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2024 United States presidential election in Florida

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2024 United States presidential election in Florida

← 2020 November 5, 2024 2028 →
 
Nominee Donald Trump Kamala Harris
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida California
Running mate JD Vance Tim Walz

Incumbent President

Joe Biden
Democratic



The 2024 United States presidential election in Florida is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Florida voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Florida has 30 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained a seat.[1]

Despite being a heavily populated and fast-growing state once considered a presidential battleground and bellwether, Florida has been trending towards the political right in recent years and is now seen as a moderately red state. Florida is a Southern state substantially in the Bible Belt, having two large distinct cultural areas. North Florida and the Florida Panhandle are part of the conservative Deep South. South Florida has a heavy Latin American influence, with large Catholic Cuban and Puerto Rican populations in the Miami metropolitan area.

In 2020, Republican Donald Trump (who changed his resident state from New York to Florida in 2019[2]) carried the state again by 3.36 percentage points, an improvement from his 1.2% margin in 2016, despite Trump losing re-election nationwide and polls pointing to a narrow Democratic win in Florida. In addition, Republicans won all statewide offices by double-digit margins in the 2022 midterms.[3][4] Thus, Florida is widely expected to remain in the Republican camp in the November 2024 election, with Trump continuing to reside in the state.[5]

On May 23, 2024, the Reform Party of Florida applied to restore ballot access in the state.[6] That same day, the party selected independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. for its nomination.[7] On August 23, 2024, Kennedy dropped out of the race and endorsed Trump.[8]

Primary elections

[edit]

Republican primary

[edit]

The Florida Republican primary was held on March 19, 2024, alongside primaries in Arizona, Illinois, and Ohio.

Florida Republican Primary, March 19, 2024[9]
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Donald Trump 911,424 81.19% 125 0 125
Nikki Haley (withdrawn) 155,560 13.86% 0 0 0
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) 41,269 3.68% 0 0 0
Chris Christie (withdrawn) 8,953 0.80% 0 0 0
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) 2,850 0.25% 0 0 0
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn) 1,385 0.12% 0 0 0
Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn) 1,190 0.11% 0 0 0
Total: 1,122,631 100.00% 125 0 125

Democratic primary

[edit]

On November 30, 2023, Politico reported that the Florida Democratic Party had only submitted Biden's name to the Secretary of State, which means that the primary will be cancelled under Florida law. This cancellation was criticized by the Dean Phillips and Marianne Williamson campaigns.[10][11] Williamson and fellow Democratic candidate Cenk Uygur held a press conference over Zoom on December 1 criticizing the move.[12] On December 11, 2023, a voter filed a lawsuit in federal court seeking to add Phillips, Williamson, and Uygur's name to the ballot.[13] The voter lost in district court.[14]

Winner (Assumptive)

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Joe Biden

U.S. Representatives

State legislators

Hypothetical polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Hillary
Clinton
Kamala
Harris
Gavin
Newsom
Undecided
Suffolk University[19] Sep 15–18, 2022 163 (LV) 50% 33% 17%
Suffolk University[20] Jan 26–29, 2022 164 (LV) 43% 46% 11%
Victory Insights[21] Sep 16–18, 2021 200 (LV) 60% 17% 23%

General election

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

The following presidential candidates have received ballot access in Florida:[22]

In addition, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. withdrew his name from the ballot after he suspended his campaign.[23]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[24] Likely R August 27, 2024
Inside Elections[25] Lean R August 29, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball[26] Likely R August 20, 2024
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[27] Lean R August 30, 2024
CNalysis[28] Likely R September 15, 2024
CNN[29] Lean R September 1, 2024
The Economist[30] Likely R June 12, 2024
538[31] Lean R August 31, 2024
RCP[32] Lean R September 1, 2024

