Opinion polling for the 2023 Turkish presidential election
In the run up to the 2023 Turkish presidential election, with its first round held on 14 May and a second round on 28 May, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Turkey. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. These polls only include Turkish voters nationwide and do not take into account Turkish expatriates voting abroad. The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous general election, held on 24 June 2018, to the present day.
Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's color. In the instance that there is a tie, or that no candidate exceeds 50%, top two candidates' figures are shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty.
First round
[edit]Polling aggregations
[edit] Light red denotes reports that were released after the polling ban came into effect.
| Aggregator/ Pollsters |
Fieldwork dates | Last updated | Erdoğan PEOPLE |
Kılıçdaroğlu NATION |
Oğan ANCESTRAL |
İnce HOMELAND |
Others/ Undecided |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 600vekil | April–May | 13 May | 47.0% | 49.3% | 3.7% | – | – | 2.3% |
| Euronews | 25 April – 12 May | 12 May | 45.8% | 48.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | – | 3.1% |
| POLITICO | April–May | 12 May | 46% | 50% | 3% | 2% | '-1%' | 4% |
| TGRT Haber | May | 4 May | 47.5% | 46.13% | 2.83% | 3.53% | – | 1.37% |
| Piyasal Siyasal | April–May | 4 May | 45.67% | 47.32% | 2.53% | 4.48% | – | 1.65% |
| Anketler ve Raporlar | April | 4 May | 45.2% | 46.9% | 2.3% | 5.5% | 0.1% | 1.7% |
| Europe Elects / Euractiv | April–May | 3 May | 44% | 48% | 3% | 5% | – | 4% |
| Polimetre | April–May | 2 May | 35.3% | 55.5% | – | – | 9.2% | 20.2% |
| Türkiye Raporu | April | 2 May | 44.22% | 47.64% | 2.78% | 5.37% | – | 3.42% |
| PolitPro | April | 1 May | 43.3% | 48.8% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 0.3% | 5.5% |
| El Electoral | April | 28 April | 44.0% | 47.5% | 2.0% | 5.5% | 1.0% | 3.5% |
| Seçimler ve Sayılar | April | 25 April | 45.24% | 46.95% | 2.16% | 5.65% | – | 1.71% |
| ThePoliticalPulse | March | 12 March | 44.06% | 55.90% | – | – | 0.04% | 11.84% |
Official campaign polling
[edit]
The table below contains polls conducted after the official start of the campaign period on 10 March.[1][2]
Light red denotes polls that were released after the polling ban came into effect.
| Fieldwork date[nb 1] | Polling firm | Published by | Sample size | 
|
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|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erdoğan PEOPLE |
Kılıçdaroğlu NATION |
Oğan ANCESTRAL |
İnce HOMELAND | |||||
| 14 May 2023 | Nationwide results YSK | 49.52 | 44.88 | 5.17 | 0.43 | 4.64 | ||
| 10–13 May | AtlasIntel | 4,920 | 44.5 | 44.6 | 7.9 | 1.1 | 0.1 | |
| 12–13 May | Özdemir | 3,016 | 48.4 | 45.2 | 6.4 | – | 3.2 | |
| 11–13 May | Remres | 4,764 | 44.4 | 53.6 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 9.2 | |
| 11–13 May | TAG | 2,910 | 45.1 | 52.1 | 2.6 | 0.2 | 7.0 | |
| 12 May | İEA | 1,500 | 45.6 | 50.5 | 3.9 | – | 4.9 | |
| 11–12 May | BETİMAR | 5,751 | 49.1 | 45.0 | 5.6 | 0.3 | 4.1 | |
| 11–12 May | AREDA Survey[pc 1] | 25,000 | 51.3 | 44.2 | 3.9 | 0.6 | 7.1 | |
| 11–12 May | ASAL | 2,017 | 50.6 | 46.3 | 3.1 | – | 4.3 | |
| 9–12 May | Aksoy | 4,000 | 45.6 | 47.9 | 5.7 | 0.8 | 2.3 | |
| 10–11 May | ORC | 3,920 | 44.2 | 51.7 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 7.5 | |
| 10–11 May | GENAR | 2,000 | 51.4 | 44.3 | 3.7 | – | 7.1 | |
| 9–11 May | Optimar | 5,950 | 50.4 | 44.7 | 3.4 | 1.5 | 5.7 | |
| 8–11 May | Avrasya[pc 2] | 2,460 | 44.2 | 51.3 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 7.1 | |
| 11 May 2023 | Muharrem İnce withdraws his candidacy.[3] | |||||||
| 9–10 May | Yöneylem | 2,476 | 44.4 | 49.5 | 4.7 | 1.4 | 5.1 | |
| 9–10 May | MetroPOLL | 2,038 | 46.9 | 49.1 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 2.2 | |
| 8–10 May | EuroPoll | 2,387 | 46.2 | 51.5 | 2.3 | – | 5.3 | |
| 7–10 May | Argetus | 2,568 | 50.6 | 46.1 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 4.5 | |
| 7–10 May | SER-AR | 2,795 | 45.2 | 52.1 | 2.7 | – | 6.9 | |
| 5–10 May | ARL | 5,243 | 46.1 | 50.3 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 4.2 | |
| 3–10 May | Remres | 5,411 | 44.1 | 52.1 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 8.0 | |
| 8–9 May | Area | 3,000 | 46.1 | 49.1 | 3.5 | 1.3 | 3.0 | |
| 6–9 May | İEA | 5,000 | 45.9 | 48.7 | 3.7 | 1.7 | 2.8 | |
| 6–9 May | PİAR | – | 45.3 | 51.3 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 6.0 | |
| 5–9 May | ALF | 6,000 | 44.7 | 51.2 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 6.5 | |
| 2–9 May | Artıbir | 1,500 | 44.6 | 50.1 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 5.5 | |
| 20 Apr–9 May | ADA | 65,000 | 50.6 | 44.8 | 1.7 | 2.9 | 5.8 | |
| 4–8 May | İVEM | 4,020 | 48.6 | 46.9 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 1.7 | |
| 2–8 May | BULGU | 2,400 | 43.2 | 50.5 | 3.8 | 2.5 | 7.3 | |
| 6–7 May | KONDA | 3,480 | 43.7 | 49.3 | 4.8 | 2.2 | 5.6 | |
| 3–7 May | SAROS | 8,164 | 46.09 | 51.00 | 2.91 | – | 5.0 | |
| 44.5 | 49.96 | 2.3 | 3.2 | 5.5 | ||||
| 2–6 May | TAG | 3,150 | 44.7 | 50.2 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 5.5 | |
| 27 Apr–5 May | Avrasya[pc 2] | 5,600 | 43.6 | 50.9 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 7.3 | |
| 26 Apr–4 May | MAK | 5,750 | 45.4 | 50.9 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 5.5 | |
| 1–3 May | AtlasIntel | 2,006 | 44.8 | 44.1 | 5.8 | 5.3 | 0.7 | |
| 1-3 May | AREDA Survey[pc 1] | 16,740 | 50.8 | 41.9 | 3.6 | 3.7 | 8.9 | |
| 27 Apr-3 May | AR-G | 2,231 | 46.4 | 49.1 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 2.7 | |
| 26 Apr–3 May | Özdemir | 5,916 | 49.2 | 43.3 | 4.7 | 2.9 | 5.9 | |
| 30 Apr-2 May | SER-AR | 2,600 | 44.3 | 52.7 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 8.4 | |
| 28 Apr-2 May | İVEM | 4,156 | 47.8 | 45.9 | 3.0 | 3.3 | 1.9 | |
| 27 Apr-2 May | SONAR | 4,197 | 48.8 | 44.1 | 3.5 | 3.6 | 4.7 | |
| 27 Apr-2 May | ASAL | 2,523 | 49.1 | 46.3 | 1.9 | 2.7 | 2.8 | |
| 25 Apr-2 May | HBS | 5,100 | 47.5 | 47.0 | 2.2 | 3.3 | 0.5 | |
| 29 Apr-1 May | ORC | 3,950 | 44.6 | 48.0 | 3.1 | 4.3 | 3.4 | |
