
Fundraising
[edit]| Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Eric Hansen (R) | $940,060[b] | $571,263 | $368,797 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[27] | |||
Independent Party of Delaware
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Michael Katz, former Democratic state senator (2009–2013)[29]
Fundraising
[edit]| Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Michael Katz (IPoD) | $3,500 | $2,613 | $216 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[27] | |||
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[30] | Solid D | November 9, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[31] | Safe D | November 9, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[32] | Solid D | November 9, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[33] | Safe D | January 24, 2023 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[34] | Safe D | June 8, 2024 |
| CNalysis[35] | Solid D | November 21, 2023 |
| RealClearPolitics[36] | Solid D | August 5, 2024 |
| Split Ticket[37] | Safe D | October 23, 2024 |
| 538[38] | Solid D | October 23, 2024 |
Polling
[edit]| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Lisa Blunt Rochester (D) |
Eric Hansen (R) |
Michael Katz (I) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of Delaware | September 11–19, 2024 | 400 (RV) | ± 5.8% | 52% | 32% | 6% | 10% |
Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Lisa Blunt Rochester | ||||
| Republican | Eric Hansen | ||||
| Independent Party | Michael Katz | ||||
| Write-in | |||||
| Total votes | |||||
Notes
[edit]- Partisan clients
- ^ The poll was commissioned by Citizens for Judicial Fairness.
References
[edit]- ^ "U.S. Senate hopeful Blunt Rochester sets Delaware fundraising record for federal candidates". Bay to Bay News. April 9, 2024. Retrieved August 24, 2024.
- ^ "2024 General Election Candidate List - Department of Elections - State of Delaware". elections.delaware.gov. Retrieved July 10, 2024.
- ^ a b c Newman, Meredith (May 22, 2023). "U.S. Sen. Tom Carper to retire from politics after nearly 50 years in office". Delaware Online. Retrieved May 22, 2023.
- ^ Mizelle, Shawna (June 21, 2023). "Rep. Lisa Blunt Rochester announces Senate bid in Delaware". CNN. Retrieved June 21, 2023.
- ^ Stamm, Dan (April 29, 2024). "From governor to mayor? Delaware's John Carney sets sights on new city leadership role". NBC10 Philadelphia. Retrieved April 29, 2024.
- ^ "Ballots & Boundaries". Bloomberg Government. May 26, 2023.
- ^ Newman, Meredith (July 19, 2023). "State Treasurer Colleen Davis enters race for Delaware's US House seat". The News Journal. Retrieved July 19, 2023.
- ^ Mutnick, Ally (May 30, 2023). "Democrats hope the Senate could finally have more than one Black woman". POLITICO.
- ^ a b Kurtz, Josh (August 20, 2024). "DNC notes: Alsobrooks' historic gathering, Schumer's surprise, Raskin's speech". Maryland Matters. Retrieved August 20, 2024.
- ^ Mutnick, Ally; Otterbein, Holly (June 1, 2023). "Rep. Lisa Blunt Rochester to launch run for Delaware Senate seat in June". POLITICO.
- ^ a b Weisman, Jonathan (May 16, 2024). "Democrats Aim for a Breakthrough for Black Women in the Senate". The New York Times. Retrieved May 16, 2024.
- ^ "Fight Like Hell PAC". Fight Like Hell PAC. Retrieved September 30, 2024.
- ^ Bade, Rachael; Lizza, Ryan; Daniels, Eugene (September 10, 2024). "Playbook: Another GOP spending plan goes poof". Politico. Retrieved September 10, 2024.
- ^ "Senate Candidates". Council for a Livable World. Retrieved December 14, 2023.
- ^ Allison, Emily (June 22, 2023). "EMILYs List Endorses Lisa Blunt Rochester for Election to the United States Senate". EMILY's List. Retrieved June 22, 2023.
- ^ "End Citizens United // Let America Vote Endorses Rep. Lisa Blunt Rochester for U.S. Senate". End Citizens United. August 9, 2023. Retrieved August 13, 2023.
- ^ "2024 – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org. Retrieved February 9, 2024.
- ^ "GIFFORDS PAC Endorses Lisa Blunt Rochester for US Senate". Giffords. November 17, 2023.
- ^ "Human Rights Campaign PAC Endorses U.S. Representative Lisa Blunt Rochester for Senate". Human Rights Campaign. February 2, 2024. Retrieved February 2, 2024.
- ^ "Lisa Blunt Rochester". JStreetPAC. Retrieved August 26, 2023.
- ^ "LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of Congressional Endorsements". League of Conservation Voters. Retrieved July 27, 2023.
- ^ "Endorsed Candidates". National Women's Political Caucus. Retrieved September 29, 2023.
- ^ "ENDORSEMENT ALERT: Planned Parenthood Action Fund Backs Candidates in Key Senate Races". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Retrieved March 25, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Endorsements". Population Connection Action Fund. Retrieved August 25, 2023.
- ^ "Reproductive Freedom for All Endorses Rep. Lisa Blunt Rochester for U.S. Senate in Delaware". Reproductive Freedom for All. November 16, 2023. Archived from the original on November 20, 2023. Retrieved November 20, 2023.
- ^ "Our Recommended Candidates". Education Votes. Retrieved May 13, 2024.
- ^ a b c "2024 Election United States Senate - Delaware". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved October 16, 2023.
- ^ Pencek, Matthew (October 18, 2023). "Wilmington Business Manager Hansen Announces Run For Senate". WRDE-FM. Retrieved October 18, 2023.
- ^ "Former Democrat State Senator To Challange LBR For Carper's US Senate Seat". First State Update. July 5, 2023. Retrieved July 5, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
- ^ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
- ^ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Senate prediction map". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. June 8, 2024. Retrieved June 8, 2024.
- ^ "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
- ^ "Battle for the Senate 2024". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved August 5, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Senate Forecast". Split Ticket. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
External links
[edit]- Official campaign websites