Polling

[edit]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Undecided
[c]
Margin
RealClearPolitics July 15 – September 5, 2024 September 16, 2024 43.0% 49.0% 8.0% Trump +6.0
270ToWin through September 17, 2024 September 17, 2024 45.0% 49.2% 5.8% Trump +4.2
RacetotheWH through September 17, 2024 September 17, 2024 47.0% 50.3% 2.7% Trump +3.3
The Hill/DDHQ through September 5, 2024 September 16, 2024 49.1% 52.4% 1.5% Trump +3.3
Silver Bulletin through September 17, 2024 September 17, 2024 45.6% 49.8% 4.6% Trump +4.2
538 through September 18, 2024 September 18, 2024 45.4% 49.4% 5.2% Trump +4.0
Average 46.05% 50.7% 3.25% Trump +4.65
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Morning Consult[33] August 30 – September 8, 2024 3,182 (LV) ± 2.0% 49% 47% 4%
Emerson College[34] September 3–5, 2024 815 (LV) ± 3.4% 50% 45% 5%
51%[d] 48% 1%[e]
ActiVote[35] August 16–31, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 53% 47%
Cherry Communications (R)[36][A] August 15–26, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 52% 45% 3%
Public Policy Polling (D)[37][B] August 21–22, 2024 837 (RV) ± 3.4% 51% 47% 2%
ActiVote[38] August 5–15, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 54% 46%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[39] August 10–11, 2024 1,055 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 46% 5%[f]
1,040 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 47% 3%[g]
University of North Florida[40] July 24–27, 2024 774 (LV) ± 4.6% 49% 42% 9%[h]
July 21, 2024 Kamala Harris declares her candidacy.
InsiderAdvantage (R)[41][i] July 15–16, 2024 800 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 39% 12%[j]
Suffolk University/USA Today[19] September 15–18, 2022 500 (LV) 46% 44% 10%
Victory Insights[21] September 16–18, 2021 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 49% 51%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[42] September 6–9, 2024 1,465 (LV) 50% 44% 0% 0% 6%
Hypothetical polling with Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
August 23, 2024 Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
Public Policy Polling (D)[37][B] August 21–22, 2024 837 (RV) ± 3.4% 48% 45% 2% 1% 1% 3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[43] August 12–15, 2024 1,296 (LV) 48% 43% 3% 0% 1% 5%
Suffolk University/USA Today[44][C] August 7–11, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 47% 42% 5% 0% 0% 1% 5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[45] July 31 – August 3, 2024 976 (LV) 47% 41% 5% 0% 1% 6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[46] July 22–24, 2024 572 (LV) 47% 39% 5% 0% 1% 8%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Other /
Undecided
August 23, 2024 Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[47] August 10–11, 2024 1,055 (RV) ± 3.0% 47% 44% 5% 4%[g]
1,040 (LV) 47% 45% 5% 3%[g]
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[48][D] August 6–8, 2024 800 (LV) 52% 44% 3% 1%
Hypothetical polling with Donald Trump and Joe Biden

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
July 21, 2024 Joe Biden withdraws from the race.
InsiderAdvantage (R)[41][i] July 15–16, 2024 800 (LV) ± 4.0% 50% 44% 6%[k]
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[49] June 8–9, 2024 883 (RV) ± 3.3% 46% 42% 13%
771 (LV) 49% 43% 8%
The Tyson Group (R)[50] June 6–9, 2024 1,050 (LV) ± 3.0% 46% 36% 18%
Fox News[51] June 1–4, 2024 1,075 (RV) ± 3.0% 50% 46% 4%
CBS News/YouGov[52] May 10–16, 2024 1,209 (RV) ± 3.9% 54% 45% 1%
Prime Group[53][E] May 9–16, 2024 486 (RV) 53% 47%
Cherry Communications (R)[54][A] April 28 – May 7, 2024 609 (RV) ± 4.0% 51% 42% 7%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[55] April 15–17, 2024 865 (RV) ± 3.3% 50% 42% 8%
815 (LV) 51% 43% 6%
Emerson College[56] April 9–10, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 51% 38% 11%
56%[d] 44%
St. Pete Polls[57] March 11–13, 2024 1,963 (LV) ± 2.2% 48% 42% 10%
Cygnal (R)[58] November 13–15, 2023 800 (LV) ± 3.4% 48% 43% 9%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[59] October 27 – November 11, 2023 946 (RV) ± 3.2% 49% 39% 12%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[60] October 7–9, 2023 1,100 (RV) 44% 39% 17%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[61] June 27 – July 1, 2023 933 (RV) ± 3.2% 49% 39% 2%
Metropolitan Research Services[62] March 15–19, 2023 1,001 (RV) 47% 43% 10%
Emerson College[63] March 13–15, 2023 1,153 (RV) ± 2.8% 44% 44% 12%
University of North Florida[64] February 25 – March 7, 2023 1,452 (RV) ± 2.6% 50% 43% 7%
Victory Insights[65] November 16–17, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.1% 49% 51%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[66][F] November 8–9, 2022 1,224 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 40% 11%
Florida Atlantic University[67] October 12–16, 2022 719 (LV) ± 3.7% 45% 41% 14%
Suffolk University[19] September 15–18, 2022 500 (LV) 47% 44% 9%
Echelon Insights[68] August 31 – September 7, 2022 815 (LV) ± 4.3% 49% 41% 10%
Suffolk University[69] January 26–29, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 47% 44% 9%
Victory Insights[21] September 16–18, 2021 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 49% 51%
St. Pete Polls[70][G] August 16–17, 2021 2,068 (RV) ± 2.2% 47% 48% 5%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)[71][H] August 4–10, 2021 700 (RV) ± 3.7% 42% 50% 8%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Other /
Undecided
July 21, 2024 Joe Biden withdraws from the race.
Fox News[51] June 1–4, 2024 1,075 (RV) ± 3.0% 47% 40% 7% 2% 1% 3%
Prime Group[53][E] May 9–16, 2024 486 (RV) 48% 39% 9% 3% 1%
Emerson College[56] April 9–10, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 35% 6% 1% 1% 8%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Other /
Undecided
July 21, 2024 Joe Biden withdraws from the race.
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[49] June 8–9, 2024 883 (A) ± 3.3% 43% 37% 10% 10%
771 (LV) 45% 40% 8% 6%
Cherry Communications (R)[54][A] April 28 – May 7, 2024 609 (RV) ± 4.0% 46% 37% 10% 7%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[72] May 2–4, 2024 586 (LV) ± 3.7% 47% 38% 6% 9%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[55] April 15–17, 2024 865 (RV) ± 3.3% 48% 38% 7% 7%
815 (LV) 49% 40% 6% 5%
USA Today/Ipsos[73] April 5–7, 2024 1,014 (A) ± 4.1% 39% 31% 7% 23%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[74] March 14–17, 2024 815 (LV) 46% 39% 7% 8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[75] December 28–30, 2023 1,147 (LV) 45% 34% 9% 12%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[76] November 27–29, 2023 897 (LV) 44% 34% 9% 13%
Cygnal (R)[58] November 13–15, 2023 800 (LV) ± 3.4% 44% 37% 11% 8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[60] October 7–9, 2023 1100 (LV) 44% 37% 8% 11%
Hypothetical polling with other candidates