| 27-30 Apr | Yöneylem | 2,594 | 42.5 | 48.6 | 5.2 | 3.7 | 6.1 | |
| 25-30 Apr | TAG | 1,900 | 43.3 | 51.9 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 8.6 | |
| 25-30 Apr | SAROS | 7,284 | 47.2 | 49.1 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1.9 | |
| 26-29 Apr | ADA | 3,278 | 48.9 | 45.8 | 2.4 | 2.9 | 3.1 | |
| 26-28 Apr | Aksoy | 1,537 | 41.9 | 47.3 | 5.0 | 5.8 | 5.4 | |
| 24-28 Apr | Sosyo Politik | 1,569 | 44.1 | 51.7 | 1.2 | 3.0 | 7.6 | |
| 25-28 Apr | Optimar | 3,005 | 48.6 | 44.1 | 3.0 | 4.3 | 4.5 | |
| 25-27 Apr | AREDA Survey[pc 1] | 14,193 | 51.1 | 42.0 | 2.8 | 4.1 | 9.1 | |
| 24-27 Apr | SER-AR | 5,000 | 44.8 | 53.1 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 8.3 | |
| 24-26 Apr | Gezici | 3,991 | 44.6 | 48.7 | 2.0 | 4.7 | 5.4 | |
| 23-26 Apr | TEAM | 3,054 | 44.4 | 47.4 | 2.1 | 6.1 | 3.0 | |
| 17-25 Apr | TÜSİAR | 1,500 | 48.7 | 46.6 | 1.1 | 3.6 | 2.1 | |
| 10-25 Apr | BULGU | Sözcü | 2,400 | 41.5 | 49.5 | 2.5 | 6.5 | 8.0 |
| 13-24 Apr | Artıbir | 1,500 | 43.7 | 49.4 | 2.4 | 4.5 | 5.7 | |
| 19-22 Apr | ORC | 3,920 | 42.4 | 49.3 | 2.2 | 6.1 | 6.9 | |
| 15-20 Apr | AREDA Survey[pc 1] | 17,400 | 51.4 | 41.8 | 2.2 | 4.6 | 9.6 | |
| 15-18 Apr | Piar | 5,400 | 47.1 | 49.4 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 2.3 | |
| 12-20 Apr | Area | 10,277 | 46.7 | 46.8 | 2.6 | 3.9 | 0.1 | |
| 14-16 Apr | Yöneylem | 2,422 | 43.0 | 48.6 | 2.8 | 5.8 | 5.6 | |
| 10-16 Apr | SONAR | 4,541 | 46.1 | 44.1 | 2.1 | 7.7 | 2.0 | |
| 10-16 Apr | AKSOY | 1,067 | 38.4 | 47.9 | 4.8 | 9.0 | 9.5 | |
| 10-16 Apr | MAK | 5,750 | 43.7 | 47.8 | 1.1 | 3.4 | 4.1 | |
| 12-14 Apr | AREDA Survey[pc 1] | 10,136 | 50.8 | 43.1 | 1.6 | 4.5 | 7.7 | |
| 13 Apr | AR-G | 1,984 | 45.6 | 49.2 | 1.3 | 3.9 | 3.6 | |
| 8-12 Apr | ALF | 2,340 | 43.9 | 47.4 | 2.2 | 6.5 | 3.5 | |
| 7-11 Apr | ORC | 5,400 | 41.5 | 48.9 | 2.4 | 7.2 | 7.4 | |
| 6-10 Apr | Avrasya[pc 2] | 2,410 | 42.3 | 50.9 | 2.0 | 4.8 | 8.6 | |
| 9 Apr | SAROS | 10,729 | 46.8 | 45.7 | 1.6 | 6.0 | 1.1 | |
| 3-8 Apr | TAG | 1,600 | 42.9 | 51.4 | 1.6 | 4.1 | 8.5 | |
| 1-8 Apr | Optimar | Milliyet | 4,745 | 45.9 | 43.9 | 1.7 | 8.3 | 2.0 |
| 1-4 Apr | TekAr | 3,600 | 45.8 | 46.2 | 2.4 | 5.6 | 0.4 | |
| 1-3 Apr | MetroPoll | 2,610 | 41.1 | 42.6 | 2.2 | 5.0 | 1.5 | |
| 1-2 Apr | Gezici | 2.864 | 43.2 | 53.4 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 10.2 | |
| 25 Mar-2 Apr | ASAL | 2,147 | 46.8 | 42.2 | 2.6 | 8.4 | 4.6 | |
| 28 Mar - 1 Apr | AREDA Survey[pc 1] | Sabah | 18,487 | 50.6 | 41.8 | 2.1 | 5.5 | 8.8 |
| 31 Mar | MetroPoll | BirGün | 2,046 | 42.0 | 44.6 | – | – | 2.6 |
| 31 March 2023 | Final candidate list was published in the Official Gazette.[6] | |||||||
| 28-30 Mar | Ankara Analitik | 2,187 | 44.5 | 39.7 | 1.5 | 14.3 | 4.8 | |
| 27-29 Mar | Yöneylem | 2,655 | 41.6 | 46.4 | 2.9 | 9.1 | 4.8 | |
| 24 March 2023 | Erbakan withdraws his candidacy, endorsing Erdoğan.[7] | |||||||
| 22 March 2023 | Labour and Freedom Alliance announces that they are not nominating a candidate.[8] | |||||||
| 13-21 Mar | Artıbir | KRT TV Live | 1,500 | 44.0 | 51.3 | 1.2 | 3.5 | 7.3 |
| 20 Mar | SAROS | 10,826 | 44.3 | 45.5 | – | 3.1 | 1.2 | |
| 13-18 Mar | Optimar | 1,916 | 47.4 | 45.3 | 0.7 | 6.5 | 2.1 | |
| 12-17 Mar | Avrasya[pc 2] | 23 DERECE | 2,560 | 39.7 | 53.5 | 1.4 | 2.9 | 13.8 |
| 13-15 Mar | TAG | 2,100 | 43.2 | 45.4 | 3.6 | 5.5 | 2.2 | |
| 11-15 Mar | ORC | 4,540 | 42.3 | 53.1 | 1.5 | 3.1 | 7.8 | |
| 17 Mar | Themis | Haber3 | 1,458 | 32.1 | 36.8 | 12.2 | 7.9 | 4.7 |
| 15 Mar | MAK | Habertürk TV | 5,750 | 45.7 | 51.1 | – | – | 5.4 |
| 14 Mar | AR-G | 1,472 | 43.1 | 46.2 | 3.1 | 7.6 | 3.1 | |
Pre-campaign polling
[edit]2023
[edit] | This article needs to be updated. (March 2023) |
 | You can help expand this section with text translated from the corresponding article in Turkish. (March 2023) Click [show] for important translation instructions.
|
| Fieldwork date | Polling firm | Published by | Sample size | Others | Lead | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erdoğan AKP |
İmamoğlu CHP |
Yavaş CHP |
Kılıçdaroğlu CHP |
Demirtaş HDP |
Akşener İYİ |
Karamollaoğlu SAADET |
Babacan DEVA |
Davutoğlu GP |
İnce MP | ||||||
| 6 March 2023 | Kılıçdaroğlu is declared the Nation Alliance candidate for president. | ||||||||||||||
| 23–27 Feb | Areda[pc 1] | Yeni Şafak | 3,000 | 49.8 | 6.9 | 9.6 | 21.7 | 6.0 | 2.6 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 28.1 |
2022
[edit] | This article needs to be updated. (September 2022) |
| You can help expand this section with text translated from the corresponding article in Turkish. (September 2022) Click [show] for important translation instructions.
|
| Fieldwork date | Polling firm | Published by | Sample size | Others | Lead | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erdoğan AKP |
İmamoğlu CHP |
Yavaş CHP |
Kılıçdaroğlu CHP |
Demirtaş HDP |
Beştaş HDP |
Buldan HDP |
Akşener İYİ |
Karamollaoğlu SAADET |
Bahçeli MHP |
Babacan DEVA |
Davutoğlu GP |
İnce MP | ||||||
| 12–15 Aug | Optimar | Hürriyet | 2,000 | 36.5 | 3.7 | 14.7 | 14.6 | 9.5 | – | – | 7.6 | – | 8.3 | – | – | – | 5.1 | 21.8 |
| 11–14 Jul | Optimar | Hürriyet | 3,481 | 30.1 | 4.6 | 12.5 | 11 | 8.2 | – | – | 6.4 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 17.6 |
| 13–24 Jun | SONAR | 3.100 | 40.2 | 10.1 | 17.8 | 4.3 | 4.6 | – | – | 10.4 | – | 2.2 | 1.7 | – | 2.1 | 6.6 | 22.4 | |
| 12–15 May | Optimar | T24 | 2.519 | 36.1 | 8.4 | 11.9 | 11.9 | 4.7 | – | – | 3.2 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 24.2 |
| 6–12 May | SONAR | 2.840 | 39.2 | 12.5 | 15.7 | 3.9 | 4.7 | 8.0 | 2.8 | 1.9 | – | – | 2.7 | 8.6 | – | – | 23,5 | |
| 23–28 Apr | Optimar | Gazete Duvar | 1.847 | 33.1 | 9.1 | 13.0 | 12.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 20,1 |
| Apr | MetroPOLL | – | 40.1 | – | – | 30.2 | 15.2 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9,9 | |
| Apr | ALF | – | 33.7 | 16.6 | 22.2 | 4.3 | 8.3 | 7.2 | – | – | – | – | 2.1 | 5.6 | – | – | 11,5 | |
| 10–16 Mar | Optimar | Hürriyet | 2.002 | 33.8 | 10.7 | 9.9 | 11.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 22.3 |
| 24–31 Jan | AKAM | Europe Elects | 1.860 | 28.5 | – | – | 30.3 | 10.2 | – | – | 11.0 | 4.9 | 7.9 | 2.4 | – | 2.7 | – | 1.8 |