Donald Trump vs. Hillary Clinton

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Hillary
Clinton
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Suffolk University[69] January 26–29, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 49% 42% 9%

Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Nikki
Haley
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Other /
Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[76] November 27–29, 2023 897 (LV) 27% 32% 16% 24%

Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Ron
DeSantis
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Other /
Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[76] November 27–29, 2023 897 (LV) 38% 34% 12% 16%

Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Ron
DeSantis
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Cygnal (R)[58] November 13–15, 2023 800 (LV) ± 3.4% 46% 43% 11%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[59] October 27 – November 11, 2023 946 (RV) ± 3.2% 47% 39% 15%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[61] June 27 – July 1, 2023 933 (RV) ± 3.2% 49% 36% 15%
Emerson College[63] March 13–15, 2023 1,153 (RV) ± 2.8% 46% 43% 11%
University of North Florida[64] February 25 – March 7, 2023 1,452 (RV) ± 2.6% 51% 42% 8%
Cherry Communications[77][A] February 10–19, 2023 608 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 38% 13%
Victory Insights[65] November 16–17, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.1% 53% 47%
Suffolk University[19] September 15–18, 2022 500 (LV) 52% 44% 4%
Echelon Insights[68] August 31 – September 7, 2022 815 (LV) ± 4.3% 51% 42% 7%
Suffolk University[69] January 26–29, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 52% 44% 4%
Victory Insights[21] September 16–18, 2021 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 49% 51%
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R)[78] September 11–12, 2021 1,144 (LV) ± 3.1% 45% 55%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)[71] August 4–10, 2021 700 (RV) ± 3.7% 47% 49% 4%

Ron DeSantis vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Ron
DeSantis
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Suffolk University[19] September 15–18, 2022 500 (LV) 52% 40% 8%
Victory Insights[21] September 16–18, 2021 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 51% 49%

Ron DeSantis vs. Hillary Clinton

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Ron
DeSantis
Republican
Hillary
Clinton
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Suffolk University[69] January 26–29, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 53% 40% 7%

Results

[edit]
2024 United States presidential election in Florida
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican
Democratic
Libertarian
Green
Constitution
Socialism and Liberation
American Solidarity
Write-In
Write-In
  • Cherunda Fox
  • Harlan McVay Jr.
Total votes

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ a b Biden-Harris Campaign National Advisory Board member
  2. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  4. ^ a b With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  5. ^ "Someone else" with 1%
  6. ^ "Another candidate" with 2%
  7. ^ a b c "Another candidate" with 1%
  8. ^ "Another candidate" with 4%
  9. ^ a b Poll conducted for WTVT
  10. ^ "Another candidate" with 7%
  11. ^ "Another candidate" with 3%

Partisan clients

  1. ^ a b c d Poll sponsored by Florida Chamber of Commerce
  2. ^ a b Poll commissioned by Clean and Prosperous America PAC
  3. ^ Poll sponsored by WSVN-TV
  4. ^ Poll sponsored by Associated Industries of Florida
  5. ^ a b Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC, which opposes Trump and third party candidates
  6. ^ Poll sponsored by NumbersUSA
  7. ^ Poll conducted for Florida Politics
  8. ^ Poll sponsored by BUSR

References

[edit]
  1. ^ Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 20, 2021.
  2. ^ Kelly, Caroline (November 1, 2019). "Trump ditches New York to become a Florida resident, court documents show | CNN Politics". CNN. Retrieved February 29, 2024.
  3. ^ Friedersdorf, Conor (November 9, 2022). "Is Florida Still a Swing State?". The Atlantic. Retrieved November 23, 2022.
  4. ^ Carrasquillo, Adrian (November 9, 2022). "Ron DeSantis Wins the Florida Latino Vote, Setting Stage for 2024 Clash". Newsweek. Retrieved November 12, 2022. [DeSantis] flipped Miami-Dade County, Florida's political crown jewel, which completed a stunning reversal in just six years, after backing Hillary Clinton by 30 points in 2016, Joe Biden by 7 in 2020, and now DeSantis by 11 points. In running up the score, DeSantis also secured another major win, becoming the first Florida Republican gubernatorial candidate to win the Latino vote in 20 years, and the first Republican governor to do so since Brian Sandoval in Nevada in 2014. ... Devon Murphy-Anderson, the former finance director for the Florida Democratic Party and cofounder of Mi Vecino, which works to activate Latino voters in Florida, told Newsweek that while Miami-Dade is getting all of the attention, DeSantis' complete and total win also impressively flipped traditional blue areas like Palm Beach County and Hillsborough County. "It's important to know this was a strategy from Florida Republicans, and not to shift the blame to Latino voters," she argued, seeing the results as "a response to strategic investment by a political party."
  5. ^ "270toWin - 2024 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270toWin.com. Retrieved February 22, 2024.
  6. ^ "Florida Reform Party Works to Restore Party Status and Ballot Access After 2023 Revocation – Independent Political Report".
  7. ^ The Reform Party of the United States on X. (May 23, 2024). "Reform Party of the United States on X: "The Reform Party has nominated Robert F. Kennedy Jr. @RobertKennedyJr for President of the United States and will hand him our automatic ballot access in the State of Florida as well as our advantages as a qualified party. We look forward to working with Mr. Kennedy."". X.com.
  8. ^ Faguy, Ana (August 23, 2024). "Robert F Kennedy Jr suspends campaign and backs Trump". BBC. Retrieved September 3, 2024.
  9. ^ "Florida Presidential Primary". The AP. April 8, 2024. Retrieved April 18, 2024.
  10. ^ Otterbein, Holly; Fineout, Gary (November 30, 2023). "Florida Democrats plan to cancel presidential primary, enraging Dean Phillips' campaign". Politico. Retrieved December 1, 2023.
  11. ^ John, Arit (November 30, 2023). "Dean Phillips criticizes Florida Democrats for his absence from primary ballot". CNN. Retrieved December 1, 2023.
  12. ^ Timotija, Filip (December 1, 2023). "Long-shot candidates blast Florida Democrats for absence on primary ballot". The Hill. Retrieved December 2, 2023.
  13. ^ Fineout, Gary (December 11, 2023). "Federal judge asked to place Dean Phillips on Florida primary ballot". POLITICO. Retrieved December 11, 2023.
  14. ^ Fineout, Gary (January 12, 2024). "Federal judge rejects attempt to place Dean Phillips on Florida primary ballot". POLITICO. Retrieved January 13, 2024.
  15. ^ a b c Cappabianca, Corina (April 25, 2023). "Florida members of Congress react to Biden's reelection announcement". NY1.
  16. ^ Stockburger, George (May 10, 2023). "Josh Shapiro, Malcolm Kenyatta named to Biden-Harris Campaign National Advisory Board". ABC27/WHTM.
  17. ^ McCammond, Alexi; Treene, Alayna; Solender, Andrew (August 5, 2022). "Dems dodge on Biden '24". Axios. Archived from the original on March 28, 2023.
  18. ^ Stockburger, George (May 10, 2023). "Josh Shapiro, Malcolm Kenyatta named to Biden-Harris Campaign National Advisory Board". ABC27/WHTM.
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  34. ^ "September State Polling: California, Florida, Ohio, Texas". Emerson College Polling. September 6, 2024.
  35. ^ Allis, Victor (August 31, 2024). "Trump has a solid lead in Florida". ActiVote. Retrieved August 31, 2024.
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  37. ^ a b "New Surveys Show Texas and Florida Have Competitive Senate Elections" (PDF). Clean and Prosperous America. August 27, 2024.
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  40. ^ "UNF Poll: Trump has seven-point lead on Harris in home state of Florida" (PDF). FiveThirtyEight. July 30, 2024.
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  42. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (6 – 9 September 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. September 10, 2024.
  43. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (12 – 15 August 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. August 19, 2024.
  44. ^ "Suffolk University/USA TODAY/WSVN-TV Poll: Trump Leads in Florida, But Harris Polling More Strongly Than Expected" (PDF). Suffolk University. August 13, 2024.
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