| 7–13 Jan | İEA | Europe Elects | 1.500 | 44.0 | – | – | – | 15.2 | – | – | 40.8 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2.2 |
2021
[edit]| Fieldwork date | Polling firm | Published by | Sample size | Others | Lead | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erdoğan AKP |
İmamoğlu CHP |
Yavaş CHP |
Kılıçdaroğlu CHP |
Demirtaş HDP |
Beştaş HDP |
Buldan HDP |
Akşener İYİ |
Karamollaoğlu SAADET |
Bahçeli MHP |
Babacan DEVA |
Davutoğlu GP |
İnce MP | ||||||
| 30 Nov–5 Dec | Yöneylem | T24 | 2,002 | 43.5 | – | – | 40.8 | 15.8 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2.7 |
| 13–20 Nov | Optimar | Hürriyet | 2,507 | 26.0 | 8.5 | 14.2 | 5.0 | 8.7 | – | – | 6.4 | – | 4.3 | – | – | – | – | 11.8 |
| 11–14 Nov | ASAL | 1,712 | 43.3 | 11.3 | 10.6 | 6.0 | 10.1 | – | – | 7.7 | – | 3.7 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 2.7 | 32.0 | |
| 27 Oct–3 Nov | Yöneylem | Europe Elects | 2,000 | 44.8 | – | – | 40.0 | 15.2 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 4.8 |
| Oct | ADA | 2,423 | 38.8 | – | – | 19.0 | – | – | 6.1 | 17.1 | 1.0 | 7.8 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 2.4 | 3.7 | 19.8 | |
| Oct | SAROS | 1,854 | 43.4 | 12.1 | 11.4 | 6.1 | 11.0 | – | – | 8.0 | – | 3.6 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 31.3 | |
| 24–30 Sep | Yöneylem | Gazete Duvar | 2,400 | 47.8 | – | – | 36.3 | 15.9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 11.5 |
| 19–27 Sep | Optimar | 1,938 | 45.6 | 8.1 | 15.8 | 10.1 | 9.1 | – | – | 9.4 | – | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | 1.2 | 29.8 | |
| 10–22 Sep | Sosyo Politik | 2,000 | 48.2 | 7.6 | 5.8 | 19.0 | 8.4 | – | – | 6.8 | – | – | 2.1 | 1.4 | 0.7 | – | 29.2 | |
| 20–27 Aug | Yöneylem | Gazete Duvar | 3,040 | 45.9 | – | – | 38.2 | 15.9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7.7 |
| Aug | Optimar | Para Analiz | N/A | 46.3 | 8.2 | 18.5 | 7.3 | 6.3 | – | – | 5.3 | 0.1 | 3.2 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 2.1 | 27.8 |
| 10–13 Jul | Optimar | Hür Haber | 1,726 | 45.1 | 8.9 | 15.9 | 8.3 | 5.9 | – | – | 6.4 | 0.5 | 4.1 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 3.3 | 29.2 |
| 21–28 Jun | Sosyo Politik | 1,008 | 37.5 | 14.2 | 7.6 | 18.3 | 9.8 | – | – | 8.4 | – | – | 3.1 | – | 1.1 | – | 19.2 | |
| 22–24 May | Optimar | Hürriyet | 1,836 | 36.7 | 7.7 | 13.8 | 6.5 | 8.2 | – | – | 8.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 22.9 |
| 22–30 Apr | Optimar | Hürriyet | 2,027 | 38.6 | 9.6 | 15.7 | 4.1 | – | – | – | 6.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 22.9 |
| Mar | SAROS | 3,042 | 38.6 | 14.6 | 2.9 | 3.9 | 13.2 | – | – | 9.7 | – | 11.3 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 24.0 | |
| 28 Feb – 5 Mar | Optimar | Milliyet | 2,207 | 32.5 | 6.2 | 8.0 | 1.6 | – | – | – | 5.2 | – | – | – | – | 4.2 | – | 24.5 |
| 10 Jan – 4 Feb | SONAR | 3,200 | 45.9 | 14.6 | 9.8 | 2.3 | 5.2 | – | – | 8.8 | – | 7.1 | – | – | – | 6.3 | 31.3 | |
| 20–26 Jan | ADA | 3,245 | 48.2 | – | – | 12.6 | 7.4 | – | – | 13.7 | 1.0 | – | 4.0 | 2.4 | 3.3 | 7.3 | 34.5 | |
| Jan | SAROS | 3,034 | 37.6 | 9.6 | 3.8 | 7.3 | 17.1 | – | – | 9.3 | 0.9 | 10.0 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 20.5 | |
2020
[edit]| Fieldwork date | Polling firm | Sample size | Others | Lead | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erdoğan AKP |
İmamoğlu CHP |
Yavaş CHP |
Kılıçdaroğlu CHP |
Demirtaş HDP |
Beştaş HDP |
Akşener İYİ |
Karamollaoğlu SAADET |
Bahçeli MHP |
Babacan DEVA |
Davutoğlu GP |
İnce MP | |||||
| Dec | TEAM | 9,281 | 43.2 | 16.2 | 6.2 | 2.8 | 9.6 | – | 8.3 | – | 4.8 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 3.9 | 2.4 | 27.0 |
| Dec | Sandık Analiz | 3,809 | 44.0 | 31.2 | – | – | – | 7.5 | 10.6 | 0.6 | – | 4.1 | 1.1 | – | 0.9 | 12.8 |
| 3–9 Dec | Optimar | 2,253 | 33.8 | 4.7 | 6.6 | 4.5 | – | – | 5.1 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 27.2 |
| 11 Nov – 4 Dec | Kadir Has University | 1,000 | 47.8 | 9.6 | 6.1 | 10.8 | 11.1 | – | 10.3 | – | – | – | – | – | 4.3 | 36.7 |
| Nov | SAROS | 3,092 | 34.1 | 13.1 | 4.1 | 7.0 | 12.2 | – | 7.5 | – | 10.3 | 9.9 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 21.0 |
| 26–30 Oct | Optimar | 2,147 | 36.4 | 8.3 | 8.6 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 27.8 |
| Aug | SONAR | 2,850 | 50.5 | 11.1 | 7.7 | – | 7.8 | – | 8.8 | – | – | – | – | 8.3 | 5.8 | 39.4 |
| 3–5 Aug | ADA | 1,750 | 43.2 | 13.8 | 14.3 | 1.2 | 5.7 | – | 6.8 | 0.9 | 4.2 | 3.4 | 1.7 | 3.7 | 1.1 | 28.9 |
| 10–14 Jul | Optimar | 2,047 | 38.4 | 7.0 | 4.0 | – | 4.7 | – | 5.6 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 31.4 |
| Jun | SAROS | 3,017 | 41.4 | 15.0 | 4.7 | 9.9 | 9.2 | – | 8.8 | 0.2 | 8.1 | 0.7 | 1.4 | – | 0.6 | 26.4 |
| May | AR–G | 1,258 | 42.1 | 19.6 | 12.8 | 1.0 | 5.6 | – | 6.1 | 0.9 | 3.2 | 4.1 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 22.5 |
| 20 Apr – 8 May | Optimar | 2,307 | 48.2 | 13.5 | 7.3 | – | 8.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 34.7 |
| 9 Mar - 2 Apr | Konsensus | 1,500 | 49.9 | 17.7 | 5.6 | – | 6.8 | – | 5.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 32.2 |
| 2–6 Mar | ADA | 1,366 | 44.3 | 25.5 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 6.6 | – | 6.2 | 1.3 | 4.9 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 18.8 |
| 24 Feb | Polimetre[nb 2] | N/A | 38.5 | 35.1 | 9.3 | – | 8.1 | – | – | – | – | – | 9.0 | 3.4 | ||
| 2–9 Jan | Artibir | 1,500 | 49.5 | 37.7 | – | – | 9.4 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 3.4 | 11.8 |
2018–2019
[edit]| Fieldwork date | Polling firm | Sample size | Others | Lead | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erdoğan AKP |
İmamoğlu CHP |
Yavaş CHP |
Kılıçdaroğlu CHP |
Demirtaş HDP |
Akşener İYİ |
Karamollaoğlu SAADET |
Bahçeli MHP |
Babacan DEVA |
Davutoğlu GP |
İnce MP | |||||
| 13–15 Dec | Public Status | 4,150 | 53.0 | 27.7 | – | – | 8.5 | 6.8 | 1.1 | – | 0.9 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 25.3 |
| 21−28 Oct | ADA | 1,700 | 45.1 | 26.6 | – | 1.1 | 4.2 | 6.1 | 1.4 | 5.3 | 3.8 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 2.8 | 18.1 |
| 19–30 Aug | ADA Archived 2019-09-22 at the Wayback Machine | 1,721 | 39.1 | 28.6 | – | 0.5 | 8.0 | 6.8 | – | 6.5 | 4.2 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 10.5 |
| 2–7 Aug | SAROS | 3,012 | 45.0 | 19.2 | – | – | 15.3 | 12.8 | – | – | 0.7 | – | 4.9 | 2.1 | 25.8 |
| 2019 | |||||||||||||||
| Jul | ORC | N/A | 56.7[nb 3] | 27.7[nb 4] | 8.4 | 6.5 | 0.5 | – | — | 0.2 | 29.0 | ||||
| 24 Jun 2018 | 2018 presidential election | 51,188,524 | 52.6[nb 3] | 30.6[nb 4] | 8.4 | 7.3 | 0.9 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.2 | 20.0 | ||
Second round
[edit]Erdoğan vs. Kılıçdaroğlu
[edit]
Polling aggregations
[edit] Light red denotes reports that were released after the polling ban came into effect.
| Aggregator/ Pollsters |
Fieldwork dates | Last updated | Erdoğan PEOPLE |
Kılıçdaroğlu NATION |
Others/ Undecided |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| POLITICO | May | 28 May | 51% | 49% | – | 2% |
| Anketler ve Raporlar | April | 28 May | 52.4% | 47.5% | 0.1% | 4.9% |
| Türkiye Raporu | April | 2 May | 47.97% | 52.03% | – | 4.06% |
Official campaign polling
[edit]The table below contains polls conducted after the official start of the campaign period on 15 May.
Light red denotes polls that were released after the polling ban came into effect.
| Fieldwork date[nb 1] | Polling firm | Sample size |
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erdoğan PEOPLE |
Kılıçdaroğlu NATION | ||||
| 25–26 May | İEA | – | 51.9 | 48.1 | 3.8 |
| 25–26 May | BETİMAR | 6,601 | 52.2 | 47.8 | 4.4 |
| 25–26 May | Özdemir | 3,250 | 53.94 | 46.06 | 7.88 |
| 25–26 May | ALF | 2,500 | 49.7 | 50.3 | 0.6 |
| 25–26 May | SER-AR | 2,200 | 48.7 | 51.3 | 2.6 |
| 24–25 May | ORC | 3,950 | 49.2 | 50.8 | 1.6 |
| 24–25 May | Area | 2,026 | 49.4 | 50.6 | 1.2 |
| 18–22 May | Özdemir | 5,916 | 54.1 | 45.9 | 8.2 |
| 20–21 May | KONDA | 3,607 | 52.7 | 47.3 | 5.4 |
| 20–21 May | Areda | 10,491 | 52.4 | 47.6 | 4.8 |
| 13–15 May | TAG | 2,350 | 51.6 | 48.4 | 3.2 |
Pre-campaign polling
[edit]2023
[edit]| Fieldwork date | Polling firm | Sample size |
|
|
Undecided | Lead | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erdoğan PEOPLE |
Kılıçdaroğlu NATION | |||||||||||
| 9-10 May | MetroPOLL | 2,038 | 48.7 | 51.3 | – | 3.1 | ||||||
| 8-9 May | Area | 3,000 | 48.0 | 52.0 | – | 4.0 | ||||||
| 4-8 May | İVEM | 4.020 | 52.1 | 47.9 | – | 4.2 | ||||||
| 2-8 May | BULGU | 2,400 | 45.7 | 54.3 | – | 8.6 | ||||||
| 3-7 May | SAROS | 8,164 | 46.1 | 53.9 | – | 7.8 | ||||||
| 2-6 May | TAG | 3,150 | 45.2 | 54.8 | – | 9.6 | ||||||
| 4 May 2023 | Opinion polling ban comes into effect 10 days before the first round.[9] | |||||||||||
| 1–3 May | AtlasIntel | 2,006 | 48.5 | 45.1 | 6.4 | 3.5 | ||||||
| 27 Apr-3 May | AR-G | 2,231 | 49.2 | 50.8 | – | 1.6 | ||||||
| 27 Apr-2 May | SONAR | 2,523 | 52.1 | 47.9 | – | 4.2 | ||||||
| 27 Apr-2 May | ASAL | 2,523 | 50.8 | 49.2 | – | 1.6 | ||||||
| 25-30 Apr | SAROS | 7,284 | 48.8 | 51.2 | – | 2.4 | ||||||
| 26-29 Apr | ADA | 3,278 | 51.1 | 48.9 | – | 2.2 | ||||||
| 26-28 Apr | Aksoy | 1,537 | 45.8 | 54.2 | – | 8.4 | ||||||
| 25-28 Apr | Optimar | 3,005 | 51.4 | 48.6 | – | 2.8 | ||||||
| 25-27 Apr | AREDA[pc 1] | 14,193 | 53.3 | 46.7 | – | 6.6 | ||||||
| 24-26 Apr | Gezici | 3,991 | 47.2 | 52.8 | – | 5.6 | ||||||
| 23-26 Apr | TEAM | 3,054 | 47.5 | 52.5 | – | 5.0 | ||||||
| 17-25 Apr | TÜSİAR | 972 | 51.1 | 48.9 | – | 2.2 | ||||||
| 18-24 Apr | Al-Monitor/Premise | 972 | 45.2 | 44.9 | 9.9 | 0.3 | ||||||
| 10-25 Apr | BULGU | 2,400 | 44.3 | 55.7 | – | 11.4 | ||||||
| 13-24 Apr | Artıbir | 1,500 | 46.4 | 53.6 | – | 7.2 | ||||||
| 12-20 Apr | Area | 10,277 | 49.3 | 50.7 | – | 1.4 | ||||||
| 15-21 Apr | TAG | 1,850 | 44.8 | 51.6 | 3.6 | 6.8 | ||||||
| 15-20 Apr | Areda[pc 1] | 17,400 | 53.5 | 46.5 | – | 7.0 | ||||||
| Apr | Genar | – | 51.7 | 48.3 | – | 3.4 | ||||||
| 10-16 Apr | SONAR | 4,541 | 52.1 | 47.9 | – | 4.2 | ||||||
| 10-16 Apr | Aksoy | 1,067 | 42.6 | 57.4 | – | 14.8 | ||||||
| 5-15 Apr | HBS | 5,100 | 49.3 | 50.7 | – | 1.4 | ||||||
| 1-7 Apr | Optimar | 4,745 | 51.1 | 48.9 | – | 2.2 | ||||||
| Apr | Saros | 10,729 | 49.7 | 50.3 | – | 0.6 | ||||||
| 1-2 Apr | Gezici | 2,864 | 44.8 | 55.2 | – | 10.4 | ||||||
| 25 Mar-2 Apr | ASAL | 2,147 | 51.4 | 48.6 | – | 2.8 | ||||||
| 28 Mar-1 Apr | Areda Survey[pc 1] | 18,478 | 52.8 | 47.2 | – | 5.6 | ||||||
| 27-29 Mar | Yöneylem | 2,655 | 44.9 | 55.1 | – | 10.2 | ||||||
| 22-27 Mar | Aksoy | 1,537 | 43.2 | 56.8 | – | 13.6 | ||||||
| 12-17 Mar | Avrasya[pc 2] | 2,560 | 43.0 | 57.0 | – | 14.0 | ||||||
| 11-15 Mar | Bulgu Araştırma | 1,800 | 38.6 | 42.4 | 19.0 | 3.8 | ||||||
| 11-14 Mar | MetroPOLL | 1,999 | 42.0 | 44.6 | 13.4 | 2.6 | ||||||
| 8-15 Mar | MAK | 5,750 | 42.4 | 46.5 | 11.1 | 4.1 | ||||||
| 7-10 Mar | ADA | 3,121 | 53.7 | 46.3 | – | 7.4 | ||||||
| 6-9 Mar | İEA | 2,000 | 39.6 | 47.0 | 13.4 | 7.4 | ||||||
| 8 Mar | Aksoy | 1,537 | 44.4 | 55.6 | – | 11.2 | ||||||
| 6-7 Mar | ALF | 1,770 | 44.9 | 55.1 | – | 10.2 | ||||||
| 6 March 2023 | Kılıçdaroğlu is declared the Nation Alliance candidate for president. | |||||||||||
| 4-6 Mar | ORC | 1,850 | 43.2 | 56.8 | – | 13.6 | ||||||
| March | Aksoy | 1,537 | 43.2 | 56.8 | – | 13.6 | ||||||
| March | SAROS | 10,826 | 46.3 | 53.7 | – | 7.4 | ||||||
| March | GENAR | 3,000 | 46.3 | 42.1 | 11.6 | 4.2 | ||||||
| March | Piar | 1,460 | 42.9 | 57.1 | – | 14.2 | ||||||
| 27 Jan–2 Feb | Avrasya[pc 2] | 2,460 | 40.3 | 48.2 | 11.5 | 7.9 | ||||||
| February | MetroPOLL | 2,117 | 42.7 | 41.4 | 15.7 | 1.3 | ||||||
| 14-24 Jan | ASAL | 2,520 | 46.9 | 39.3 | 13.8 | 7.6 | ||||||
| 13-18 Jan | MetroPOLL | 2,022 | 45.9 | 43.0 | 11.1 | 2.9 | ||||||
| 3-8 Jan | Avrasya[pc 2] | 2,612 | 38.3 | 48.5 | 13.2 | 10.2 | ||||||
| 2-5 Jan | ORC | 3,780 | 42.5 | 41.8 | 15.7 | 0.7 | ||||||
| 23 Dec–2 Jan | Sosyo Politik | 1,582 | 35.8 | 36.8 | 27.4 | 1.0 | ||||||
| January | Yöneylem | 2,400 | 41.0 | 46.2 | 12.7 | 5.2 | ||||||
2022
[edit]| Fieldwork date | Polling firm | Sample size |
|
|
Undecided | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erdoğan People's |
Kılıçdaroğlu Nation | |||||
| 22-27 Dec | Yöneylem | 2,400 | 42.5 | 45.2 | 12.3 | 2.7 |
| 20-25 Dec | Area | 2,004 | 37.6 | 38.6 | 23.8 | 1.0 |
| 14-24 Dec | Artıbir | 1,500 | 39.4 | 43.6 | 17.0 | 4.2 |
| 13-18 Dec | MetroPOLL | 2,077 | 40.1 | 44.9 | 15.0 | 4.8 |
| 3 Nov–12 Dec | Global & Akademetre | 1,000 | 44.0 | 34.3 | 21.7 | 9.7 |
| 29 Nov–3 Dec | Avrasya[pc 2] | 2,612 | 37.5 | 48.2 | 14.3 | 10.7 |
| December | SAROS | 11,106 | 49.7 | 50.3 | – | 0.6 |
| 21-30 Nov | Artıbir | 1,500 | 38.2 | 43.8 | 18.0 | 5.6 |
| 23-27 Nov | Yöneylem | 2,400 | 42.8 | 43.3 | 13.9 | 0.5 |
| 15-20 Nov | MetroPOLL | 2,122 | 44.5 | 39.4 | 16.0 | 5.1 |
| 29 Oct–6 Nov | Avrasya[pc 2] | 2,560 | 38.4 | 47.9 | 13.7 | 9.5 |
| November | SAROS | 11,028 | 40.2 | 41.0 | 18.8 | 0.8 |
| 24-28 Oct | Yöneylem | 2,400 | 40.7 | 43.6 | 15,7 | 2.9 |
| 15-18 Oct | MetroPOLL | 2,145 | 45.4 | 41.3 | 13.2 | 4.1 |
| 10-18 Oct | Artıbir | 1,500 | 38.5 | 43.4 | 18.1 | 4.9 |
| 5-14 Oct | ASAL | 2,312 | 42.8 | 38.8 | 18.4 | 4.0 |
| 26-30 Sep | Yöneylem | 2,400 | 40.6 | 46.8 | 12.6 | 6.2 |
| 17-20 Sep | MetroPOLL | 2,119 | 44.9 | 43.9 | 11.2 | 1.0 |
| 15-20 Sep | Area | 3,123 | 31.8 | 36.5 | 31.6 | 4.7 |
| 5-14 Sep | Artıbir | 1,500 | 38.2 | 48.1 | 13,7 | 9.9 |
| September | KONDA | – | 35.0 | 37.0 | 28.0 | 2.0 |
| September | SAROS | 2,025 | 41.3 | 39.0 | 19.7 | 2.3 |
| September | Aksoy | 1,067 | 46.4 | 53.6 | – | 7.2 |
| 25 Aug–1 Sept | Yöneylem | 2,403 | 38.0 | 48.7 | 13.3 | 10.7 |
| 22-28 Aug | Avrasya[pc 2] | 2,000 | 38.0 | 44.7 | 18.3 | 6.7 |
| 13-17 Aug | MetroPOLL | 1,717 | 41.4 | 47.7 | 10.9 | 6.3 |
| 30 Jul–8 Aug | Avrasya[pc 2] | 2,410 | 35.8 | 56.5 | 7.7 | 20.7 |
| 1-4 Aug | Areda Survey[pc 1] | 3,872 | 47.9 | 42.4 | 9.7 | 5.5 |
| August | HBS | – | 56.0 | 44.0 | – | 12.0 |
| 11-16 Jul | MetroPOLL | 2,091 | 42.7 | 45.4 | 11.9 | 2.7 |
| 2-3 Jul | Gezici | 2,680 | 46.8 | 53.2 | – | 6.4 |
| Jul | SAROS | 1,672 | 37.6 | 36.5 | 25.9 | 1.1 |
| 25 Jun–1 Jul | Avrasya[pc 2] | 1,460 | 37,9 | 54.1 | 8.0 | 16.2 |
| 20-30 Jun | BUPAR | 2,986 | 31.2 | 43.4 | 25.4 | 12.2 |
| 24-28 Jun | Yöneylem | 2,704 | 37.5 | 46.6 | 15.9 | 9.1 |
| 10-21 Jun | Objektif | 9,960 | 38.9 | 51.7 | 9.4 | 12.8 |
| 11-15 Jun | MetroPOLL | 2,123 | 39.8 | 46.1 | 14.1 | 6.3 |
| 7-14 Jun | ASAL | 3,000 | 36.8 | 35.1 | 28.1 | 1.7 |
| June | KONDA | – | 34.0 | 31.0 | 35.0 | 1.0 |
| June | Artıbir | 1,500 | 38.4 | 47.6 | 14 | 9.2 |
| 26 May–1 Jun | Avrasya[pc 2] | 1,500 | 39.1 | 51.5 | 9.4 | 12.4 |
| 16-23 May | Artıbir | 1,500 | 39.7 | 48.2 | 12.1 | 8.5 |
| 12-15 May | Yöneylem | 2,400 | 36.5 | 44.9 | 18.7 | 8.4 |
| 5-8 May | ASAL | 2,400 | 43.1 | 32.4 | 24.5 | 10.7 |
| 27 Apr–3 May | Avrasya[pc 2] | 2,460 | 40.2 | 51.3 | 8.5 | 11.1 |
| May | MetroPOLL | – | 40.5 | 42.7 | 16.8 | 2.2 |
| May | SAROS | 2,987 | 48.8 | 51.2 | – | 2.4 |
| 14-20 Apr | MetroPOLL | 2,164 | 42.5 | 43.3 | 13.5 | 0.8 |
| 8-10 Apr | ASAL | 2,100 | 42.3 | 33.0 | 24.7 | 9.3 |
| 1-4 Apr | Sosyo Politik | 2,010 | 38.1 | 40.5 | 21.4 | 2.4 |
| 24-29 Mar | Avrasya[pc 2] | 2,490 | 41.9 | 46.8 | 11.3 | 4.9 |
| 3–6 Mar | Yöneylem | 2,488 | 38.6 | 40.1 | 21.3 | 1.5 |
| Feb | GEZİCİ | – | 47.4 | 52.6 | – | 5.2 |
| 24–31 Jan | AKAM | 1,860 | 40 | 60 | – | 20 |
| 9–14 Jan | AKAM | 1,260 | 42.0 | 53.9 | 4.1 | 11.9 |
2019–2021
[edit]| Fieldwork date | Polling firm | Sample size |
|
|
Undecided | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erdoğan People's |
Kılıçdaroğlu Nation | |||||
| 23–27 Dec | AKAM | 2,460 | 40.5 | 53.9 | – | 13.4 |
| 14–15 Dec | AKAM | 1,260 | 32.1 | 50.6 | 17.3 | 18.5 |
| 13–20 Nov | Optimar | 2,507 | 35.4 | 33.9 | 30.6 | 1.5 |
| 11–17 Nov | AKAM | 1,260 | 34.1 | 47.9 | 18.0 | 13.8 |
| 27 Oct – 3 Nov | Yöneylem | 2,000 | 46.5 | 53.5 | – | 7.0 |
| 9–14 Oct | AKAM | 1,500 | 47.1 | 52.9 | – | 5.8 |
| Oct | SAROS | 1,854 | 47.9 | 37.9 | 14.1 | 10.0 |
| 19–27 Sep | Optimar | 1,938 | 41.2 | 34.7 | 24.1 | 6.5 |
| 21–28 Aug | AKAM | 2,460 | 45.8 | 54.2 | – | 8.4 |
| Aug | Yöneylem | 3,040 | 38.6 | 42.9 | 18.6 | 4.3 |
| 11–14 Aug | AKAM | N/A | 46.1 | 53.9 | – | 7.8 |
| Aug | Optimar | N/A | 47.4 | 31.8 | 20.9 | 15.6 |
| July | Bupar | – | 31.2 | 43.4 | 25.4 | 12.2 |
| 26–30 Jul | Yöneylem | 3,040 | 40.6 | 41.0 | 18.4 | 0.4 |
| 10–13 Jul | Optimar | 1,726 | 49.2 | 30.8 | 20.0 | 18.4 |
| 25–29 Jun | Yöneylem | 3,848 | 43.4 | 38.7 | 17.9 | 4.7 |
| 23–28 Jun | AKAM | 2,460 | 39.1 | 44.0 | 16.9 | 4.9 |
| 8–13 Jun | AKAM | 2,460 | 35.2 | 41.8 | 23.0 | 6.6 |
| May | Gezici | 2,280 | 43.1 | 44.8 | 12.1 | 1.7 |
| 21–25 May | Yöneylem | 3,140 | 44.8 | 40.4 | 14.9 | 4.4 |
| 22–24 May | Optimar | 1,836 | 46.7 | 35.5 | 17.8 | 11.2 |
| 12-15 May | Yöneylem | 2.400 | 36.5 | 44.9 | 18.7 | 8.4 |
| 6–9 May | İEA | 1,506 | 44.2 | 39.4 | 16.4 | 4.8 |
| 27 Apr-3 May | AKAM | 2.460 | 40.2 | 51.3 | 8.5 | 11,1 |
| 27–30 Apr | Yöneylem | 3,605 | 45.5 | 32.4 | 22.3 | 13.1 |
| 26–30 Apr | Aksoy | 1,067 | 37.2 | 32.5 | 30.3 | 4.7 |
| 16–21 Apr | Metropoll | 1,752 | 42.5 | 39.7 | 17.8 | 2.8 |
| 14–20 Apr | MetroPOLL | 2.164 | 42.5 | 43.3 | 13.5 | 0.8 |
| 1–4 Apr | Sosyo Politik | 2.010 | 38.1 | 40.5 | 21.4 | 2.4 |
| Mar | Aksoy | N/A | 39.6 | 29.9 | 30.5 | 9.7 |
| Mar | SAROS | 3,042 | 45.1 | 39.9 | 15.0 | 5.2 |
| 29–31 Mar | Yöneylem | 3,140 | 47.3 | 31.9 | 20.9 | 15.4 |
| 24–29 Mar | AKAM | 2.490 | 41.9 | 46.8 | 11.3 | 4.9 |
| 28 Feb – 5 Mar | Optimar | 2,207 | 44.7 | 27.0 | 28.3 | 17.7 |
| Feb | Aksoy | 2,400 | 38.9 | 31.4 | 29.7 | 7.5 |
| Jan | SAROS | 3,034 | 42.2 | 23.7 | 34.1 | 18.5 |
| Jan | Aksoy | 2,400 | 40.0 | 29.2 | 30.7 | 10.8 |
| 15–30 Jan | Yöneylem | 5,292 | 41.0 | 29.0 | 29.6 | 12.0 |
| 20–26 Jan | ADA | 3,245 | 52.8 | 27.8 | 19.4 | 25.0 |
| 12–20 Jan | Optimar | 2,089 | 45.8 | 27.2 | 27.0 | 18.6 |
| 6–10 Jan | AKAM | 1,460 | 37.4 | 35.9 | 26.7 | 1.5 |
| 2021 | ||||||
| Dec | Aksoy | 2,400 | 39.0 | 29.7 | 31.3 | 9.3 |
| 19–23 Dec | MetroPoll | 1,791 | 45.2 | 27.8 | 27.0 | 17.4 |
| 3–9 Dec | Optimar | 2,253 | 47.8 | 42.2 | 10.0 | 5.6 |
| Nov | SAROS | 3,092 | 42.5 | 32.0 | 25.4 | 10.5 |
| 21–26 Nov | AKAM | 2,460 | 41.0 | 38.9 | 20.1 | 2.1 |
| Oct | Aksoy | 2,400 | 40.6 | 31.3 | 28.1 | 9.3 |
| 19–24 Oct | AKAM | 2,460 | 41.2 | 38.5 | 20.3 | 2.7 |
| 21–25 Sep | AKAM | 2,460 | 38.5 | 38.1 | 23.4 | 0.4 |
| 22–27 Aug | AKAM | 2,460 | 41.4 | 40.6 | 18.0 | 0.8 |
| May | ORC | 2,316 | 54.1 | 36.4 | 9.5 | 17.7 |
| 2020 | ||||||
| 28–31 Dec | ORC | 2,980 | 53.7 | 31.7 | 14.6 | 22.0 |
| 2019 | ||||||
Eliminated candidates
[edit]Erdoğan vs. İnce
[edit]
| Fieldwork date | Polling firm | Sample size |
|
|
Undecided | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erdoğan AKP |
İnce MP | |||||
| 15–17 March | TAG | 1850 | 47.4 | 36.1 | 16.5 | 11.3 |
| 2023 | ||||||
| Feb | AR-G | – | 52.0 | 11.0 | 37.0 | 15 |
| 2022 | ||||||
| Oct | SAROS | 1,854 | 49.8 | 27.0 | 23.2 | 22.8 |
| 19–27 Sep | Optimar | 1,938 | 43.1 | 30.4 | 26.4 | 12.7 |
| Aug | Optimar | N/A | 49.9 | 29.4 | 20.7 | 20.5 |
| 10–13 Jul | Optimar | 1,726 | 49.4 | 26.4 | 24.2 | 23.0 |
| 23–28 Jun | AKAM | 2,460 | 41.0 | 34.2 | 24.8 | 6.8 |
| 17 May 2021 | İnce founded the Homeland Party. | |||||
| Fieldwork date | Polling firm | Sample size | Erdoğan AKP |
İnce CHP |
Undecided | Lead |
| Mar | Aksoy | N/A | 41.8 | 20.9 | 37.3 | 20.9 |
| Mar | SAROS | 3,042 | 44.7 | 21.9 | 33.4 | 22.8 |
| 28 Feb – 5 Mar | Optimar | 2,207 | 44.2 | 26.4 | 29.4 | 17.8 |
| Feb | Yöneylem | N/A | 45.1 | 25.2 | 29.7 | 19.9 |
| Feb | Aksoy | 2,400 | 39.6 | 22.2 | 38.2 | 17.4 |
| Jan | SAROS | 3,034 | 42.0 | 6.0 | 51.9 | 36.0 |
| Jan | Aksoy | 2,400 | 39.6 | 23.4 | 36.9 | 16.2 |
| 20–26 Jan | ADA | 3,245 | 50.5 | 28.1 | 21.4 | 22.4 |
| 12–20 Jan | Optimar | 2,089 | 45.0 | 28.6 | 26.4 | 16.4 |
| 6–10 Jan | AKAM | 1,460 | 37.9 | 30.6 | 31.5 | 7.3 |
| 2021 | ||||||
| Dec | Aksoy | 2,400 | 40.2 | 24.6 | 35.2 | 15.6 |
| 19–23 Dec | MetroPoll | 1,791 | 43.1 | 23.4 | 33.5 | 19.7 |
| Nov | SAROS | 3,092 | 42.3 | 10.3 | 47.4 | 32.0 |
| Oct | Aksoy | 2,400 | 41.4 | 29.2 | 29.4 | 12.2 |
| 19–24 Oct | AKAM | 2,460 | 41.9 | 35.9 | 22.2 | 6.0 |
| 21–25 Sep | AKAM | 2,460 | 38.7 | 35.1 | 26.2 | 3.6 |
| Aug | MetroPoll | N/A | 48.5 | 32.2 | 19.3 | 16.3 |
| 22–27 Aug | AKAM | 2,460 | 42.7 | 35.9 | 21.4 | 6.8 |
| 10–12 Aug | Optimar | 2,121 | 44.5 | 33.5 | 22.0 | 11.0 |
| 10–24 Jan | Yöneylem | 2,507 | 43.1 | 32.6 | 24.3 | 10.5 |
| 2020 | ||||||
| 2–7 Aug | SAROS | 3,012 | 40.6 | 26.7 | 32.7 | 13.9 |
| 2019 | ||||||
Hypothetical candidates
[edit]Erdoğan vs. İmamoğlu
[edit]
| Fieldwork date | Polling firm | Sample size | Undecided | Lead | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erdoğan AKP |
İmamoğlu CHP | |||||
| Jul | Bupar | – | 30.5 | 43.9 | 25.6 | 13.4 |
| 12-15 May | Yöneylem | 2.400 | 36.0 | 46.5 | 17.7 | 10.5 |
| 27 Apr-3 May | AKAM | 2.460 | 38.8 | 53.7 | 7.5 | 14.9 |
| 14–20 Apr | MetroPOLL | 2.164 | 40.0 | 49.7 | 9.8 | 9.7 |
| 1–4 APR | Sosyo Politik | 2.010 | 36.7 | 42.5 | 20.8 | 5.8 |
| 24–29 Mar | AKAM | 2.490 | 42.2 | 52.1 | 5.7 | 9.9 |
| 3–6 Mar | Yöneylem | 2.488 | 37.6 | 49.6 | 12.8 | 12 |
| 24–31 Jan | AKAM | 1.860 | 38 | 62 | – | 24 |
| 9–14 Jan | AKAM | 1.260 | 38.1 | 59.1 | 2.1 | 21 |
| 2022 | ||||||
| 23–27 Dec | AKAM | 2,460 | 39.1 | 58.4 | – | 19.3 |
| 14–15 Dec | AKAM | 1,260 | 31 | 54.7 | 14.3 | 23.7 |
| 13–20 Nov | Optimar | 2,507 | 41.3 | 34.2 | 24.5 | 7.1 |
| 11–17 Nov | AKAM | 1,260 | 33.6 | 49.5 | 16.9 | 15.9 |
| 27 Oct – 3 Nov | Yöneylem | 2,000 | 42.0 | 58.0 | – | 16.0 |
| 9–14 Oct | AKAM | 1,500 | 42.3 | 57.7 | – | 15.4 |
| Oct | SAROS | 1,854 | 47.3 | 41.3 | 11.3 | 6.0 |
| 19–27 Sep | Optimar | 1,938 | 42.6 | 38.0 | 19.5 | 4.6 |
| 21–28 Aug | AKAM | 2,460 | 40.5 | 59.5 | – | 19.0 |
| Aug | Yöneylem | 3,040 | 37.8 | 48.5 | 13.6 | 10.7 |
| 11–14 Aug | AKAM | N/A | 41.1 | 58.9 | – | 17.8 |
| Aug | Optimar | N/A | 46.3 | 36.4 | 17.3 | 9.9 |
| 26–30 Jul | Yöneylem | 3,040 | 39.2 | 48.5 | 12.3 | 9.3 |
| 10–13 Jul | Optimar | 1,726 | 48.1 | 37.8 | 14.1 | 10.3 |
| 25–29 Jun | Yöneylem | 3,848 | 40.6 | 46.1 | 13.3 | 5.5 |
| 21−29 Jun | Artıbir | 1,500 | 44.2 | 46.1 | 9.7 | 1.9 |
| 23−28 Jun | AKAM | 2,460 | 37.8 | 50.2 | 12.0 | 14.4 |
| 8–13 Jun | AKAM | 2,460 | 34.7 | 49.6 | 15.7 | 14.9 |
| 5–30 May | Sandık Analiz | 4,477 | 43.1 | 56.9 | – | 13.8 |
| 21–25 May | Yöneylem | 3,140 | 40.4 | 48.5 | 11.1 | 8.1 |
| 22–24 May | Optimar | 1,836 | 44.9 | 41.8 | 13.3 | 3.1 |
| 6–9 May | İEA | 1,506 | 39.9 | 51.4 | 8.7 | 11.5 |
| 27–30 Apr | Yöneylem | 3,605 | 40.3 | 42.9 | 16.8 | 2.6 |
| Apr | AKAM | N/A | 32.1 | 48.0 | 19.9 | 15.9 |
| 26–30 Apr | Aksoy | 1,067 | 36.0 | 45.5 | 18.6 | 9.5 |
| 9–30 Apr | Sandık Analiz | 2,427 | 44.2 | 55.8 | – | 11.6 |
| 16–21 Apr | Metropoll | 1,752 | 38.8 | 49.7 | 11.5 | 10.9 |
| 11–14 Apr | AKAM | 1,460 | 30.5 | 48.6 | 20.9 | 18.1 |
| Mar | Aksoy | N/A | 37.0 | 45.1 | 17.9 | 8.1 |
| Mar | SAROS | 3,042 | 45.2 | 44.2 | 10.6 | 1.0 |
| 29–31 Mar | Yöneylem | 3,140 | 42.8 | 42.6 | 14.5 | 0.2 |
| 26–31 Mar | AKAM | 2,460 | 33.6 | 47.6 | 18.8 | 14.0 |
| 7–24 Mar | Sandık Analiz | N/A | 44.4 | 55.6 | – | 11.2 |
| 7–12 Mar | AKAM | 1,480 | 35.2 | 47.0 | 17.8 | 11.8 |
| 28 Feb – 5 Mar | Optimar | 2,207 | 42.5 | 34.6 | 22.9 | 7.9 |
| Feb | Sandık Analiz | 9,804 | 45.7 | 54.3 | – | 8.6 |
| Feb | Yöneylem | N/A | 41.9 | 40.8 | 17.3 | 1.1 |
| Feb | Aksoy | 2,400 | 37.3 | 45.3 | 17.4 | 8.0 |
| 18–25 Feb | AKAM | 2,184 | 34.3 | 46.2 | 19.5 | 11.9 |
| 19–22 Feb | Metropoll | 1,604 | 44.3 | 43.7 | 12.1 | 0.6 |
| Jan | Sandık Analiz | 9,738 | 44.3 | 55.7 | – | 11.4 |
| Jan | SAROS | 3,034 | 42.9 | 37.8 | 19.3 | 5.1 |
| Jan | Aksoy | 2,400 | 37.7 | 44.1 | 18.2 | 6.4 |
| 15–30 Jan | Yöneylem | 5,292 | 38.8 | 40.1 | 20.7 | 1.3 |
| 12–20 Jan | Optimar | 2,089 | 43.9 | 35.2 | 20.8 | 8.7 |
| 6–10 Jan | AKAM | 1,460 | 37.2 | 42.1 | 20.7 | 4.9 |
| 4–9 Jan | Artıbir | 1,500 | 43.2 | 41.2 | 15.6 | 2.0 |
| 2021 | ||||||
| Dec | Sandık Analiz | 3,809 | 47.7 | 52.3 | – | 4.6 |
| Dec | Aksoy | 2,400 | 37.0 | 43.3 | 19.7 | 6.3 |
| 19–23 Dec | MetroPoll | 1,791 | 41.5 | 41.2 | 17.3 | 0.3 |
| 21 Nov – 9 Dec | Konsensus | 1,500 | 53.7 | 46.3 | – | 7.4 |
| Nov | SAROS | 3,092 | 42.5 | 36.2 | 21.3 | 6.3 |
| 21–26 Nov | AKAM | 2,460 | 41.5 | 43.1 | 15.4 | 1.6 |
| Oct | Aksoy | 2,400 | 40.6 | 44.0 | 15.4 | 3.4 |
| 19–24 Oct | AKAM | 2,460 | 41.1 | 42.3 | 16.6 | 1.2 |
| 21–25 Sep | AKAM | 2,460 | 38.7 | 41.9 | 19.4 | 3.2 |
| Aug | MetroPoll | N/A | 46.5 | 43.5 | 10.0 | 3.0 |
| 22–27 Aug | AKAM | 2,460 | 40.8 | 43.7 | 15.5 | 2.9 |
| 10–12 Aug | Optimar | 2,121 | 45.1 | 36.8 | 18.1 | 8.3 |
| 5–6 Aug | Aksoy | 1,067 | 37.1 | 38.7 | 24.2 | 1.6 |
| 18–26 Jul | Artıbir | 1,500 | 39.0 | 33.1 | 27.9 | 5.9 |
| 20–23 May | AKAM | 2,460 | 40.4 | 45.5 | 14.1 | 5.1 |
| 20 Apr – 8 May | Optimar | 2,307 | 44.7 | 34.7 | 20.6 | 10.0 |
| 20–29 Apr | Yöneylem | 2,409 | 40.8 | 37.0 | 22.2 | 3.8 |
| 18–25 Mar | Yöneylem | 2,605 | 42.1 | 44.9 | 13.0 | 2.8 |
| 20 Feb – 2 Mar | Artıbir | 1,500 | 42.9 | 39.6 | 17.5 | 3.3 |
| 28 Jan – 4 Feb | Artıbir | 1,500 | 43.2 | 38.3 | 18.5 | 4.9 |
| 10–24 Jan | Yöneylem | 2,507 | 39.1 | 41.4 | 19.6 | 2.3 |
| 2020 | ||||||
| 28–31 Dec | ORC | 2,980 | 50.9 | 34.2 | 14.9 | 16.7 |
| 19–24 Nov | PIAR | 2,416 | 39.7 | 44.5 | 15.8 | 4.8 |
| 2–7 Aug | SAROS | 3,012 | 40.7 | 36.9 | 22.4 | 3.8 |
| 2019 | ||||||
Erdoğan vs. Yavaş
[edit]
| Fieldwork date | Polling firm | Sample size | Undecided | Lead | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erdoğan AKP |
Yavaş CHP | |||||
| Jul | Bupar | – | 30.0 | 47.4 | 22.6 | 17.4 |
| 27 Apr-3 May | AKAM | 2.460 | 38.4 | 52.0 | 9.6 | 13.6 |
| 14–20 Apr | MetroPOLL | 2.164 | 36.5 | 53.9 | 9.0 | 17.4 |
| 1–4 Apr | Sosyo Politik | 2.010 | 32.5 | 34.0 | 33.4 | 0.6 |
| 24–29 Mar | AKAM | 2.490 | 39.7 | 55.5 | 4.8 | 15.8 |
| Feb | AR-G | – | 42.0 | 56.0 | 2.0 | 14 |
| 24–31 Jan | AKAM | 1.860 | 36 | 64 | – | 28 |
| 9–14 Jan | AKAM | 1.260 | 35.4 | 61.5 | 3.1 | 26.1 |
| 2022 | ||||||
| 23–27 Dec | AKAM | 2,460 | 35.2 | 61.5 | – | 26.3 |
| 14–15 Dec | AKAM | 1,260 | 30.1 | 54.2 | 15.7 | 24.1 |
| 13–20 Nov | Optimar | 2,507 | 41.3 | 39.3 | 19.4 | 2 |
| 11–17 Nov | AKAM | 1,260 | 32.8 | 49.2 | 18.0 | 16.4 |
| 27 Oct – 3 Nov | Yöneylem | 2,000 | 38.0 | 62.0 | – | 24.0 |
| 9–14 Oct | AKAM | 1,500 | 43.1 | 56.9 | – | 13.8 |
| Oct | SAROS | 1,854 | 47.9 | 38.8 | 13.3 | 9.1 |
| 19–27 Sep | Optimar | 1,938 | 42.3 | 39.3 | 18.5 | 3.0 |
| 21–28 Aug | AKAM | 2,460 | 41.9 | 58.1 | – | 16.2 |
| Aug | Yöneylem | 3,040 | 34.8 | 53.8 | 11.3 | 19.0 |
| 11–14 Aug | AKAM | N/A | 42.6 | 57.4 | – | 14.8 |
| Aug | Optimar | N/A | 46.5 | 41.8 | 11.5 | 4.7 |
| 26–30 Jul | Yöneylem | 3,040 | 36.6 | 52.8 | 10.6 | 16.2 |
| 10–13 Jul | Optimar | 1,726 | 46.8 | 39.3 | 13.9 | 7.5 |
| 25–29 Jun | Yöneylem | 3,848 | 38.4 | 49.3 | 12.4 | 10.9 |
| 21–29 Jun | Artıbir | 1,500 | 42.7 | 45.8 | 11.5 | 3.1 |
| 23–28 Jun | AKAM | 2,460 | 37.0 | 49.4 | 13.6 | 12.4 |
| 8–13 Jun | AKAM | 2,460 | 32.0 | 48.2 | 19.8 | 16.2 |
| 5–30 May | Sandık Analiz | 4,477 | 39.2 | 60.8 | – | 21.6 |
| 21–25 May | Yöneylem | 3,140 | 38.8 | 50.7 | 10.5 | 11.9 |
| 22–24 May | Optimar | 1,836 | 44.1 | 42.0 | 13.9 | 2.1 |
| 6–9 May | İEA | 1,506 | 38.1 | 52.5 | 9.4 | 14.4 |
| 27–30 Apr | Yöneylem | 3,605 | 38.9 | 46.5 | 14.5 | 7.6 |
| Apr | AKAM | N/A | 30.9 | 47.5 | 21.6 | 16.6 |
| 26–30 Apr | Aksoy | 1,067 | 35.7 | 47.9 | 16.4 | 12.2 |
| 9–30 Apr | Sandık Analiz | 2,427 | 38.9 | 61.1 | – | 22.2 |
| 16–21 Apr | Metropoll | 1,752 | 37.5 | 49.4 | 13.1 | 11.9 |
| 11–14 Apr | AKAM | 1,460 | 30.5 | 48.0 | 21.5 | 17.5 |
| Mar | Aksoy | N/A | 37.0 | 47.8 | 15.2 | 10.8 |
| Mar | SAROS | 3,042 | 45.2 | 41.0 | 13.8 | 4.2 |
| 29–31 Mar | Yöneylem | 3,140 | 41.3 | 45.5 | 13.2 | 4.2 |
| 26–31 Mar | AKAM | 2,460 | 33.8 | 47.7 | 18.5 | 13.9 |
| 7–24 Mar | Sandık Analiz | N/A | 42.9 | 57.1 | – | 14.2 |
| 7–12 Mar | AKAM | 1,480 | 34.3 | 47.1 | 18.6 | 12.8 |
| 28 Feb – 5 Mar | Optimar | 2,207 | 41.2 | 36.7 | 22.1 | 4.5 |
| Feb | Sandık Analiz | 9,804 | 44.5 | 55.5 | – | 11.0 |
| Feb | Yöneylem | N/A | 40.1 | 43.0 | 16.9 | 2.9 |
| Feb | Aksoy | 2,400 | 37.0 | 47.5 | 15.5 | 10.5 |
| 18–25 Feb | AKAM | 2,184 | 34.7 | 48.6 | 16.7 | 13.9 |
| 19–22 Feb | Metropoll | 1,604 | 44.6 | 44.4 | 11.1 | 0.2 |
| Jan | Sandık Analiz | 9,746 | 43.6 | 56.4 | – | 12.8 |
| Jan | SAROS | 3,034 | 41.9 | 30.9 | 27.1 | 11.0 |
| Jan | Aksoy | 2,400 | 37.7 | 48.5 | 13.8 | 10.8 |
| 15–30 Jan | Yöneylem | 5,292 | 38.4 | 38.4 | 22.9 | 0.0 |
| 12–20 Jan | Optimar | 2,089 | 43.1 | 31.8 | 25.0 | 11.9 |
| 6–10 Jan | AKAM | 1,460 | 36.9 | 42.7 | 20.4 | 5.8 |
| 2021 | ||||||
| Dec | Sandık Analiz | 3,809 | 46.7 | 53.3 | – | 6.6 |
| Dec | Aksoy | 2,400 | 35.4 | 48.7 | 15.8 | 13.3 |
| 19–23 Dec | MetroPoll | 1,791 | 40.7 | 43.9 | 15.4 | 3.2 |
| 21 Nov – 9 Dec | Konsensus | 1,500 | 55.2 | 44.8 | – | 10.4 |
| Nov | Sandık Analiz | N/A | 48.9 | 51.1 | – | 1.2 |
| Nov | SAROS | 3,092 | 42.8 | 31.9 | 25.2 | 10.9 |
| 21–26 Nov | AKAM | 2,460 | 41.1 | 42.2 | 16.7 | 1.1 |
| 2–12 Nov | Artıbir | 1,500 | 43.6 | 38.9 | 17.5 | 4.7 |
| Oct | Aksoy | 2,400 | 39.5 | 49.0 | 11.5 | 9.5 |
| 19–24 Oct | AKAM | 2,460 | 39.8 | 40.4 | 19.8 | 0.6 |
| 21–25 Sep | AKAM | 2,460 | 38.0 | 37.6 | 24.4 | 0.4 |
| Aug | MetroPoll | N/A | 45.5 | 43.0 | 11.6 | 2.5 |
| 22–27 Aug | AKAM | 2,460 | 40.4 | 41.1 | 18.5 | 0.7 |
| 10–12 Aug | Optimar | 2,121 | 44.5 | 36.7 | 18.8 | 7.8 |
| 5–6 Aug | Aksoy | 1,067 | 39.2 | 40.4 | 20.4 | 1.2 |
| 18–26 Jul | Artıbir | 1,500 | 49.7 | 30.5 | 19.8 | 19.2 |
| 20–23 May | AKAM | 2,460 | 39.9 | 39.7 | 20.4 | 0.2 |
| 20 Apr – 8 May | Optimar | 2,307 | 43.0 | 36.1 | 20.9 | 6.9 |
| 20–29 Apr | Yöneylem | 2,409 | 39.9 | 36.9 | 23.3 | 3.0 |
| 10–24 Jan | Yöneylem | 2,507 | 39.5 | 32.6 | 27.8 | 6.9 |
| 2020 | ||||||
Erdoğan vs. Akşener
[edit] | Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
2022
[edit]| Fieldwork date | Polling firm | Sample size | Undecided | Lead | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erdoğan AKP |
Akşener İYİ | |||||
| July | Bupar | – | 30.1 | 37.3 | 32.6 | 7.2 |
| 14–20 Apr | MetroPOLL | 2.164 | 41.9 | 43.8 | 13,7 | 1.9 |
| 1–4 Apr | Sosyo Politik | 2.010 | 34.5 | 28.7 | 36.8 | 2.3 |
2021
[edit]| Fieldwork date | Polling firm | Sample size | Undecided | Lead | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erdoğan AKP |
Akşener İYİ | |||||
| Oct | SAROS | 1,854 | 48.0 | 37.1 | 14.8 | 10.9 |
| 21–28 Aug | AKAM | 2,460 | 46.0 | 54.0 | – | 8.0 |
| Aug | Yöneylem | 3,040 | 37.2 | 45.6 | 17.2 | 8.4 |
| 11–14 Aug | AKAM | N/A | 46.8 | 53.2 | – | 6.4 |
| 26–30 Jul | Yöneylem | 3,040 | 40.1 | 44.2 | 15.7 | 4.1 |
| 25–29 Jun | Yöneylem | 3,848 | 41.2 | 41.6 | 17.2 | 0.4 |
| 23–28 Jun | AKAM | 2,460 | 39.8 | 42.3 | 17.9 | 2.5 |
| 8–13 Jun | AKAM | 2,460 | 34.1 | 38.9 | 27.0 | 4.8 |
| 21–25 May | Yöneylem | 3,140 | 42.2 | 43.0 | 14.8 | 0.8 |
| 22–24 May | Optimar | 1,836 | 43.8 | 30.0 | 26.2 | 13.8 |
| 6–9 May | İEA | 1,506 | 39.1 | 45.4 | 15.5 | 6.3 |
| 27–30 Apr | Yöneylem | 3,605 | 42.6 | 38.1 | 19.3 | 4.5 |
| 26–30 Apr | Aksoy | 1,067 | 37.4 | 37.5 | 25.1 | 0.1 |
| 16–21 Apr | Metropoll | 1,752 | 38.5 | 42.5 | 19.0 | 4.0 |
| Mar | Aksoy | N/A | 39.5 | 38.0 | 22.5 | 1.5 |
| Mar | SAROS | 3,042 | 45.1 | 34.0 | 20.8 | 11.1 |
| 29–31 Mar | Yöneylem | 3,140 | 44.4 | 36.4 | 19.2 | 8.0 |
| 7–24 Mar | Sandık Analiz | 4,039 | 49.1 | 50.9 | – | 1.8 |
| 28 Feb – 5 Mar | Optimar | 2,207 | 43.6 | 27.0 | 29.5 | 16.6 |
| Feb | Sandık Analiz | 9,804 | 50.3 | 49.7 | – | 0.6 |
| Feb | Yöneylem | N/A | 43.9 | 34.2 | 21.9 | 9.7 |
| Feb | Aksoy | 2,400 | 40.2 | 35.8 | 24.0 | 4.4 |
| Jan | Sandık Analiz | 9,733 | 49.5 | 50.5 | – | 1.0 |
| Jan | SAROS | 3,034 | 42.0 | 27.0 | 30.9 | 15.0 |
| Jan | Aksoy | 2,400 | 40.6 | 38.1 | 21.3 | 2.5 |
| 15–30 Jan | Yöneylem | 5,292 | 40.1 | 32.1 | 27.4 | 8.0 |
| 20–26 Jan | ADA | 3,245 | 48.3 | 37.6 | 14.1 | 10.7 |
| 12–20 Jan | Optimar | 2,089 | 43.8 | 30.0 | 26.2 | 13.8 |
| 6–10 Jan | AKAM | 1,460 | 37.1 | 36.4 | 26.5 | 0.7 |
| 2021 | ||||||
| Dec | Aksoy | 2,400 | 38.1 | 37.1 | 24.8 | 1.0 |
| 19–23 Dec | MetroPoll | 1,791 | 42.9 | 30.2 | 26.9 | 12.7 |
| 21 Nov – 9 Dec | Konsensus | 1,500 | 63.8 | 37.2 | – | 26.6 |
| Nov | SAROS | 3,092 | 42.6 | 19.7 | 37.7 | 22.9 |
| 21–26 Nov | AKAM | 2,460 | 41.5 | 40.3 | 18.2 | 1.2 |
| Oct | Aksoy | 2,400 | 41.4 | 35.9 | 22.7 | 5.5 |
| 19–24 Oct | AKAM | 2,460 | 40.6 | 38.1 | 21.3 | 2.5 |
| 21–25 Sep | AKAM | 2,460 | 37.9 | 36.8 | 25.3 | 1.1 |
| Aug | MetroPoll | N/A | 46.8 | 38.3 | 14.9 | 8.5 |
| 22–27 Aug | AKAM | 2,460 | 42.0 | 40.1 | 17.9 | 1.9 |
| 5–6 Aug | Aksoy | 1,067 | 40.4 | 32.2 | 27.3 | 8.2 |
| May | ORC | 2,316 | 51.9 | 37.5 | 10.6 | 14.4 |
| 10–24 Jan | Yöneylem | 2,507 | 40.8 | 30.1 | 29.1 | 10.7 |
| 2020 | ||||||
| 28–31 Dec | ORC | 2,980 | 50.2 | 38.0 | 11.8 | 12.2 |
| 2019 | ||||||
Erdoğan vs. Babacan
[edit] | Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
| Fieldwork date | Polling firm | Sample size | Undecided | Lead | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erdoğan AKP |
Babacan DEVA | |||||
| 1–4 April | Sosyo Politik | 2.010 | 36.6 | 21.0 | 42.3 | 5.7 |
| 2022 | ||||||
| 23–27 Dec | AKAM | 2,460 | 44.3 | 48.5 | – | 4.2 |
| 14–15 Dec | AKAM | 1,260 | 32.8 | 46.5 | 21.5 | 13.7 |
| 11–17 Nov | AKAM | 1,260 | 33.5 | 42.9 | 23.6 | 9.4 |
| 23–28 Oct | AKAM | 2,460 | 34.6 | 42.0 | 23.4 | 7.4 |
| 9–14 Oct | AKAM | 1,500 | 48.1 | 51.9 | – | 3.8 |
| Oct | SAROS | 1,854 | 48.9 | 18.7 | 32.5 | 30.2 |
| 23–28 Jun | AKAM | 2,460 | 39.0 | 36.1 | 24.9 | 2.9 |
| 6–9 May | İEA | 1,506 | 43.5 | 36.9 | 19.6 | 6.6 |
| Mar | Aksoy | N/A | 40.6 | 20.7 | 38.7 | 19.9 |
| Mar | SAROS | 3,042 | 45.2 | 19.6 | 35.1 | 25.6 |
| 28 Feb – 5 Mar | Optimar | 2,207 | 43.2 | 17.4 | 39.4 | 25.8 |
| Feb | Aksoy | 2,400 | 40.1 | 20.4 | 39.5 | 19.7 |
| Jan | SAROS | 3,034 | 42.2 | 3.4 | 54.4 | 38.8 |
| Jan | Aksoy | 2,400 | 41.0 | 21.8 | 37.2 | 19.2 |
| 15–30 Jan | Yöneylem | 5,292 | 40.3 | 21.9 | 37.5 | 18.4 |
| 20–26 Jan | ADA | 3,245 | 51.9 | 25.9 | 22.2 | 26.0 |
| 12–20 Jan | Optimar | 2,089 | 45.1 | 20.9 | 34.5 | 24.2 |
| 6–10 Jan | AKAM | 1,460 | 37.2 | 34.3 | 28.5 | 2.9 |
| 2021 | ||||||
| Dec | Aksoy | 2,400 | 40.4 | 25.4 | 34.2 | 15.0 |
| 19–23 Dec | MetroPoll | 1,791 | 43.6 | 21.4 | 35.0 | 22.2 |
| Nov | SAROS | 3,092 | 42.8 | 15.0 | 42.2 | 27.8 |
| 21–26 Nov | AKAM | 2,460 | 40.1 | 37.9 | 22.0 | 2.2 |
| Oct | Aksoy | 2,400 | 42.1 | 25.2 | 32.7 | 16.9 |
| 19–24 Oct | AKAM | 2,460 | 39.9 | 36.7 | 23.4 | 3.2 |
| 22–27 Aug | AKAM | 2,460 | 41.9 | 35.2 | 22.9 | 6.7 |
| 5–6 Aug | Aksoy | 1,067 | 39.9 | 14.6 | 45.5 | 25.3 |
| 18–25 Mar | Yöneylem | 2,605 | 46.6 | 24.7 | 28.7 | 21.9 |
| 10–24 Jan | Yöneylem | 2,507 | 37.0 | 26.1 | 36.9 | 10.9 |
| 2020 | ||||||
| 2–7 Aug | SAROS | 3,012 | 38.7 | 6.1 | 55.2 | 32.6 |
| 2019 | ||||||
Erdoğan vs. Gül
[edit]| Fieldwork date | Polling firm | Sample size | Undecided | Lead | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erdoğan AKP |
Gül IND | |||||
| 23–27 Dec | AKAM | 2,460 | 54.7 | 38.0 | – | 16.7 |
| Oct | SAROS | 1,854 | 49.4 | 11.8 | 38.7 | 37.6 |
| 23–28 Jun | AKAM | 2,460 | 39.9 | 34.5 | 25.6 | 5.4 |
| Mar | Aksoy | N/A | 39.5 | 16.3 | 44.2 | 23.2 |
| Mar | SAROS | 3,042 | 45.3 | 18.5 | 36.2 | 26.8 |
| 28 Feb – 5 Mar | Optimar | 2,207 | 44.2 | 16.7 | 39.1 | 27.5 |
| Feb | Aksoy | 2,400 | 38.4 | 18.1 | 43.5 | 20.3 |
| Jan | SAROS | 3,034 | 41.9 | 4.0 | 54.1 | 37.9 |
| Jan | Aksoy | 2,400 | 40.1 | 17.2 | 42.6 | 22.9 |
| 12–20 Jan | Optimar | 2,089 | 43.5 | 20.3 | 36.1 | 23.2 |
| 2021 | ||||||
| Dec | Aksoy | 2,400 | 38.5 | 16.9 | 44.6 | 21.6 |
| 21 Nov – 9 Dec | Konsensus | 1,500 | 76.3 | 23.7 | – | 52.6 |
| Nov | SAROS | 3,092 | 42.6 | 10.5 | 46.9 | 32.1 |
| 21–26 Nov | AKAM | 2,460 | 43.2 | 37.1 | 19.7 | 6.1 |
| Oct | Aksoy | 2,400 | 41.0 | 18.7 | 40.3 | 22.3 |
| 19–24 Oct | AKAM | 2,460 | 40.7 | 34.5 | 24.8 | 6.2 |
| 21–25 Sep | AKAM | 2,460 | 41.0 | 33.4 | 25.6 | 7.6 |
| Aug | MetroPoll | N/A | 49.6 | 22.5 | 27.9 | 27.1 |
| 22–27 Aug | AKAM | 2,460 | 42.1 | 33.2 | 24.7 | 8.9 |
| 10–12 Aug | Optimar | 2,121 | 44.3 | 21.3 | 34.4 | 23.0 |
| 5–6 Aug | Aksoy | 1,067 | 40.2 | 15.4 | 44.4 | 24.8 |
| May | ORC | 2,316 | 57.4 | 25.1 | 17.5 | 32.3 |
| 20 Apr – 8 May | Optimar | 2,307 | 46.7 | 20.4 | 32.9 | 26.3 |
| 10–18 Mar | Optimar | 2,007 | 41.8 | 16.0 | 42.2 | 25.8 |
| 10–24 Jan | Yöneylem | 2,507 | 37.0 | 25.2 | 37.8 | 11.8 |
| 2020 | ||||||
| 28–31 Dec | ORC | 2,980 | 52.1 | 32.8 | 15.1 | 19.3 |
| 2019 | ||||||
Notes
[edit]General
Political connections
References
[edit]- ^ Sabah, Daily (2023-03-06). "Türkiye's presidential polls process to start March 10: Erdoğan". Daily Sabah. Retrieved 2023-03-08.
- ^ Ibrahim, Arwa (15 May 2023). "Turkey election results updates: Erdogan-Kilicdaroglu in run-off". Al Jazeera. Retrieved 16 May 2023.
- ^ "Muharrem İnce: Adaylıktan çekiliyorum". www.sozcu.com.tr (in Turkish). Retrieved 2023-05-11.
- ^ "AKP'li Yusuf Akın İstanbul'a açıldı". Cumhuriyet (in Turkish). 2019-11-10. Retrieved 2023-04-19.
- ^ "Kemal Özkiraz kimdir? CHP'den milletvekili aday adayı olan Kemal Özkiraz nereli, kaç yaşında?". Cumhuriyet (in Turkish). 2023-03-27. Retrieved 2023-04-18.
- ^ "Son dakika haberi Cumhurbaşkanı kesin aday listesi Resmi Gazete'de". Habertürk. 31 March 2023. Archived from the original on 30 March 2023.
- ^ "Yeniden Refah Partisi, Cumhur İttifakı'na katıldı". Sözcü (in Turkish). 2023-03-24. Retrieved 2023-03-24.
- ^ "EvÖİ aday çıkarmayacak" (in Turkish). Sözcü. 22 March 2023. Retrieved 22 March 2023.
- ^ "Seçim yasakları bugün başlıyor". BBC. 4 May 2023.